Traders now view recession as a greater risk than inflation.
Despite this shift, their confidence has risen, with 78% feeling optimistic about the markets.
While
inflation was the primary investors’ concern six months ago, the fear of a
looming recession has now taken the spotlight. Interestingly, this shift has
not dampened investor confidence. Rather, it has grown, with 78% of respondents
expressing a positive outlook on the markets. Could it be that the fear of
recession is not discouraging investors from putting their capital on the
market scale?
Recession, Not Inflation,
Traders’ Biggest Concern
A recent
study by the trading and investment platform eToro reveals a notable shift in
retail investor sentiment. eToro's Retail Investor Beat surveyed 10,000 retail
investors across 13 countries. The data shows that 22% of respondents now
consider a potential recession as the most significant risk to their
investments, which up from 13% six months ago.
Conversely,
concerns about inflation have decreased from 20% to 13% over the same period.
This change suggests that investors are adapting their strategies and
expectations in response to evolving economic conditions.
However, as
Maciej Wojciechowski, the Managing Director for Europe at Onequity, believes,
this is not the first time investors have been concerned about recession and
inflation levels.
“Over the
last three years, the global economy has frequently been stuck in recession, as
evidenced by the decline in GDP for at least two consecutive quarters. Interestingly,
this has not significantly impacted the volume and number of transactions in
the market,” added Wojciechowski.
Data from eToro seems to confirm his statement. Despite the
increased focus on recession risks, investor confidence metrics have not only not fallen but improved
across the board. The study found that 78% of retail investors are optimistic
about their investment portfolios, which is a jump from 71% seen in June. eToro is leveraging this in Europe, where it has just obtained a Cypriot cryptocurrency license.
“Retail
investors are no longer laser-focused on inflation and are clearly feeling
optimistic about central banks’ ability to tame price rises without many more
interest rate hikes,” said Ben Laidler, the Global Markets Strategist at eToro.
“Whilst concerns have now shifted towards the recession that these interest rate
hikes might cause, this is not weighing down sentiment to the same degree that
inflation was.”
Investment Contributions
and Sector Preferences
Additionally,
confidence in income and living standards has risen from 65% to 70%. Dutch
retail investors are the most optimistic, with a confidence score of 91%, while
Spanish investors are the least optimistic at 71%.
“Retail
investors are feeling a lot rosier about their investments than they were three
months ago, they are generally quite bullish about the remainder of 2023, and
the consensus amongst this group is still for a sustained bull market in the
first half of next year. This would extend the 23% global stocks rally we have
already seen since the October 2022 low,” added Laidler.
The rising
confidence is translating into more aggressive investment strategies. One-third
of respondents plan to increase their investment contributions in the next
quarter, outnumbering those who plan to scale back (7%) by more than four to
one. The technology sector is expected to benefit the most from this bullish
sentiment, followed by financial services, real estate, and energy sectors.
“It's worth
noting that history has shown patient investors who remain committed to their
investments can still accumulate returns even during economic downturns. A
panic-driven approach among retail investors may, paradoxically, bring
significant benefits to those who are able to keep a cool head,” concluded
Wojciechowski.
The eToro
Retail Investor Beat was conducted between 18-29 August 2023 by research
company Opinium. It included 10,000 retail investors from 13 countries across
three continents. Respondents were either self-directed or advised and held at
least one investment product.
In a distinct research conducted by eToro, it was found that 41% of 10,000 retail investors from 13 different nations are strongly against the use of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies like ChatGPT for portfolio management. Meanwhile, a study from FOREX.com reveals that retail traders most frequently close their profitable positions during morning hours.
While
inflation was the primary investors’ concern six months ago, the fear of a
looming recession has now taken the spotlight. Interestingly, this shift has
not dampened investor confidence. Rather, it has grown, with 78% of respondents
expressing a positive outlook on the markets. Could it be that the fear of
recession is not discouraging investors from putting their capital on the
market scale?
Recession, Not Inflation,
Traders’ Biggest Concern
A recent
study by the trading and investment platform eToro reveals a notable shift in
retail investor sentiment. eToro's Retail Investor Beat surveyed 10,000 retail
investors across 13 countries. The data shows that 22% of respondents now
consider a potential recession as the most significant risk to their
investments, which up from 13% six months ago.
Conversely,
concerns about inflation have decreased from 20% to 13% over the same period.
This change suggests that investors are adapting their strategies and
expectations in response to evolving economic conditions.
However, as
Maciej Wojciechowski, the Managing Director for Europe at Onequity, believes,
this is not the first time investors have been concerned about recession and
inflation levels.
“Over the
last three years, the global economy has frequently been stuck in recession, as
evidenced by the decline in GDP for at least two consecutive quarters. Interestingly,
this has not significantly impacted the volume and number of transactions in
the market,” added Wojciechowski.
Data from eToro seems to confirm his statement. Despite the
increased focus on recession risks, investor confidence metrics have not only not fallen but improved
across the board. The study found that 78% of retail investors are optimistic
about their investment portfolios, which is a jump from 71% seen in June. eToro is leveraging this in Europe, where it has just obtained a Cypriot cryptocurrency license.
“Retail
investors are no longer laser-focused on inflation and are clearly feeling
optimistic about central banks’ ability to tame price rises without many more
interest rate hikes,” said Ben Laidler, the Global Markets Strategist at eToro.
“Whilst concerns have now shifted towards the recession that these interest rate
hikes might cause, this is not weighing down sentiment to the same degree that
inflation was.”
Investment Contributions
and Sector Preferences
Additionally,
confidence in income and living standards has risen from 65% to 70%. Dutch
retail investors are the most optimistic, with a confidence score of 91%, while
Spanish investors are the least optimistic at 71%.
“Retail
investors are feeling a lot rosier about their investments than they were three
months ago, they are generally quite bullish about the remainder of 2023, and
the consensus amongst this group is still for a sustained bull market in the
first half of next year. This would extend the 23% global stocks rally we have
already seen since the October 2022 low,” added Laidler.
The rising
confidence is translating into more aggressive investment strategies. One-third
of respondents plan to increase their investment contributions in the next
quarter, outnumbering those who plan to scale back (7%) by more than four to
one. The technology sector is expected to benefit the most from this bullish
sentiment, followed by financial services, real estate, and energy sectors.
“It's worth
noting that history has shown patient investors who remain committed to their
investments can still accumulate returns even during economic downturns. A
panic-driven approach among retail investors may, paradoxically, bring
significant benefits to those who are able to keep a cool head,” concluded
Wojciechowski.
The eToro
Retail Investor Beat was conducted between 18-29 August 2023 by research
company Opinium. It included 10,000 retail investors from 13 countries across
three continents. Respondents were either self-directed or advised and held at
least one investment product.
In a distinct research conducted by eToro, it was found that 41% of 10,000 retail investors from 13 different nations are strongly against the use of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies like ChatGPT for portfolio management. Meanwhile, a study from FOREX.com reveals that retail traders most frequently close their profitable positions during morning hours.
Damian's adventure with financial markets began at the Cracow University of Economics, where he obtained his MA in finance and accounting. Starting from the retail trader perspective, he collaborated with brokerage houses and financial portals in Poland as an independent editor and content manager. His adventure with Finance Magnates began in 2016, where he is working as a business intelligence analyst.
Saxo's Ownership Change: Sampo Sells 19.8% Stake in the Brokerage
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From May 20-22, 2024, the Sandton Convention Centre in Sandton, South Africa, will be the hub for over 3,500 attendees to engage in unparalleled networking opportunities, learn from over 150 industry-leading speakers, and explore innovations from 120+ exhibitors.
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Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 | Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 | Africa's Premium Financial Event
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Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 | Africa's Premium Financial Event
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Looking to expand your network in #Africa? Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
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Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
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▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔