Bitcoin fell to a 4-month low near $61,300 on Thursday, June 4, 2026, before reversing to about $64,000, down 13% in three sessions.
The drop tested the $63,000 to $66,000 support boundary, but an intraday pin-bar reversal signals buyers are defending the level again.
The trend stays bearish below the 200 EMA near $80,500, with my long-term bear target below $50,000, down to the $44,000 August lows.
Why Bitcoin is going down today? Let's check current BTC price technical analysis and forecasts
Bitcoin (BTC) traded near
$61,300 on Thursday, June 4, 2026, its lowest level since February 6, after a
three-session decline of about 13% pushed the cryptocurrency to the floor of
its 2026 consolidation.
My Bitcoin
technical analysis reads the move as a test of long-standing support rather
than a fresh trend, because a sharp intraday reversal lifted price back toward
$64,000, close to the session open.
The selloff
coincides with record spot-ETF outflows, a rare Strategy disposal, and a
rotation out of crypto into AI equities. The June 6 US jobs report and
continued ETF flows are the immediate catalysts into the weekend.
Follow
me on X for real-time market analysis: @ChmielDk
Why Bitcoin Is Falling?
Spot
Bitcoin ETFs recorded a third straight week of outflows, Strategy disclosed its
first BTC sale in nearly four years, and more than $1.2 billion in leveraged
longs were liquidated as the move accelerated.
"Markets
remain driven by a fragile mix of Middle East geopolitical risk," said
Joel Kruger, strategist at LMAX. Kruger pointed to sticky inflation, Fed
uncertainty, and the AI investment boom as the forces underpinning the dollar
and keeping broader risk appetite cautious.
For the
longer arc, FinanceMagnates.com's FM
Intelligence frames
a $95,000 to $130,000 base case for Bitcoin, a reminder of how far price now
trades below the structural debate.
My Bitcoin Technical
Analysis: BTC/USDT
Bitcoin
fell to $61,300 during Thursday's session, its lowest print since February 6
and the low of a three-session decline that erased about 13% of its value. In my last analysis I wrote that a return to the
consolidation drawn since February would likely mean a slide back into the
$63,000 to $66,000 support range.
The crypto
leaned on short-term support at the late-May lows near $72,500 on the way down,
a level I flagged as unlikely to hold for long. My call played out, though the
speed of the descent to the lower boundary surprised even me.
The
reversal matters more than the drop. After briefly trading well below the
boundary, Bitcoin snapped back to about $64,000, almost exactly where
Thursday's session opened. If the day closes as a pin bar, it tells me buy
orders are stacking at this level to defend against further losses. I
saw the same failed breakdowns in February and again in early
April, where buyers were waiting rather than the trend turning.
BTC/USDT daily 2026: three-day drop to lower consolidation support. Source: TradingView
How Low Can Bitcoin Go?
In 15 years
reading daily charts (my analyst page), I have found that a failed breakdown like
this usually shows where buyers are stacked, not where a downtrend ends.
Just below
sits the $60,000 region, where this year's lows and the October 2024 lows form
a heavy support zone. That convergence gives Bitcoin room to bounce before the
next directional decision.
My long-term bear target sits below $50,000, where the 100%
Fibonacci extension on my chart lands near $49,000. The zone extends down to
the $44,000 to $45,000 August 2024 lows, measured off the January downtrend and
the February-to-May correction.
BTC/USDT daily chart showing the downtrend and $49K Fibonacci bear target. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC) traded near
$61,300 on Thursday, June 4, 2026, its lowest level since February 6, after a
three-session decline of about 13% pushed the cryptocurrency to the floor of
its 2026 consolidation.
My Bitcoin
technical analysis reads the move as a test of long-standing support rather
than a fresh trend, because a sharp intraday reversal lifted price back toward
$64,000, close to the session open.
The selloff
coincides with record spot-ETF outflows, a rare Strategy disposal, and a
rotation out of crypto into AI equities. The June 6 US jobs report and
continued ETF flows are the immediate catalysts into the weekend.
Follow
me on X for real-time market analysis: @ChmielDk
Why Bitcoin Is Falling?
Spot
Bitcoin ETFs recorded a third straight week of outflows, Strategy disclosed its
first BTC sale in nearly four years, and more than $1.2 billion in leveraged
longs were liquidated as the move accelerated.
"Markets
remain driven by a fragile mix of Middle East geopolitical risk," said
Joel Kruger, strategist at LMAX. Kruger pointed to sticky inflation, Fed
uncertainty, and the AI investment boom as the forces underpinning the dollar
and keeping broader risk appetite cautious.
For the
longer arc, FinanceMagnates.com's FM
Intelligence frames
a $95,000 to $130,000 base case for Bitcoin, a reminder of how far price now
trades below the structural debate.
My Bitcoin Technical
Analysis: BTC/USDT
Bitcoin
fell to $61,300 during Thursday's session, its lowest print since February 6
and the low of a three-session decline that erased about 13% of its value. In my last analysis I wrote that a return to the
consolidation drawn since February would likely mean a slide back into the
$63,000 to $66,000 support range.
The crypto
leaned on short-term support at the late-May lows near $72,500 on the way down,
a level I flagged as unlikely to hold for long. My call played out, though the
speed of the descent to the lower boundary surprised even me.
The
reversal matters more than the drop. After briefly trading well below the
boundary, Bitcoin snapped back to about $64,000, almost exactly where
Thursday's session opened. If the day closes as a pin bar, it tells me buy
orders are stacking at this level to defend against further losses. I
saw the same failed breakdowns in February and again in early
April, where buyers were waiting rather than the trend turning.
BTC/USDT daily 2026: three-day drop to lower consolidation support. Source: TradingView
How Low Can Bitcoin Go?
In 15 years
reading daily charts (my analyst page), I have found that a failed breakdown like
this usually shows where buyers are stacked, not where a downtrend ends.
Just below
sits the $60,000 region, where this year's lows and the October 2024 lows form
a heavy support zone. That convergence gives Bitcoin room to bounce before the
next directional decision.
My long-term bear target sits below $50,000, where the 100%
Fibonacci extension on my chart lands near $49,000. The zone extends down to
the $44,000 to $45,000 August 2024 lows, measured off the January downtrend and
the February-to-May correction.
BTC/USDT daily chart showing the downtrend and $49K Fibonacci bear target. Source: TradingView
Damian Chmiel is a Senior Analyst & Editor at Finance Magnates with more than 15 years of experience in the CFD and online trading industry. Active as both a trader and journalist since 2010, he focuses on broker coverage, fintech innovation, and regulatory developments across Europe, the Middle East, and Asia.
His work includes interviews with C-level leaders at major brokerages and fintech platforms, as well as co-authoring Finance Magnates’ quarterly industry benchmarking reports. Damian’s reporting is data-driven, market-aware, and grounded in direct industry engagement. His analysis and commentary have also been cited by external media outlets, including Investing.com, Binance, The Asset, Stockhead, and Dispatch.
Education:
MA in Finance and Accounting, Cracow University of Economics
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