Is timing really everything when it comes to trading FX?
Traders urged to be flexible to fully capitalize on opportunities.
But brokers note that specific timeframes remain important.
Is timing really everything when it comes to trading FX? It's an age-old question in any type of trade, but in today's fast-moving FX markets, understanding this is more important than ever.
The First and Last Hours
A survey of 3,000 traders conducted by FOREX.com earlier this year - our coverage of which you can dig into here - underlined the importance of the first and last hours of the trading day for FX traders. No surprise there.
According to Alex Kuptsikevich, senior analyst at FxPro, trends do not unfold intraday very often though as there is usually some defining mood formed either by the end of the US session or Asia’s trading performance.
Alex Kuptsikevich, via LinkedIn
“For the most part, the markets remain within this trend until the news from the US although not everyone is ready to transfer market risks to the next day and beyond,” he says. “Traders often prefer to avoid a fee for carrying a position to the next day, especially over the 18 months during which time central bank rates stopped being zero in the US, UK and euro area, leading to higher rollover fees.”
Adam Button, chief currency analyst at ForexLive observes, FX trading gravitates towards economic data which tends to be released early in the day, while trading at the end of the day is often about position squaring and risk mitigation by traders who prefer to finish the day without positions on
Time Zones and Public Holidays
By utilizing data on the impact of public holidays or seasonal trends, for example, traders can enhance their strategies by precisely timing their trades to coincide with periods of increased liquidity and volatility suggests Kate Leaman, chief market analyst at AvaTrade.
Kate Leaman
“Moreover, understanding the impact of public holidays and seasonal trends allows traders to anticipate potential shifts in market sentiment and periods of lower liquidity,” she adds. “For instance, trading volumes typically decline during major holidays, which can lead to unexpected volatility or lack of movement, impacting trade execution and risk management. As such, awareness of these factors is imperative for effective trade execution.”
It is important to note that the G10 FX market trades from the Monday open in Auckland all the way through to the Friday close in New York and that there isn’t really a ‘start’ and an ‘end’ to the trading day, though individual trading centers come on and off line as the day progresses.
"It is unsurprising that traders often seek to trade when these sessions overlap, particularly during the London-New York overlap, as this is typically when liquidity is at its best and trading volumes are at their highest,” says Michael Brown, market analyst at Pepperstone. “As the below EUR/USD chart may help to evidence, hourly trading ranges also tend to be greater during these periods - an obvious attraction for short term traders.”
When it comes to using this information there are a few factors to consider. Seasonal trends are a matter of frequent debate as to their effectiveness and utility, with some market analysts suggesting that they are only worth following if they can be combined with other factors (such as fundamental/technical analysis or positioning) to formulate a trade idea.
“As for public holidays - particularly as we approach the Christmas period - capital preservation is likely to be key for the majority of traders, who will be seeking to hold onto the gains that they have already made this year by treading carefully (reducing position sizes) as volumes typically thin out into year-end,” observes Brown.
Busy Periods
David Morrison, senior market analyst Trade Nation agrees that despite the fact that we now have apparently ‘seamless’ 24-hour trading, the FX market is busier than usual during the switchover between Asia Pacific/European-London/US-New York sessions.
“I would recommend making sure that you are aware of the exchange opening and closing times for the financial instruments you are trading,” he says. “I don’t know if one can build a successful trading strategy around such information. But at such times traders may be able to benefit from greater liquidity, although it is dangerous to rely on this as liquidity can dry up without warning.”
Covering FX Risk
Michael Quinn
Michael Quinn, group trading manager at Monex Europe says his clients have real-world requirements to cover FX risk, which means their trading patterns tend to be defined by underlying commercial requirements.
“That said, we do see a tendency for clients to trade higher volumes of their flow in the morning of their working day, a pattern that is repeated across all jurisdictions,” he says. “Alas, the currency markets we mainly operate in are so liquid that even detailed insight into corporate commercial flow generally provides little benefit to speculative FX traders.”
Is timing really everything when it comes to trading FX? It's an age-old question in any type of trade, but in today's fast-moving FX markets, understanding this is more important than ever.
The First and Last Hours
A survey of 3,000 traders conducted by FOREX.com earlier this year - our coverage of which you can dig into here - underlined the importance of the first and last hours of the trading day for FX traders. No surprise there.
According to Alex Kuptsikevich, senior analyst at FxPro, trends do not unfold intraday very often though as there is usually some defining mood formed either by the end of the US session or Asia’s trading performance.
Alex Kuptsikevich, via LinkedIn
“For the most part, the markets remain within this trend until the news from the US although not everyone is ready to transfer market risks to the next day and beyond,” he says. “Traders often prefer to avoid a fee for carrying a position to the next day, especially over the 18 months during which time central bank rates stopped being zero in the US, UK and euro area, leading to higher rollover fees.”
Adam Button, chief currency analyst at ForexLive observes, FX trading gravitates towards economic data which tends to be released early in the day, while trading at the end of the day is often about position squaring and risk mitigation by traders who prefer to finish the day without positions on
Time Zones and Public Holidays
By utilizing data on the impact of public holidays or seasonal trends, for example, traders can enhance their strategies by precisely timing their trades to coincide with periods of increased liquidity and volatility suggests Kate Leaman, chief market analyst at AvaTrade.
Kate Leaman
“Moreover, understanding the impact of public holidays and seasonal trends allows traders to anticipate potential shifts in market sentiment and periods of lower liquidity,” she adds. “For instance, trading volumes typically decline during major holidays, which can lead to unexpected volatility or lack of movement, impacting trade execution and risk management. As such, awareness of these factors is imperative for effective trade execution.”
It is important to note that the G10 FX market trades from the Monday open in Auckland all the way through to the Friday close in New York and that there isn’t really a ‘start’ and an ‘end’ to the trading day, though individual trading centers come on and off line as the day progresses.
"It is unsurprising that traders often seek to trade when these sessions overlap, particularly during the London-New York overlap, as this is typically when liquidity is at its best and trading volumes are at their highest,” says Michael Brown, market analyst at Pepperstone. “As the below EUR/USD chart may help to evidence, hourly trading ranges also tend to be greater during these periods - an obvious attraction for short term traders.”
When it comes to using this information there are a few factors to consider. Seasonal trends are a matter of frequent debate as to their effectiveness and utility, with some market analysts suggesting that they are only worth following if they can be combined with other factors (such as fundamental/technical analysis or positioning) to formulate a trade idea.
“As for public holidays - particularly as we approach the Christmas period - capital preservation is likely to be key for the majority of traders, who will be seeking to hold onto the gains that they have already made this year by treading carefully (reducing position sizes) as volumes typically thin out into year-end,” observes Brown.
Busy Periods
David Morrison, senior market analyst Trade Nation agrees that despite the fact that we now have apparently ‘seamless’ 24-hour trading, the FX market is busier than usual during the switchover between Asia Pacific/European-London/US-New York sessions.
“I would recommend making sure that you are aware of the exchange opening and closing times for the financial instruments you are trading,” he says. “I don’t know if one can build a successful trading strategy around such information. But at such times traders may be able to benefit from greater liquidity, although it is dangerous to rely on this as liquidity can dry up without warning.”
Covering FX Risk
Michael Quinn
Michael Quinn, group trading manager at Monex Europe says his clients have real-world requirements to cover FX risk, which means their trading patterns tend to be defined by underlying commercial requirements.
“That said, we do see a tendency for clients to trade higher volumes of their flow in the morning of their working day, a pattern that is repeated across all jurisdictions,” he says. “Alas, the currency markets we mainly operate in are so liquid that even detailed insight into corporate commercial flow generally provides little benefit to speculative FX traders.”
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
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Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
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FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24