XRP traded at $1.13 on July 7, 2026, about 9% above a June close of $1.04 that broke below the $1.26 shelf for the first time since 2023.
My monthly chart closed under the 50-month EMA that had capped every dip for over three years, turning the XRP trend structurally bearish.
A confirmed loss of $1.00 parity opens staged downside targets at $0.67, $0.47 and $0.29, the 2018 and 2022 structural lows on my chart.
How low can XRP price go? Let's check the current XRP price predictions
XRP traded at $1.13 on Tuesday, July 7, 2026,
about 9% above a June monthly close of $1.04 that broke three years of chart
structure. The month printed a 22% loss and the first monthly close below the
$1.26 support that had contained every dip since 2023. My monthly chart also
closed beneath the 50-month exponential moving average, a line price held
almost without interruption for more than three years.
Follow
me on X for real-time crypto market analysis: @ChmielDk
XRP Technical Analysis:
The First Monthly Close Below $1.26 in Three Years
The June
candle is the most important XRP has printed in three years. Price closed the
month at $1.04, down 22%, and for the first time since 2023 it settled below
the $1.26 shelf that had held the token in check for months. That level is not
arbitrary. It aligns with the May 2018 lows and the second-half 2021
resistance, so its loss carries structural weight.
The same
candle closed below the 50-month exponential moving average, the line price had
tracked above almost without a break for more than three years. In more than 15
years reading these charts, 10 of them at FinanceMagnates.com and documented on
my analyst page, I have watched XRP defend the
$1.26 area repeatedly. This is the first monthly close beneath it.
How low can the XRP price go after the monthly break? Source: Tradingview.com
The last
line for the bulls is $1.00. My chart shows a decisive loss of parity opening a
staged decline toward historical structure below. The first stop is the $0.93
to $0.76 band, the 2023 to 2024 supply zone I flagged in my June analysis. Below it, three levels define the
bearish path.
A move of
roughly 35% from the breakdown zone tests $0.67, the 2018 resistance retested
in 2020 and defended through 2023 and 2024. A drop of around 55% reaches $0.47,
the extension of that same band near the 50-week moving average. The apogee of
the bearish case sits about 71% lower at $0.29, the level that marked the 2018
to 2019 lows and the bear-market floor at the turn of 2022 and 2023.
XRP/USDT on a daily chart. Source: Tradingview.com
On the
daily chart the same $1.26 resistance is visible, last tested in mid-June. The
50-day EMA now acts as dynamic resistance, tagged in early July and rejected on
the retest. XRP sits at $1.13, mid-range, boxed between $1.26 above and the
$1.01 to $1.03 late-June lows that guard $1.00 parity. My directional bias
stays bearish while price holds under $1.26, and it only flips on a monthly
close back above that shelf.
Level
Type
Notes
$1.26
Resistance
Multi-year
shelf, first monthly close below in June
Institutional
signaling added to the pressure. MicroStrategy confirmed the sale of about $216
million in Bitcoin, and the move is "likely to weigh on sentiment,"
said Paul Howard, Senior Director at Wincent. Howard noted that high-profile
institutional sales often trigger copycat de-risking, and that a decision to
monetize part of a position can read as a cautious signal for the next three to
four months. He added that much of the transaction was probably executed
over-the-counter to limit direct market impact.
Regulation
removed the one catalyst bulls were counting on. The CLARITY Act, which would classify XRP as a
commodity under US law, missed its early-July target after the Senate left for
recess. The floor vote now sits in late July or early August, per congressional
scheduling.
The
pressure on XRP comes from four converging factors:
Institutional signaling: MicroStrategy's $216M Bitcoin
sale dented sentiment, per Wincent's Howard
Stalled regulation: the CLARITY Act floor vote
slipped to late July, removing the bull catalyst
Macro dependence: Bitcoin's floor and the Fed's
rate path now move XRP more than any Ripple headline
How Low Can XRP Go? XRP
Price Predictions
Forecasts
on XRP span an unusually wide range, and each deserves a view against my
levels. The table below pairs the major calls with my own read.
Source
Target
Notes
My analysis (base)
$0.67, $0.47, $0.29
Staged on
loss of $1.00 parity
Standard Chartered (Kendrick)
$2.80 / $8.00
Contingent
on CLARITY Act and $10B ETF inflows
24/7 Wall St
$0.80
Next support below $1.00
Changelly (model)
$1.17 avg July
Range-bound base case
Bitcoin Foundation
$1.20-$1.35
Relief
rally on BTC recovery
Standard
Chartered's Geoffrey Kendrick holds a $2.80 base case and an $8.00 bull target,
both contingent on the CLARITY Act passing and ETF inflows reaching $10
billion. My view is that the calendar is not delivering that catalyst, so I
treat $8 as a 2027 story at best while price trades below $1.26. The 24/7 Wall
St call for $0.80 as the next support below $1.00 lines up with the top of my
$0.93 to $0.76 band, the first magnet before $0.67.
Changelly's
model averages about $1.17 for July, a range-bound read that only holds while
$1.00 survives, and the monthly close argues the other way. Bitcoin
Foundation's $1.20 to $1.35 recovery scenario requires Bitcoin reclaiming its
own broken levels first, which makes it a relief bounce rather than a trend
change. My base case stays lower: staged downside on any confirmed loss of
parity, an extension of the bear path my June 5 analysis tracked and the downside targets I first mapped in January.
FAQ, XRP Price Analysis
Why is the XRP price going
down?
XRP fell
22% in June as part of a broad crypto selloff that pushed Bitcoin below
$59,000. The decline was macro rather than XRP-specific, compounded by
MicroStrategy's $216 million Bitcoin sale and a CLARITY Act floor vote that
slipped to late July. The June monthly close below $1.26 turned the technical
picture structurally bearish.
What is the key support
level for XRP now?
The line
that matters is $1.00 parity. Below it, my chart shows the first support at the
$0.93 to $0.76 band, the 2023 to 2024 supply zone. A monthly close under $1.00
would confirm the breakdown and open the staged targets beneath, starting near
$0.67 and extending toward $0.29.
How low can XRP go in
2026?
My analysis
maps three downside targets measured from the loss of $1.00 parity: roughly 35%
to $0.67, around 55% to $0.47, and about 71% to $0.29. Each aligns with
historical structure, from the 2018 resistance at $0.67 to the 2018-19 and
2022-23 lows near $0.29. These activate only on a confirmed monthly loss of
parity.
Can XRP still reach $8
this cycle?
Standard
Chartered's Geoffrey Kendrick keeps an $8.00 target, but it is contingent on
the CLARITY Act passing and XRP ETF inflows reaching $10 billion. Neither
condition is met, and the bill's floor vote has slipped to late July. With
price below $1.26, I treat $8 as a 2027 scenario rather than a 2026 base case.
What would invalidate this
bearish XRP price prediction?
A monthly
close back above $1.26 would neutralize the breakdown. Beyond that, XRP needs
to reclaim the $1.51 to $1.57 ceiling that has capped every rally in 2026 to
shift the structure bullish. Until then, my base case stays lower, with $1.00
parity the immediate line to watch.
XRP traded at $1.13 on Tuesday, July 7, 2026,
about 9% above a June monthly close of $1.04 that broke three years of chart
structure. The month printed a 22% loss and the first monthly close below the
$1.26 support that had contained every dip since 2023. My monthly chart also
closed beneath the 50-month exponential moving average, a line price held
almost without interruption for more than three years.
Follow
me on X for real-time crypto market analysis: @ChmielDk
XRP Technical Analysis:
The First Monthly Close Below $1.26 in Three Years
The June
candle is the most important XRP has printed in three years. Price closed the
month at $1.04, down 22%, and for the first time since 2023 it settled below
the $1.26 shelf that had held the token in check for months. That level is not
arbitrary. It aligns with the May 2018 lows and the second-half 2021
resistance, so its loss carries structural weight.
The same
candle closed below the 50-month exponential moving average, the line price had
tracked above almost without a break for more than three years. In more than 15
years reading these charts, 10 of them at FinanceMagnates.com and documented on
my analyst page, I have watched XRP defend the
$1.26 area repeatedly. This is the first monthly close beneath it.
How low can the XRP price go after the monthly break? Source: Tradingview.com
The last
line for the bulls is $1.00. My chart shows a decisive loss of parity opening a
staged decline toward historical structure below. The first stop is the $0.93
to $0.76 band, the 2023 to 2024 supply zone I flagged in my June analysis. Below it, three levels define the
bearish path.
A move of
roughly 35% from the breakdown zone tests $0.67, the 2018 resistance retested
in 2020 and defended through 2023 and 2024. A drop of around 55% reaches $0.47,
the extension of that same band near the 50-week moving average. The apogee of
the bearish case sits about 71% lower at $0.29, the level that marked the 2018
to 2019 lows and the bear-market floor at the turn of 2022 and 2023.
XRP/USDT on a daily chart. Source: Tradingview.com
On the
daily chart the same $1.26 resistance is visible, last tested in mid-June. The
50-day EMA now acts as dynamic resistance, tagged in early July and rejected on
the retest. XRP sits at $1.13, mid-range, boxed between $1.26 above and the
$1.01 to $1.03 late-June lows that guard $1.00 parity. My directional bias
stays bearish while price holds under $1.26, and it only flips on a monthly
close back above that shelf.
Level
Type
Notes
$1.26
Resistance
Multi-year
shelf, first monthly close below in June
Institutional
signaling added to the pressure. MicroStrategy confirmed the sale of about $216
million in Bitcoin, and the move is "likely to weigh on sentiment,"
said Paul Howard, Senior Director at Wincent. Howard noted that high-profile
institutional sales often trigger copycat de-risking, and that a decision to
monetize part of a position can read as a cautious signal for the next three to
four months. He added that much of the transaction was probably executed
over-the-counter to limit direct market impact.
Regulation
removed the one catalyst bulls were counting on. The CLARITY Act, which would classify XRP as a
commodity under US law, missed its early-July target after the Senate left for
recess. The floor vote now sits in late July or early August, per congressional
scheduling.
The
pressure on XRP comes from four converging factors:
Institutional signaling: MicroStrategy's $216M Bitcoin
sale dented sentiment, per Wincent's Howard
Stalled regulation: the CLARITY Act floor vote
slipped to late July, removing the bull catalyst
Macro dependence: Bitcoin's floor and the Fed's
rate path now move XRP more than any Ripple headline
How Low Can XRP Go? XRP
Price Predictions
Forecasts
on XRP span an unusually wide range, and each deserves a view against my
levels. The table below pairs the major calls with my own read.
Source
Target
Notes
My analysis (base)
$0.67, $0.47, $0.29
Staged on
loss of $1.00 parity
Standard Chartered (Kendrick)
$2.80 / $8.00
Contingent
on CLARITY Act and $10B ETF inflows
24/7 Wall St
$0.80
Next support below $1.00
Changelly (model)
$1.17 avg July
Range-bound base case
Bitcoin Foundation
$1.20-$1.35
Relief
rally on BTC recovery
Standard
Chartered's Geoffrey Kendrick holds a $2.80 base case and an $8.00 bull target,
both contingent on the CLARITY Act passing and ETF inflows reaching $10
billion. My view is that the calendar is not delivering that catalyst, so I
treat $8 as a 2027 story at best while price trades below $1.26. The 24/7 Wall
St call for $0.80 as the next support below $1.00 lines up with the top of my
$0.93 to $0.76 band, the first magnet before $0.67.
Changelly's
model averages about $1.17 for July, a range-bound read that only holds while
$1.00 survives, and the monthly close argues the other way. Bitcoin
Foundation's $1.20 to $1.35 recovery scenario requires Bitcoin reclaiming its
own broken levels first, which makes it a relief bounce rather than a trend
change. My base case stays lower: staged downside on any confirmed loss of
parity, an extension of the bear path my June 5 analysis tracked and the downside targets I first mapped in January.
FAQ, XRP Price Analysis
Why is the XRP price going
down?
XRP fell
22% in June as part of a broad crypto selloff that pushed Bitcoin below
$59,000. The decline was macro rather than XRP-specific, compounded by
MicroStrategy's $216 million Bitcoin sale and a CLARITY Act floor vote that
slipped to late July. The June monthly close below $1.26 turned the technical
picture structurally bearish.
What is the key support
level for XRP now?
The line
that matters is $1.00 parity. Below it, my chart shows the first support at the
$0.93 to $0.76 band, the 2023 to 2024 supply zone. A monthly close under $1.00
would confirm the breakdown and open the staged targets beneath, starting near
$0.67 and extending toward $0.29.
How low can XRP go in
2026?
My analysis
maps three downside targets measured from the loss of $1.00 parity: roughly 35%
to $0.67, around 55% to $0.47, and about 71% to $0.29. Each aligns with
historical structure, from the 2018 resistance at $0.67 to the 2018-19 and
2022-23 lows near $0.29. These activate only on a confirmed monthly loss of
parity.
Can XRP still reach $8
this cycle?
Standard
Chartered's Geoffrey Kendrick keeps an $8.00 target, but it is contingent on
the CLARITY Act passing and XRP ETF inflows reaching $10 billion. Neither
condition is met, and the bill's floor vote has slipped to late July. With
price below $1.26, I treat $8 as a 2027 scenario rather than a 2026 base case.
What would invalidate this
bearish XRP price prediction?
A monthly
close back above $1.26 would neutralize the breakdown. Beyond that, XRP needs
to reclaim the $1.51 to $1.57 ceiling that has capped every rally in 2026 to
shift the structure bullish. Until then, my base case stays lower, with $1.00
parity the immediate line to watch.
Damian Chmiel is a Senior Analyst & Editor at Finance Magnates with more than 15 years of experience in the CFD and online trading industry. Active as both a trader and journalist since 2010, he focuses on broker coverage, fintech innovation, and regulatory developments across Europe, the Middle East, and Asia.
His work includes interviews with C-level leaders at major brokerages and fintech platforms, as well as co-authoring Finance Magnates’ quarterly industry benchmarking reports. Damian’s reporting is data-driven, market-aware, and grounded in direct industry engagement. His analysis and commentary have also been cited by external media outlets, including Investing.com, Binance, The Asset, Stockhead, and Dispatch.
Education:
MA in Finance and Accounting, Cracow University of Economics
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✅ Why user experience is now a competitive advantage
✅ How brokers can launch faster and scale more efficiently
✅ The biggest challenges facing the online trading industry
✅ Quadcode's growth plans and product roadmap
Whether you're launching a brokerage, growing an existing business, or following the latest fintech trends, this interview offers valuable insights into where the industry is heading.
#FinanceMagnates #Quadcode #OnlineTrading #BrokerTechnology #Fintech #CFD #Forex #TradingPlatform #AI #SaaS #Brokerage #BusinessDevelopment
How are AI and Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) changing the future of online trading?
In this exclusive Finance Magnates interview, Adonis Adonis, News Editor at Finance Magnates, speaks with Demetris Makrides, Head of Business Development at Quadcode, about the trends shaping the brokerage industry in 2026 and beyond.
They discuss why more brokers are choosing turnkey solutions over building their own technology, how AI is improving trading platforms, and what brokers need to stay competitive in an increasingly crowded market.
In this interview:
✅ What makes Quadcode's brokerage solution different
✅ Why SaaS is becoming the preferred model for brokers
✅ The growing role of AI in online trading
✅ Why user experience is now a competitive advantage
✅ How brokers can launch faster and scale more efficiently
✅ The biggest challenges facing the online trading industry
✅ Quadcode's growth plans and product roadmap
Whether you're launching a brokerage, growing an existing business, or following the latest fintech trends, this interview offers valuable insights into where the industry is heading.
#FinanceMagnates #Quadcode #OnlineTrading #BrokerTechnology #Fintech #CFD #Forex #TradingPlatform #AI #SaaS #Brokerage #BusinessDevelopment
How are AI and Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) changing the future of online trading?
In this exclusive Finance Magnates interview, Adonis Adonis, News Editor at Finance Magnates, speaks with Demetris Makrides, Head of Business Development at Quadcode, about the trends shaping the brokerage industry in 2026 and beyond.
They discuss why more brokers are choosing turnkey solutions over building their own technology, how AI is improving trading platforms, and what brokers need to stay competitive in an increasingly crowded market.
In this interview:
✅ What makes Quadcode's brokerage solution different
✅ Why SaaS is becoming the preferred model for brokers
✅ The growing role of AI in online trading
✅ Why user experience is now a competitive advantage
✅ How brokers can launch faster and scale more efficiently
✅ The biggest challenges facing the online trading industry
✅ Quadcode's growth plans and product roadmap
Whether you're launching a brokerage, growing an existing business, or following the latest fintech trends, this interview offers valuable insights into where the industry is heading.
#FinanceMagnates #Quadcode #OnlineTrading #BrokerTechnology #Fintech #CFD #Forex #TradingPlatform #AI #SaaS #Brokerage #BusinessDevelopment
FM Daily Brief – 3 July 2026
FM Daily Brief – 3 July 2026
FM Daily Brief – 3 July 2026
FM Daily Brief – 3 July 2026
FM Daily Brief – 3 July 2026
FM Daily Brief – 3 July 2026
Today’s Friday, the 3rd of July 2026, and these are our main stories: Esma warns that prediction markets may still fall under the EU’s binary options ban, prediction markets surpass 50 billion dollars in monthly trading volume and brokers rethink client engagement in a tougher regulatory landscape.
Today’s Friday, the 3rd of July 2026, and these are our main stories: Esma warns that prediction markets may still fall under the EU’s binary options ban, prediction markets surpass 50 billion dollars in monthly trading volume and brokers rethink client engagement in a tougher regulatory landscape.
Today’s Friday, the 3rd of July 2026, and these are our main stories: Esma warns that prediction markets may still fall under the EU’s binary options ban, prediction markets surpass 50 billion dollars in monthly trading volume and brokers rethink client engagement in a tougher regulatory landscape.
Today’s Friday, the 3rd of July 2026, and these are our main stories: Esma warns that prediction markets may still fall under the EU’s binary options ban, prediction markets surpass 50 billion dollars in monthly trading volume and brokers rethink client engagement in a tougher regulatory landscape.
Today’s Friday, the 3rd of July 2026, and these are our main stories: Esma warns that prediction markets may still fall under the EU’s binary options ban, prediction markets surpass 50 billion dollars in monthly trading volume and brokers rethink client engagement in a tougher regulatory landscape.
Today’s Friday, the 3rd of July 2026, and these are our main stories: Esma warns that prediction markets may still fall under the EU’s binary options ban, prediction markets surpass 50 billion dollars in monthly trading volume and brokers rethink client engagement in a tougher regulatory landscape.
