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Institutional FX
ICE Expands $1.6B Stake in Polymarket Despite Ongoing Regulatory Scrutiny
2026-03-27T19:42:33.198+02:00
ICE is expanding its Polymarket stake while also packaging prediction market data into signals for institutional use.
The move highlights growing interest from infrastructure providers, even as regulatory uncertainty remains unresolved.
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FinTech
Inside the Prediction Markets: Congress Rewrites the Playbook
2026-03-27T14:44:47.592+02:00
Three new bills in five days put prediction markets under direct legislative pressure.
As Congress moves to restrict what can be traded, platforms are tightening their own rules.
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Institutional FX
Rival CEOs Back New Fund Focused on Prediction Market Infrastructure
2026-03-24T13:28:22.121+02:00
The fund will back market makers, data providers and trading tools needed for institutional participation.
Rising funding, bank interest and regulatory alignment point to a growing ecosystem around prediction markets.
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CryptoCurrency
Polymarket Curbs Insider Bets: No Stolen Info, No Illegal Tips, No Outcome Influencers
2026-03-23T16:52:58.950+02:00
The prediction market has updated its market integrity rules on both its DeFi platform and CFTC-regulated U.S. exchange.
Major banks are starting to pull prediction markets into their existing insider‑trading rulebook.
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Trending
Inside the Prediction Markets: Starting to Play by the Rules
2026-03-20T16:32:33.723+02:00
Zero-fee trading, new rules, and state actions show prediction markets are starting to operate like real markets.
As regulators tighten oversight and liquidity concentrates, institutions are still watching — but not trading.
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FinTech
Polymarket’s MLB Deal Turns Prediction Markets Into Something Brokers Can Use
2026-03-20T11:35:33.893+02:00
Licensed data and clearer rules make event contracts easier to package as broker-ready products.
Turnkey infrastructure means firms can add prediction markets without building from scratch.
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FinTech
Funds Are Watching Prediction Markets But Not Using Them Yet, Report Finds
2026-03-19T11:51:57.187+02:00
Funds are testing prediction market data in arbitrage and macro signals, not as a core trading input.
Fragmented data and integration challenges are slowing institutional use despite growing attention.
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Polymarket Taps Palantir to Detect Cheating in Sports Prediction Markets
2026-03-10T16:44:20.798+02:00
Palantir’s analytics engine will monitor trading activity on Polymarket to flag potential manipulation and insider betting patterns.
The partnership comes as prediction markets expand into sports and face growing scrutiny over market integrity.
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FinTech
Inside the Prediction Markets: When the Real World Hits the Markets
2026-03-06T14:02:32.571+02:00
War bets, insider-trading concerns, and lawsuits put prediction markets under real-world stress.
As geopolitical events hit the order book, regulators, courts, and exchanges test the rules of event trading.
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CryptoCurrency
US Military Action Against Iran Exposes Split Between Polymarket and Kalshi Models
2026-03-02T12:37:21.690+02:00
The contrasting responses from offshore Polymarket and regulated Kalshi highlight how different market structures handle real-world geopolitical events.
Heavy trading, suspected timing patterns and divergent settlement rules reveal tension between unregulated markets and compliance-bound exchanges.
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CryptoCurrency
Inside the Prediction Markets: The Establishment Strikes Back
2026-02-20T16:10:32.776+02:00
Prediction markets wanted legitimacy. They got lawsuits, ETFs, and a courtroom showdown.
The establishment isn’t ignoring prediction markets anymore. It’s deciding who gets to run them.
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Retail FX
Dutch Regulator Shuts Polymarket Over Unlicensed Betting and Election Concerns
2026-02-18T16:46:27.397+02:00
The regulator orders Polymarket to stop unlicensed betting, warns of €840K maximum fines.
Meanwhile, prediction markets hit record $701.7 million daily volume despite growing regulatory pressure.
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Retail FX
“Traders Are Using Prediction Markets the Way They Use Other Markets,” Stand Founder Says After Kalshi Launch
2026-02-04T16:00:00.000+02:00
Edward Ridgely highlights growing systematic strategies and cross-venue trading in prediction markets.
The so-called “pro-tail traders” push prediction market infrastructure toward execution tools resembling traditional trading screens.
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Retail FX
Prediction Markets Hit $2.7M Fee Record While Kalshi Faces Court Ban
2026-01-21T09:54:43.928+02:00
The Massachusetts court ruling threatens platform's sports contracts while sector posts all-time revenue high.
Opinion and Polymarket drive surge as volumes climb across major platforms.
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CryptoCurrency
Unusual Whales Extends Insider Radar to Prediction Markets With “Unusual Predictions”
2026-01-20T19:48:51.521+02:00
In partnership with Polymarket, the platform now tracks large traders and shows their past trading results.
It also flags unusual activity that may resemble insider trading.
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Retail FX
Prediction Markets Hit Record $702 Million Daily Volume Amid Regulatory Pressure
2026-01-14T09:07:52.927+02:00
Trading on platforms like Kalshi surged to unprecedented levels despite local US regulators continuing their crackdown efforts.
Multiple states have issued cease-and-desist orders while federal courts temporarily block enforcement in some jurisdictions.
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Retail FX
Ukraine Blocks Polymarket as Platform Returns to US Under CFTC Oversight
2026-01-12T20:05:53.202+02:00
The platform processed more than $270M in bets tied to Ukraine events.
The service has returned to the US after being pushed offshore in 2022.
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Kalshi CEO Draws Battle Lines Over Insider Trading, Highlighting Deep Industry Divide
2026-01-08T13:31:35.889+02:00
The Polymarket insider trading controversy has exposed a sharp divide between regulated prediction markets and offshore platforms.
As scrutiny grows, competition in prediction markets is shifting away from product features toward regulation, governance, and institutional credibility.
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CryptoCurrency
Dow Jones Brings Polymarket Prediction Markets to Newsroom, Turning Headlines Into Probabilities
2026-01-07T19:15:52.988+02:00
The publisher behind The Wall Street Journal and MarketWatch will launch a new earnings calendar based on Polymarket data.
This partnership makes Polymarket the sole provider of prediction market data for Dow Jones consumer titles.
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CryptoCurrency
Polymarket Introduces Dynamic Fees to Curb Latency Arbitrage in Short-Term Crypto Markets
2026-01-07T15:17:07.422+02:00
Polymarket redesigned fees on its 15-minute crypto markets to redirect value from latency arbitrage toward genuine liquidity provision.
Polymarket is closing early infrastructure inefficiencies as its short-term markets mature.
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CryptoCurrency
U.S. Home Prices Become Tradeable Events as Polymarket Taps Parcl Data
2026-01-05T18:43:22.775+02:00
The new offering lets traders bet on home prices without owning property or mortgages.
It comes amid reports that prediction market traders face the same dismal odds as retail CFD investors.
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Retail FX
Why Prediction Markets Are Keeping Users When DeFi Cannot
2025-12-17T16:09:11.988+02:00
A report by Dune and Keyrock showed that prediction market platforms benefit directly from the news cycle.
The market has exploded since early 2024, with monthly volume rising from under $100 million to over $13 billion.
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CFTC Spares Polymarket, Gemini, Aristotle and MIAXdx From Swap Reporting Rules
2025-12-12T08:37:11.044+02:00
The U.S. regulator exempts four prediction market operators from some data and record-keeping requirements.
The relief highlights the growing role of fully collateralized event contracts in U.S. derivatives markets.
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Polymarket, CME Group, Kalshi, Crypto.com and Kraken Join CFTC's New CEO Innovation Council
2025-12-11T09:57:41.173+02:00
The first group includes prediction market operators and crypto exchanges as regulator accelerates derivatives modernization push.
The Council will focus on tokenization, 24/7 trading, perpetual contracts, and blockchain infrastructure for futures markets.
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Retail FX
Polymarket Rolls Out U.S. App After CFTC Green Light, Starting With Sports Events
2025-12-03T23:00:48.034+02:00
This launch marks a full return to the US after regulators pushed Polymarket offshore in 2022 over unregistered event-based derivatives.
The app initially opens to selected US users on a waitlist.
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