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Brazil's cuts rate by 25bp to 14.50% but flags deanchored inflation and Middle East risks
- Brazil delivered a cautious, unanimously agreed 25bp cut to 14.50%, but the absence of guidance and explicit warnings on deanchored inflation expectations signal the easing cycle is fragile and highly conditional.
Goldman: UAE exit from OPEC introduces oil supply upside risk once Strait of Hormuz reopen
- Goldman's verdict on the UAE's OPEC exit is straightforward: the Hormuz closure neutralises the near-term supply impact, but once the Strait reopens, Abu Dhabi's unconstrained production ambitions represent a meaningful downside risk to oil prices.
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