Why Bitcoin Price Is Surging Today? Bulls Target $140K BTC as Crypto Rally Accelerates

Monday, 11/08/2025 | 09:13 GMT by Damian Chmiel
  • Bitcoin price surges 2.84% to $121,625 as institutional demand and Fed policy expectations drive cryptocurrency markets toward new ATH.
  • XRP price rallies 11% above $3.25 following Ripple-SEC settlement dismissal, with institutional trading volumes exploding 208% to $12.40 billion.
  • Technical analysis reveals Bitcoin bulls challenging the critical 1.618% Fibonacci golden ratio at $122,000 and bullish BTC price predictions.
Bitcoin bag staying in the center of stash of coins and two arrows: green up and red down

Bitcoin (BTC) price has exploded past $122,000 today, marking another aggressive push toward its all-time high (ATH) as institutional demand and favorable economic conditions create perfect storm conditions. The world's leading cryptocurrency is currently trading at $121,625, representing a 2.8% surge that has market analysts eyeing the critical $140,000 target zone.

The bullish price action comes as Bitcoin buyers mount their second assault on the 1.618% Fibonacci golden ratio above $122,000, a mathematically significant resistance level that has proven stubborn in previous attempts.

In the article below, I analyze why the Bitcoin price is going up today, conduct a technical analysis of the BTC/USDT chart using my 10+ years of market experience, and review the latest Bitcoin price predictions from analysts and banks.

Why Bitcoin Price Is Surging Today?

The current Bitcoin price rally is driven by several converging factors that have created an exceptionally bullish environment:

  • Institutional Treasury Rebalancing: Major corporations are rapidly expanding Bitcoin allocations following regulatory clarity
  • Federal Reserve Policy Expectations: Anticipated September rate cuts support risk-on asset performance
  • Fibonacci Technical Breakout: Bulls challenging the critical 1.618% golden ratio resistance level
  • Derivatives Market Positioning: Over $3 billion in open interest targeting $140,000 strike prices
  • Reduced Exchange Reserves: On-chain data shows long-term holders accumulating rather than distributing
Paul Howard, Wincent
Paul Howard, Wincent

“The signing of an executive order from the US administration last week has initiated fresh ETF buying and positive sentiment ahead of the CPI and PPI data this week. This has pushed Bitcoin near all-time highs," Paul Howard, Director at Wincent, commented for FinanceMagnates.com.

Current Bitcoin Price Today Analysis and Trading Data

Bitcoin's momentum has pushed the digital asset to $122,355 during European trading hours, testing the crucial Fibonacci extension that originates from both the 2018 and 2022 bear market lows. Current market data reveals impressive fundamentals driving this rally.

The cryptocurrency commands a $2.33 trillion market capitalization with robust 24-hour trading volumes hitting $14.38 billion. This represents sustained institutional interest rather than speculative retail frenzy, suggesting deeper conviction behind the current price surge.

Technical indicators paint an increasingly bullish picture. Bitcoin has successfully defended key support levels and broken through multiple resistance zones, creating what many analysts describe as a "golden breakout" scenario. The 0.15% daily gain might seem modest, but the 4.02% weekly performance and year-to-date momentum tell a compelling growth story.

Bitcoin price today. Source: CoinMarketCap.com
Bitcoin price today. Source: CoinMarketCap.com

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin's Path to New Highs

Based on my technical analysis of the BTC/USDT chart, during the Monday session on August 11, 2025, the price of the world’s oldest and largest cryptocurrency tested the $122,335 level, the highest since mid-July, when the same chart showed an all-time high of $123,218. While Bitcoin has reached new peaks against some currencies on certain exchanges today, it still falls short by just under $1,000 compared with those previous records. Nevertheless, Bitcoin is once again challenging a key technical resistance level and has broken through the psychological barrier of $120,000, which could pave the way for a new price discovery phase.

The crucial factor will be how the price behaves by the close of the session. If it manages to end the day above $120,000, something that did not happen at the previous ATH, as the price corrected sharply before the close, this would mark the highest daily close in history, potentially opening the door for further appreciation. While predicting the exact direction is closer to gazing into a crystal ball, Fibonacci extensions can provide guidance. Measuring the trend from the April lows to the July highs and then the pullback to around $110,000 in August, the 61.8% extension lies near $127,000, the 100% extension just below $137,000, and the 161.8% extension around $153,000.

Bitcoin price technical analysis. Source: Tradingview.com
Bitcoin price technical analysis. Source: Tradingview.com

I see these as medium- and long-term upside targets for Bitcoin. Notably, these levels align with forecasts from major institutions, including banks and well-known analysts, who also project $150,000 or higher by late 2025 and into 2026.

Bitcoin Price Predictions from Leading Experts

Industry luminaries maintain aggressively bullish long-term targets despite short-term volatility concerns. The following table summarizes major Bitcoin price predictions from respected market participants:

Expert/Source

Prediction

Timeframe

Cathie Wood (ARK Invest)

$1,000,000

By 2030

Standard Chartered

$500,000

Medium-term

Crypto Derivatives Market (Deribit)

$140,000

Near-term (Call option strike)

Cathie Wood of ARK Invest projects Bitcoin reaching $1 million by 2030, citing network effects and institutional adoption as primary catalysts. Her analysis focuses on Bitcoin's role as a monetary network that grows exponentially with user adoption.

Standard Chartered's research team forecasts $500,000 as a medium-term target, emphasizing Bitcoin's role as digital gold in an increasingly uncertain macroeconomic environment. Their analysis focuses on supply scarcity and growing demand from sovereign wealth funds.

The $140,000 call option represents the most popular strike price on Deribit derivatives exchange, with over $3 billion in notional open interest. This suggests professional traders expect significant upside potential from current levels, creating natural momentum as the contract approaches expiration.

“Historical analysis (with 2025 being the post-halving year when prices typically rally) indicates BTC can still move higher. So whilst some pundits expect to see some froth taken off the top here, I remain with my thesis we can expect $150,000 before year end,” Howard added.

Yuo can also check a bearish view: How Low Can Bitcoin Go? Arthur Hayes' BTC Price Prediction Suggests That Crypto May Go Down And Hit $100K

Institutional Adoption Driving Bitcoin Momentum

Major corporate treasury departments are rapidly expanding their Bitcoin allocations following recent regulatory clarity. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier this year opened floodgates for institutional participation, with pension funds and endowments now viewing cryptocurrency as a legitimate portfolio diversifier.

Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy continues leading corporate adoption, while newer entrants like Tesla and Block maintain substantial positions. This institutional backing provides crucial price stability during volatile periods and creates natural buying pressure during market dips.

Professional trading desks report unprecedented demand from family offices and hedge funds seeking Bitcoin exposure. The maturation of crypto derivatives markets has enabled sophisticated risk management strategies, making Bitcoin more attractive to traditional finance professionals.

Federal Policy Changes Boost Crypto Markets

Recent executive orders from President Trump allowing cryptocurrency investments in 401(k) retirement plans have fundamentally altered the regulatory landscape. This policy shift eliminates previous barriers preventing millions of Americans from accessing Bitcoin through employer-sponsored retirement accounts.

Simon Peters, crypto analyst at eToro
Simon Peters, crypto analyst at eToro, Source: LinekdIn

"Crypto markets have advanced from their recent lows, with Bitcoin on the verge of setting a new all-time high, as President Trump signed an executive order last week allowing 401(k) plans to invest into cryptoassets marking another step forward toward mainstream adoption of crypto in the United States," said Simon Peters, the crypto analyst at eToro.

Federal Reserve policy expectations continue supporting risk assets like Bitcoin. Despite upcoming inflation data that may show core CPI rising 0.3% in July, market strategists believe the Fed remains committed to interest rate cuts in September. Lower interest rates typically benefit alternative assets as investors seek higher-yielding opportunities.

The regulatory clarity extends beyond domestic policy. International coordination on cryptocurrency regulation has reduced uncertainty, encouraging cross-border institutional adoption and creating more predictable operating environments for crypto businesses.

XRP Price Rally Adds to Crypto Market Optimism

In addition to Bitcoin, the broader cryptocurrency market is also advancing today. XRP has strengthened by about 3.5% since the morning, testing the $3.33 level and challenging local resistance defined by the highs from early this month and mid-July. Ethereum is also performing strongly, extending local highs for the third consecutive day and testing nearly $4,350 on Monday.

The rally follows the formal dismissal of the SEC's case against Ripple Labs, removing a major regulatory overhang that had suppressed institutional interest for years.

XRP's institutional trading volumes exploded 208% to $12.40 billion, indicating massive corporate repositioning following the legal resolution. The $3.15-$3.16 support zone has emerged as a crucial technical level, with resistance appearing at $3.24-$3.27.

Open interest in XRP derivatives jumped 15% to $5.90 billion, demonstrating aggressive positioning from large players anticipating continued upside. Some institutional research desks now target $4.50-$5.00 as potential medium-term objectives for the digital asset.

Why XRP Is Outperforming Other Altcoins

The Ripple-SEC settlement represents more than legal closure. It establishes regulatory precedent for other cryptocurrency projects facing similar challenges. XRP's utility in cross-border payments has attracted renewed attention from financial institutions seeking efficient settlement solutions.

Corporate treasury departments that previously avoided XRP due to regulatory uncertainty are now reassessing their positions. The asset's established infrastructure and enterprise partnerships position it advantageously as institutional adoption accelerates across the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem.

Technical analysis reveals XRP breaking through multi-month consolidation patterns with strong volume confirmation. The combination of regulatory clarity, institutional flows, and technical breakouts creates compelling conditions for sustained price appreciation.

Risk Factors and Market Considerations

Despite overwhelming bullish sentiment, prudent risk management remains essential given cryptocurrency's inherent volatility. Key risk factors to monitor include:

  • Inflation Data Impact: Tuesday's CPI report could trigger short-term volatility if significantly above expectations
  • Technical Resistance: The $122,000-$125,000 zone may prove challenging without sustained institutional buying
  • Regulatory Changes: Policy announcements could impact trading conditions or institutional participation
  • Market Sentiment Shifts: Rapid changes in risk appetite could affect cryptocurrency valuations

Technical resistance levels around $122,000-$125,000 may prove challenging to overcome without sustained institutional buying pressure. Previous failed attempts at similar levels demonstrate the importance of volume confirmation and follow-through buying to validate breakouts.

Bitcoin (BTC) price has exploded past $122,000 today, marking another aggressive push toward its all-time high (ATH) as institutional demand and favorable economic conditions create perfect storm conditions. The world's leading cryptocurrency is currently trading at $121,625, representing a 2.8% surge that has market analysts eyeing the critical $140,000 target zone.

The bullish price action comes as Bitcoin buyers mount their second assault on the 1.618% Fibonacci golden ratio above $122,000, a mathematically significant resistance level that has proven stubborn in previous attempts.

In the article below, I analyze why the Bitcoin price is going up today, conduct a technical analysis of the BTC/USDT chart using my 10+ years of market experience, and review the latest Bitcoin price predictions from analysts and banks.

Why Bitcoin Price Is Surging Today?

The current Bitcoin price rally is driven by several converging factors that have created an exceptionally bullish environment:

  • Institutional Treasury Rebalancing: Major corporations are rapidly expanding Bitcoin allocations following regulatory clarity
  • Federal Reserve Policy Expectations: Anticipated September rate cuts support risk-on asset performance
  • Fibonacci Technical Breakout: Bulls challenging the critical 1.618% golden ratio resistance level
  • Derivatives Market Positioning: Over $3 billion in open interest targeting $140,000 strike prices
  • Reduced Exchange Reserves: On-chain data shows long-term holders accumulating rather than distributing
Paul Howard, Wincent
Paul Howard, Wincent

“The signing of an executive order from the US administration last week has initiated fresh ETF buying and positive sentiment ahead of the CPI and PPI data this week. This has pushed Bitcoin near all-time highs," Paul Howard, Director at Wincent, commented for FinanceMagnates.com.

Current Bitcoin Price Today Analysis and Trading Data

Bitcoin's momentum has pushed the digital asset to $122,355 during European trading hours, testing the crucial Fibonacci extension that originates from both the 2018 and 2022 bear market lows. Current market data reveals impressive fundamentals driving this rally.

The cryptocurrency commands a $2.33 trillion market capitalization with robust 24-hour trading volumes hitting $14.38 billion. This represents sustained institutional interest rather than speculative retail frenzy, suggesting deeper conviction behind the current price surge.

Technical indicators paint an increasingly bullish picture. Bitcoin has successfully defended key support levels and broken through multiple resistance zones, creating what many analysts describe as a "golden breakout" scenario. The 0.15% daily gain might seem modest, but the 4.02% weekly performance and year-to-date momentum tell a compelling growth story.

Bitcoin price today. Source: CoinMarketCap.com
Bitcoin price today. Source: CoinMarketCap.com

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin's Path to New Highs

Based on my technical analysis of the BTC/USDT chart, during the Monday session on August 11, 2025, the price of the world’s oldest and largest cryptocurrency tested the $122,335 level, the highest since mid-July, when the same chart showed an all-time high of $123,218. While Bitcoin has reached new peaks against some currencies on certain exchanges today, it still falls short by just under $1,000 compared with those previous records. Nevertheless, Bitcoin is once again challenging a key technical resistance level and has broken through the psychological barrier of $120,000, which could pave the way for a new price discovery phase.

The crucial factor will be how the price behaves by the close of the session. If it manages to end the day above $120,000, something that did not happen at the previous ATH, as the price corrected sharply before the close, this would mark the highest daily close in history, potentially opening the door for further appreciation. While predicting the exact direction is closer to gazing into a crystal ball, Fibonacci extensions can provide guidance. Measuring the trend from the April lows to the July highs and then the pullback to around $110,000 in August, the 61.8% extension lies near $127,000, the 100% extension just below $137,000, and the 161.8% extension around $153,000.

Bitcoin price technical analysis. Source: Tradingview.com
Bitcoin price technical analysis. Source: Tradingview.com

I see these as medium- and long-term upside targets for Bitcoin. Notably, these levels align with forecasts from major institutions, including banks and well-known analysts, who also project $150,000 or higher by late 2025 and into 2026.

Bitcoin Price Predictions from Leading Experts

Industry luminaries maintain aggressively bullish long-term targets despite short-term volatility concerns. The following table summarizes major Bitcoin price predictions from respected market participants:

Expert/Source

Prediction

Timeframe

Cathie Wood (ARK Invest)

$1,000,000

By 2030

Standard Chartered

$500,000

Medium-term

Crypto Derivatives Market (Deribit)

$140,000

Near-term (Call option strike)

Cathie Wood of ARK Invest projects Bitcoin reaching $1 million by 2030, citing network effects and institutional adoption as primary catalysts. Her analysis focuses on Bitcoin's role as a monetary network that grows exponentially with user adoption.

Standard Chartered's research team forecasts $500,000 as a medium-term target, emphasizing Bitcoin's role as digital gold in an increasingly uncertain macroeconomic environment. Their analysis focuses on supply scarcity and growing demand from sovereign wealth funds.

The $140,000 call option represents the most popular strike price on Deribit derivatives exchange, with over $3 billion in notional open interest. This suggests professional traders expect significant upside potential from current levels, creating natural momentum as the contract approaches expiration.

“Historical analysis (with 2025 being the post-halving year when prices typically rally) indicates BTC can still move higher. So whilst some pundits expect to see some froth taken off the top here, I remain with my thesis we can expect $150,000 before year end,” Howard added.

Yuo can also check a bearish view: How Low Can Bitcoin Go? Arthur Hayes' BTC Price Prediction Suggests That Crypto May Go Down And Hit $100K

Institutional Adoption Driving Bitcoin Momentum

Major corporate treasury departments are rapidly expanding their Bitcoin allocations following recent regulatory clarity. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier this year opened floodgates for institutional participation, with pension funds and endowments now viewing cryptocurrency as a legitimate portfolio diversifier.

Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy continues leading corporate adoption, while newer entrants like Tesla and Block maintain substantial positions. This institutional backing provides crucial price stability during volatile periods and creates natural buying pressure during market dips.

Professional trading desks report unprecedented demand from family offices and hedge funds seeking Bitcoin exposure. The maturation of crypto derivatives markets has enabled sophisticated risk management strategies, making Bitcoin more attractive to traditional finance professionals.

Federal Policy Changes Boost Crypto Markets

Recent executive orders from President Trump allowing cryptocurrency investments in 401(k) retirement plans have fundamentally altered the regulatory landscape. This policy shift eliminates previous barriers preventing millions of Americans from accessing Bitcoin through employer-sponsored retirement accounts.

Simon Peters, crypto analyst at eToro
Simon Peters, crypto analyst at eToro, Source: LinekdIn

"Crypto markets have advanced from their recent lows, with Bitcoin on the verge of setting a new all-time high, as President Trump signed an executive order last week allowing 401(k) plans to invest into cryptoassets marking another step forward toward mainstream adoption of crypto in the United States," said Simon Peters, the crypto analyst at eToro.

Federal Reserve policy expectations continue supporting risk assets like Bitcoin. Despite upcoming inflation data that may show core CPI rising 0.3% in July, market strategists believe the Fed remains committed to interest rate cuts in September. Lower interest rates typically benefit alternative assets as investors seek higher-yielding opportunities.

The regulatory clarity extends beyond domestic policy. International coordination on cryptocurrency regulation has reduced uncertainty, encouraging cross-border institutional adoption and creating more predictable operating environments for crypto businesses.

XRP Price Rally Adds to Crypto Market Optimism

In addition to Bitcoin, the broader cryptocurrency market is also advancing today. XRP has strengthened by about 3.5% since the morning, testing the $3.33 level and challenging local resistance defined by the highs from early this month and mid-July. Ethereum is also performing strongly, extending local highs for the third consecutive day and testing nearly $4,350 on Monday.

The rally follows the formal dismissal of the SEC's case against Ripple Labs, removing a major regulatory overhang that had suppressed institutional interest for years.

XRP's institutional trading volumes exploded 208% to $12.40 billion, indicating massive corporate repositioning following the legal resolution. The $3.15-$3.16 support zone has emerged as a crucial technical level, with resistance appearing at $3.24-$3.27.

Open interest in XRP derivatives jumped 15% to $5.90 billion, demonstrating aggressive positioning from large players anticipating continued upside. Some institutional research desks now target $4.50-$5.00 as potential medium-term objectives for the digital asset.

Why XRP Is Outperforming Other Altcoins

The Ripple-SEC settlement represents more than legal closure. It establishes regulatory precedent for other cryptocurrency projects facing similar challenges. XRP's utility in cross-border payments has attracted renewed attention from financial institutions seeking efficient settlement solutions.

Corporate treasury departments that previously avoided XRP due to regulatory uncertainty are now reassessing their positions. The asset's established infrastructure and enterprise partnerships position it advantageously as institutional adoption accelerates across the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem.

Technical analysis reveals XRP breaking through multi-month consolidation patterns with strong volume confirmation. The combination of regulatory clarity, institutional flows, and technical breakouts creates compelling conditions for sustained price appreciation.

Risk Factors and Market Considerations

Despite overwhelming bullish sentiment, prudent risk management remains essential given cryptocurrency's inherent volatility. Key risk factors to monitor include:

  • Inflation Data Impact: Tuesday's CPI report could trigger short-term volatility if significantly above expectations
  • Technical Resistance: The $122,000-$125,000 zone may prove challenging without sustained institutional buying
  • Regulatory Changes: Policy announcements could impact trading conditions or institutional participation
  • Market Sentiment Shifts: Rapid changes in risk appetite could affect cryptocurrency valuations

Technical resistance levels around $122,000-$125,000 may prove challenging to overcome without sustained institutional buying pressure. Previous failed attempts at similar levels demonstrate the importance of volume confirmation and follow-through buying to validate breakouts.

About the Author: Damian Chmiel
Damian Chmiel
  • 3066 Articles
  • 96 Followers
About the Author: Damian Chmiel
Damian's adventure with financial markets began at the Cracow University of Economics, where he obtained his MA in finance and accounting. Starting from the retail trader perspective, he collaborated with brokerage houses and financial portals in Poland as an independent editor and content manager. His adventure with Finance Magnates began in 2016, where he is working as a business intelligence analyst.
  • 3066 Articles
  • 96 Followers

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