Bitcoin Bounces; Analyst Predicts BTC Could Reach $170K at Cycle Peak

Monday, 25/08/2025 | 13:59 GMT by Tareq Sikder
  • An analyst forecasts Bitcoin could reach $1M by 2030 and $14M by 2040.
  • Institutional adoption, ETFs, and company strategies reduce BTC investment risk, according to the analyst.
bitcoin

Bitcoin has experienced a bearish trend on intraday charts, finding support around 111,000 on the H1 chart after a sharp decline. Recent rebounds at this level suggest a potential short-term bullish correction, while analysts expect the cryptocurrency could reach $170K during the current market cycle peak.

Long-Term Outlook Remains Bullish

Investor Mark Moss, in an interview with AltcoinDaily, forecasted that Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2030 and $14 million by 2040. His projections are based on anticipated U.S. dollar debasement, ongoing deficit spending, and rising national debt.

Moss estimates the global store-of-value market could grow from $1 quadrillion today to $1.6 quadrillion by 2030. If Bitcoin captures 1.25% of this market, it could reach $1 million.

BTCUSD, H1 Chart, Source: TradingView
BTCUSD, H1 Chart, Source: TradingView

Institutional Adoption Reduces Risk

Moss noted that now is a lower-risk time to invest compared with Bitcoin’s early years, citing institutional adoption, ETF approvals, and reduced regulatory risk.

He categorized companies using Bitcoin as Allocation, Hybrid, or Pure-Play, emphasizing that corporate holdings are not necessarily a bubble. Some companies may even use Bitcoin to back debt or equity.

You may find it interesting at FinanceMagnates.com: Bitcoin Jumps 4% as Fed Chair Jerome Powell Signals Possible Rate Cuts.

For the current cycle, Moss suggested a potential cycle top in Q4 2025 or Q1 2026, with Bitcoin around $170,000, advising investors to focus on long-term trends rather than short-term price movements.

Some Analysts Warn Bitcoin Could See Deeper Correction

Crypto analyst BitcoinHyper highlighted a potential bearish scenario for Bitcoin despite a recent 10% drop and a brief rebound from daily support levels. Key weekly and horizontal supports have been broken, confirming a downtrend on 1-hour, 2-hour, and 4-hour charts.

The analyst’s “ideal scenario” involves a short-term rally to around $119,000, potentially triggering a short squeeze, followed by a deeper correction toward $108,000. A worst-case scenario could see prices near $18,000 if a larger pattern emerges.

Read More: Bitcoin Slips on a Single Whale Sale as Ether Neared $5,000.

Oversold indicators suggest a temporary rebound, but the overall trend remains bearish. BitcoinHyper recommends cautious long positions with tight stop-losses and selling into strength.

Separately, Ryan Lee, Chief Analyst at Bitget, expects Bitcoin to trade between $112,000 and $118,000 amid profit-taking and cautious sentiment. He noted that increased leverage in futures markets may heighten volatility, while macroeconomic factors, including Federal Reserve decisions, could influence price direction. The market reflects a balance between rebound opportunities and potential further corrections.

Bitcoin has experienced a bearish trend on intraday charts, finding support around 111,000 on the H1 chart after a sharp decline. Recent rebounds at this level suggest a potential short-term bullish correction, while analysts expect the cryptocurrency could reach $170K during the current market cycle peak.

Long-Term Outlook Remains Bullish

Investor Mark Moss, in an interview with AltcoinDaily, forecasted that Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2030 and $14 million by 2040. His projections are based on anticipated U.S. dollar debasement, ongoing deficit spending, and rising national debt.

Moss estimates the global store-of-value market could grow from $1 quadrillion today to $1.6 quadrillion by 2030. If Bitcoin captures 1.25% of this market, it could reach $1 million.

BTCUSD, H1 Chart, Source: TradingView
BTCUSD, H1 Chart, Source: TradingView

Institutional Adoption Reduces Risk

Moss noted that now is a lower-risk time to invest compared with Bitcoin’s early years, citing institutional adoption, ETF approvals, and reduced regulatory risk.

He categorized companies using Bitcoin as Allocation, Hybrid, or Pure-Play, emphasizing that corporate holdings are not necessarily a bubble. Some companies may even use Bitcoin to back debt or equity.

You may find it interesting at FinanceMagnates.com: Bitcoin Jumps 4% as Fed Chair Jerome Powell Signals Possible Rate Cuts.

For the current cycle, Moss suggested a potential cycle top in Q4 2025 or Q1 2026, with Bitcoin around $170,000, advising investors to focus on long-term trends rather than short-term price movements.

Some Analysts Warn Bitcoin Could See Deeper Correction

Crypto analyst BitcoinHyper highlighted a potential bearish scenario for Bitcoin despite a recent 10% drop and a brief rebound from daily support levels. Key weekly and horizontal supports have been broken, confirming a downtrend on 1-hour, 2-hour, and 4-hour charts.

The analyst’s “ideal scenario” involves a short-term rally to around $119,000, potentially triggering a short squeeze, followed by a deeper correction toward $108,000. A worst-case scenario could see prices near $18,000 if a larger pattern emerges.

Read More: Bitcoin Slips on a Single Whale Sale as Ether Neared $5,000.

Oversold indicators suggest a temporary rebound, but the overall trend remains bearish. BitcoinHyper recommends cautious long positions with tight stop-losses and selling into strength.

Separately, Ryan Lee, Chief Analyst at Bitget, expects Bitcoin to trade between $112,000 and $118,000 amid profit-taking and cautious sentiment. He noted that increased leverage in futures markets may heighten volatility, while macroeconomic factors, including Federal Reserve decisions, could influence price direction. The market reflects a balance between rebound opportunities and potential further corrections.

About the Author: Tareq Sikder
Tareq Sikder
  • 2200 Articles
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About the Author: Tareq Sikder
Tareq is a financial writer with 15 years of experience covering global markets. His work spans technical analysis, forex broker reviews, and market sentiment, with a focus on topics relevant to retail traders. He joined Finance Magnates in 2023. At Finance Magnates, he serves as News Editor, covering retail forex and CFD brokers, cryptocurrency exchanges, fintech firms, and regulatory developments shaping the trading industry. He holds an Honours degree in Information Technology from Anfell College, London. Education: Honours degree Information Technology, Anfell College, London
  • 2200 Articles
  • 40 Followers

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