XRP trades at $2.43 today (Wednesday), November 12, 2025, posting a modest +1.89% intraday gain but remains under pressure following Tuesday's sharp -5% correction.

Technical analysis reveals a critical bearish setup that could send the cryptocurrency tumbling as much as 50% to yearly lows at $1.25, marking one of the most dangerous formations for XRP holders this year.

Let’s check together how low can XRP price go and what the newest XRP price predictions are for 2025 and beyond.

How Low Can XRP Go? Death Cross Formation Triggers Sell Signal

The 50-day exponential moving average (50 EMA) has crossed below the 200-day EMA, creating what technical analysts call a "death cross,” one of the most potent bearish signals in trading.

This formation last appeared in November 2024 (in bullish version), sparking a spectacular 400% rally over four months. The current setup, however, points to significant downside risk as XRP struggles within a narrow consolidation range between $2.58-$2.70 resistance and $2.30-$2.20 support.

According to my own technical analysis, the moving average cluster strengthens the overhead resistance zone, while Tuesday's -5% plunge came after XRP contacted the descending trendline drawn from July peaks.

Daily performance shows -1.3% decline despite Wednesday's intraday recovery, with the cryptocurrency down from $2.528 on November 11 and $2.366 on November 10.

XRP Price Prediction: Technical Analysis Points to $1.25 Target

If the current $2.30-$2.20 support zone fails to hold, it will confirm activation of the death cross sell signal with potential for a 50% correction to $1.25, representing XRP's yearly minimum. This projection aligns with Fibonacci 100% extension measured from July highs to October lows and the brief upward correction that followed.

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As I show on the chart below, along the descent, XRP faces multiple support levels including the psychological $2.00 round number, June lows at $1.90, and April bottoms at $1.61.

Retail Market Remains Resilient Despite Selloff

Despite dramatic price swings, retail investors haven't abandoned XRP, according to Greg Waisman, Chief Operating Officer at Mercuryo, a leading payment infrastructure platform.

"The retail market has not lost faith in cryptocurrency despite the dramatic sell-offs that we've witnessed," Waisman noted, adding that Mercuryo data shows buying patterns remain steady and resolute, with XRP and USDC outperforming.

Recent whale activity shows noticeable shifts in November 2025, with large holders potentially distributing tokens to new investors. This transfer could increase short-term selling pressure and push prices lower, though fresh capital from optimistic retail buyers might catalyze XRP's next upward move, especially amid speculation around a potential XRP ETF and Ripple Ripple Ripple was co-founded by Jed McCaleb and Chris Larsen and was debuted in 2012 as both a digital disbursement network and a pre-mined digital coin denoted as XRP. Possessing less market cap than both Bitcoin and Ethereum, Ripple ranks as the third-largest cryptocurrency.Its dual open-source and peer-to-peer (P2P) decentralized platform whose network is capable of working with any form of money such as GBP, Ethereum, Yen, etc. What is Ripple Used For? Known as a gateway, participants of Ripple may Ripple was co-founded by Jed McCaleb and Chris Larsen and was debuted in 2012 as both a digital disbursement network and a pre-mined digital coin denoted as XRP. Possessing less market cap than both Bitcoin and Ethereum, Ripple ranks as the third-largest cryptocurrency.Its dual open-source and peer-to-peer (P2P) decentralized platform whose network is capable of working with any form of money such as GBP, Ethereum, Yen, etc. What is Ripple Used For? Known as a gateway, participants of Ripple may Read this Term's ongoing partnership announcements.

Key XRP Support and Resistance Levels to Monitor

Technical traders should watch several critical price zones that will determine whether XRP confirms the death cross bearish scenario or stages a reversal:

• Resistance levels: $2.55-$2.63 (immediate overhead), $2.80 (major supply zone with 2.58 billion XRP traded), $3.00 (psychological barrier if momentum shifts bullish)
• Support levels: $2.30-$2.20 (current consolidation floor), $2.10 (URPD support with 1.64 billion XRP), $2.00 (round number psychological support), $1.90 (June 2025 lows), $1.61 (April 2025 lows), $1.25 (ultimate 50% correction target and yearly minimum)

A daily close above the $2.55-$2.63 resistance could invalidate the immediate bearish setup and open the door toward $2.80 or even $3.00 if trading volume strengthens. However, breakdown below the $2.20 support would confirm death cross activation and put the $1.25 target firmly in play.

Market Outlook and Price Predictions

XRP year-over-year performance remains exceptionally strong at +285.9% from $0.6194 one year ago, demonstrating the cryptocurrency's volatile yet rewarding nature for long-term holders. However, near-term forecasts show mixed sentiment with November 2025 predictions ranging from $2.38 minimum to $2.75 maximum according to Changelly analysis.

Standard Chartered analyst Geoffrey Kendrick projects XRP could increase at 73% annually over the next three years, while some optimistic analysts cite targets between $10-$37 for the current cycle. Changelly's extended forecast suggests XRP reaching $2.43 by end of 2025, with 2026 average price around $1.49.

The cryptocurrency rebounded 76% earlier this month after dropping to $1.37, but current rejection and failure to establish higher highs suggests the market is losing bullish conviction. November may prove pivotal for XRP direction, with patience and disciplined observation around key support levels potentially rewarding those anticipating the next major move.

XRP Price Analysis, FAQ

What will 1 XRP be worth in 2025?

XRP currently trades at $2.43 on November 12, 2025, with analyst predictions varying significantly. Changelly forecasts XRP ending 2025 at $2.43, while Kraken's prediction model suggests $2.43 by year-end. However, bearish technical scenarios point to potential decline toward $1.25 if death cross sell signal activates, while optimistic forecasts cite targets between $2.80-$3.00 if resistance breaks.

What's the lowest XRP will go?

Based on technical analysis, XRP's ultimate downside target sits at $1.25, representing 50% correction from current levels and coinciding with yearly lows. This projection derives from Fibonacci 100% extension measured from July peaks to October troughs, with intermediate support levels at $2.00, $1.90 (June lows), and $1.61 (April lows) potentially providing temporary floors. The $2.30-$2.20 zone represents critical near-term support that must hold to prevent further deterioration.

Can XRP crash to zero?

XRP crashing to zero remains extremely unlikely given its established market position, robust trading volumes, ongoing Ripple partnerships, and resilient retail demand. Despite bearish technical signals, XRP maintains year-over-year gains of +285.9% and continues showing strong fundamentals with payment infrastructure platforms reporting steady buying patterns. , neither of which appears imminent.

Will XRP drop under $2?

Yes, XRP breaking below $2.00 is a realistic possibility if the current $2.30-$2.20 support zone fails to hold. Technical analysis shows death cross formation with 50 EMA crossing below 200 EMA, creating strong bearish pressure that could drive prices through the psychological $2.00 level toward $1.90 (June lows) and potentially $1.61 (April lows).