Polymarket
100,000 Polymarket Wallets Lost at Least $1,000, Bloomberg Analysis Shows
- Bloomberg and on-chain data show most users lose money, while a small group captures the majority of profits.
- The structure mirrors leveraged trading markets, raising questions about suitability and regulatory response.
Wednesday, 29/04/2026 | 15:25 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Are We All Pigeons? The Hidden Psychology Behind Prediction Markets
- Gambling and prediction markets rely on simple, repetitive interactions that trigger dopamine responses.
- When the probability of an outcome is uncertain, the brain releases significantly more dopamine.
Wednesday, 29/04/2026 | 08:44 GMT by
Sylwester Majewski
How Polymarket Users Move From Crypto to Sports And Why It Matters
- Most users enter through crypto markets, which offer low entry barriers and familiar trading patterns.
- Sports drives engagement, accounting for roughly 64% of total market volume and sustaining repeat activity.
Tuesday, 28/04/2026 | 13:08 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: Candidates Bet on Themselves as Platforms Push Into Perpetual Futures
- A senator presses the CFTC on how disputed bets are defined and resolved, highlighting gaps in current oversight.
- Platforms tighten rules while moving into crypto derivatives, expanding beyond event contracts.
Friday, 24/04/2026 | 17:15 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
U.S. Charges Soldier in First Insider Trading Case Linked to Prediction Markets
- Prosecutors say the defendant used classified intelligence to place bets on Polymarket, earning over $400,000.
- The case signals that insider trading laws are now being actively enforced in prediction markets.
Friday, 24/04/2026 | 09:24 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi and Polymarket Move Into Perpetual Futures, Taking On Offshore Exchanges
- Both platforms are launching perpetual futures, extending beyond event contracts into the core crypto derivatives market.
- The move positions them against offshore exchanges, but raises questions about liquidity, pricing, and execution.
Wednesday, 22/04/2026 | 13:36 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Prediction Market Lobbying Spend Rises Over 60% as Regulatory Pressure Builds in Washington
- Industry lobbying spend hit a record in Q1, driven by both prediction platforms and sports betting incumbents.
- The surge reflects how much depends on regulatory outcomes, including whether these markets remain accessible under derivatives rules.
Tuesday, 21/04/2026 | 11:27 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Polymarket Seeks $15B Valuation as It Raises Capital Ahead of U.S. Regulatory Outcome
- The new funding would support legal costs, user growth, and infrastructure as Polymarket prepares to re-enter the U.S.
- Major investors are backing the company before regulatory clarity, pricing legal risk into the valuation.
Monday, 20/04/2026 | 12:07 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: Courts Weigh State Crackdown as Trading Hits $6.5B
- Courts weigh whether states can block prediction markets as the CFTC asserts federal authority.
- Trading hits $6.5B while platforms narrow offerings and expand infrastructure.
Friday, 17/04/2026 | 09:43 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Prediction Markets Build Washington Presence as Legislative Pressure Mounts
- Kalshi and Polymarket are scaling up lobbying operations, adding staff, offices and industry groups in Washington.
- The build-out comes as Congress advances multiple bills that could reshape core products such as sports contracts.
Thursday, 16/04/2026 | 17:07 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Polymarket Replaces Bridged USDC Aiming for a U.S. Relaunch
- The platform is replacing bridged USDC with a native token backed 1:1 by reserve-held USDC.
- The overhaul reduces bridge risk and adds features institutional traders typically require, including multisig support.
Tuesday, 07/04/2026 | 13:42 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: $1.6B Institutional Inflow Meets a Federal Crackdown
- The CFTC names insider trading a priority as ICE closes its Polymarket investment and Kalshi wins margin approval.
- Enforcement tightens while capital and activity continue to grow across prediction markets.
Friday, 03/04/2026 | 12:36 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
LALIGA Signs Polymarket in First European League Deal with a Prediction Market Platform
- Polymarket is using sports partnerships to distribute event contracts to a wider audience.
- Growth through distribution is accelerating, but regulatory treatment remains unresolved.
Friday, 03/04/2026 | 11:53 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Analysts Say $200 Oil Is Possible - Prediction Markets Show It’s Not Probable
- Analysts model how prices could react under disruption, while markets assign probabilities to those scenarios.
- Event contracts imply that even severe supply shocks are not currently seen as the central outcome.
Monday, 30/03/2026 | 10:57 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
ICE Expands $1.6B Stake in Polymarket Despite Ongoing Regulatory Scrutiny
- ICE is expanding its Polymarket stake while also packaging prediction market data into signals for institutional use.
- The move highlights growing interest from infrastructure providers, even as regulatory uncertainty remains unresolved.
Friday, 27/03/2026 | 17:42 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Rival CEOs Back New Fund Focused on Prediction Market Infrastructure
- The fund will back market makers, data providers and trading tools needed for institutional participation.
- Rising funding, bank interest and regulatory alignment point to a growing ecosystem around prediction markets.
Tuesday, 24/03/2026 | 11:28 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Polymarket Curbs Insider Bets: No Stolen Info, No Illegal Tips, No Outcome Influencers
- The prediction market has updated its market integrity rules on both its DeFi platform and CFTC-regulated U.S. exchange.
- Major banks are starting to pull prediction markets into their existing insider‑trading rulebook.
Monday, 23/03/2026 | 14:52 GMT by
Jared Kirui
Inside the Prediction Markets: Starting to Play by the Rules
- Zero-fee trading, new rules, and state actions show prediction markets are starting to operate like real markets.
- As regulators tighten oversight and liquidity concentrates, institutions are still watching — but not trading.
Friday, 20/03/2026 | 14:32 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Polymarket’s MLB Deal Turns Prediction Markets Into Something Brokers Can Use
- Licensed data and clearer rules make event contracts easier to package as broker-ready products.
- Turnkey infrastructure means firms can add prediction markets without building from scratch.
Friday, 20/03/2026 | 09:35 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Funds Are Watching Prediction Markets But Not Using Them Yet, Report Finds
- Funds are testing prediction market data in arbitrage and macro signals, not as a core trading input.
- Fragmented data and integration challenges are slowing institutional use despite growing attention.
Thursday, 19/03/2026 | 09:51 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Polymarket Taps Palantir to Detect Cheating in Sports Prediction Markets
- Palantir’s analytics engine will monitor trading activity on Polymarket to flag potential manipulation and insider betting patterns.
- The partnership comes as prediction markets expand into sports and face growing scrutiny over market integrity.
Tuesday, 10/03/2026 | 14:44 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: When the Real World Hits the Markets
- War bets, insider-trading concerns, and lawsuits put prediction markets under real-world stress.
- As geopolitical events hit the order book, regulators, courts, and exchanges test the rules of event trading.
Friday, 06/03/2026 | 12:02 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
US Military Action Against Iran Exposes Split Between Polymarket and Kalshi Models
- The contrasting responses from offshore Polymarket and regulated Kalshi highlight how different market structures handle real-world geopolitical events.
- Heavy trading, suspected timing patterns and divergent settlement rules reveal tension between unregulated markets and compliance-bound exchanges.
Monday, 02/03/2026 | 10:37 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
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