prediction markets
Market Makers Can Access Kalshi Through Existing Talos Trading Workflows
- Market makers and hedge funds using Talos can now trade Kalshi's prediction markets and US-regulated crypto perpetuals without building a separate connection.
- The rollout also gives firms access to algorithmic execution, RFQ block trading and multi-leg strategies, with broker distribution planned for later this year.
Wednesday, 22/07/2026 | 14:05 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Event Contracts Gain Another Sign of Maturity as Webull Adds them to Paper Trading
- Webull has added event contracts to its paper trading platform alongside stocks, options, crypto, futures and bonds.
- Simulated event-contract environments are increasingly supporting investor education, product testing and developer workflows across the trading industry.
Tuesday, 21/07/2026 | 19:15 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Prediction Market Tournaments Reach Prop Trading as Tradeify Attracts 30,000 Participants on Plaee’s Platform
- Tradeify’s tournament used simulated prediction markets, allowing traders to compete with virtual capital for funded accounts and cash prizes.
- Plaee is applying the same prediction-market infrastructure to both regulated event markets and simulated trading competitions, broadening its use cases.
Tuesday, 21/07/2026 | 15:51 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Independent Prediction Markets Converged on Nearly Identical World Cup Probabilities as Trading Hit Record Highs
- Polymarket and Kalshi independently priced Spain at almost identical probabilities ahead of the World Cup final.
- The World Cup proved that independent prediction markets can arrive at similar prices even without shared liquidity or participants.
Monday, 20/07/2026 | 20:21 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the prediction markets: Malta Drafts Rules as Blockchain.com and Jump Trading Expand Their Reach
- Malta is developing the EU’s first dedicated regulatory framework for prediction markets, proposing a licensing regime outside both financial services and gambling law.
- Blockchain.com and Jump Trading expanded their commitment to prediction markets this week through distribution and trading infrastructure.
Friday, 17/07/2026 | 19:45 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Jump Trading Expands Prediction Markets Team as “Cultural Alpha” Becomes Part of the Quant Stack
- Jump is recruiting beyond its traditional quant pipeline, seeking traders with expertise in sports, politics and other event-driven markets where historical data is limited.
- The hiring push reflects growing institutional investment in prediction markets, as market makers expand liquidity operations on platforms including Kalshi and Polymarket.
Friday, 17/07/2026 | 14:24 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi Extends Its Exchange Model to GPU Pricing
- Kalshi has introduced GPU forward curves for Nvidia B200, H200 and A100 chips, expanding its exchange infrastructure into AI compute.
- The benchmarks are intended to support OTC pricing and risk management, showing how exchange infrastructure can be applied beyond traditional prediction markets.
Tuesday, 14/07/2026 | 18:38 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Blockchain.com Taps Polymarket to Capture Event-Trading Demand Inside Its Brokerage App
- Blockchain.com users can now access Polymarket event contracts without moving funds to a separate platform.
- The deal gives Polymarket access to Blockchain.com’s 43 million verified users and keeps prediction-market activity inside the brokerage app.
Tuesday, 14/07/2026 | 13:30 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Malta Tried This with Crypto. Now It’s Trying Again with Prediction Markets
- Alexandru Badea, Senior Regional Director at NAGA, argues Malta's prediction-market plan mirrors its 2018 crypto playbook.
- Malta may win first-mover status again, but history suggests Brussels will ultimately define prediction markets.
Tuesday, 14/07/2026 | 12:00 GMT by
Badea Alexandru Gabriel
Kalshi Launches Pro Terminal as It Moves Deeper Into Professional Derivatives Trading
- Kalshi Pro adds advanced charting, deeper order-book data and multi-leg order management for active and institutional traders.
- The terminal expands Kalshi’s professional offering alongside regulated crypto perpetuals and Clear Street’s clearing access for hedge funds.
Monday, 13/07/2026 | 13:17 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: Kalshi Expands Perpetuals as World Cup Trading Hits New Highs
- Kalshi is exploring perpetual futures on metals, foreign exchange, and energy after processing $16.1 billion in volume since May.
- A single World Cup match generated about $460 million in prediction market trading, highlighting the growing role of live sports in platform activity.
Friday, 10/07/2026 | 19:05 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Plus500 Placed Its Sports Bet Just in Time as World Cup Shatters Prediction Market Records
- Polymarket's "World Cup Winner" market has attracted $4 billion, the largest single market in the platform's history.
- Plus500 added Kalshi's sports contracts to its US platform weeks before the tournament.
Monday, 06/07/2026 | 15:00 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: Europe Closes Ranks as Wall Street Builds New Products
- European regulators stepped up scrutiny of prediction markets.
- DraftKings completed its in-house exchange, while Cboe proposed bringing prediction-style contracts into the U.S. securities market.
Friday, 03/07/2026 | 16:40 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Europe Has No Licensed Prediction Markets. ESMA Just Raised the Entry Bar
- ESMA did not ban prediction markets in Europe, but it made legal classification the starting point for any future launch.
- Whether a platform needs MiFID II, MiCA or a national gambling licence now depends on how each event contract is classified under EU law.
Friday, 03/07/2026 | 12:41 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
What's In a Name? ESMA Says Prediction Markets Are Still Binary Options
- ESMA has reminded firms that "event contracts" qualifying as financial instruments fall under existing binary options bans, regardless of what they are branded as commercially.
- The regulator says distributing such contracts to any client, including non-retail, requires MiFID II authorisation, and warns that circumventing the rules is prohibited.
Friday, 03/07/2026 | 07:36 GMT by
Arnab Shome
Prediction Markets Top $50B Monthly Volume. Will It Last Beyond the World Cup?
- Prediction markets topped $50 billion in monthly volume for the first time, with June activity up 75% from May.
- The World Cup drove much of the surge, so the real test is whether trading activity stays elevated after the tournament ends.
Thursday, 02/07/2026 | 16:15 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Cboe Wants to Turn Company KPIs Into Tradable Yes-or-No Options
- Cboe is seeking SEC approval for binary options tied to company KPIs, including revenue, shipments and other business metrics.
- If approved, brokers could offer prediction-style exposure through existing securities accounts instead of standalone prediction market platforms.
Thursday, 02/07/2026 | 09:43 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Owning the Exchange Is Becoming the New Competitive Advantage in Prediction Markets
- DraftKings, Robinhood and Coinbase are moving prediction-market infrastructure in-house.
- According to Bernstein, platforms are treating exchange infrastructure as a strategic asset.
Tuesday, 30/06/2026 | 17:02 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
ASIC Warns Crypto Perps Now Mimic CFDs While Dodging Its Rulebook
- The regulator says the contracts now rival CFDs while sitting largely outside its perimeter, often offered to Australians through offshore venues.
- A new report it commissioned puts perps, copy trading and round-the-clock exchanges at the center of a fast-moving competitive threat.
Tuesday, 30/06/2026 | 07:30 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
Japan’s Prediction Markets Are Following the Pachinko Playbook
- The products look and feel like Polymarket, but users earn points instead of cash and redeem them through separate rewards programmes.
- The products look and feel like Polymarket, but use a pachinko-style points model: users wager points instead of cash and redeem rewards through separate retail programmes.
Monday, 29/06/2026 | 12:29 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside Prediction Markets: Lawsuits Mount as New Products and Partnerships Keep Coming
- Kalshi is reportedly seeking a $40 billion valuation, underscoring how quickly investor appetite for prediction markets continues to grow.
- Official sports data, securities-market distribution, and federal rulemaking all emerged as competitive battlegrounds this week.
Friday, 26/06/2026 | 11:18 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi in Talks to Raise at $40 Billion, Nearly Double Its May Valuation
- The prediction market operator could close a new round as soon as the third quarter, according to the Financial Times.
- Investor appetite is climbing even as state lawsuits and a CME Group challenge weigh on the company's regulatory standing.
Thursday, 25/06/2026 | 06:17 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
Cboe Brings Binary Options to the Prediction Markets Space
- Cboe’s new contracts use the same yes-or-no payoff structure popularised by prediction markets
- The exchange says the launch is only the first step, with additional products and retail education initiatives planned through Cboe Predicts.
Wednesday, 24/06/2026 | 08:44 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Google Trends Shows How FIFA World Cup 2026 Sponsorship Turbocharges Prediction Markets
- Prediction markets sponsoring the event, ADI Predictstreet and Fanatics Markets, have gained massive search interest.
- ADI Predictstreet’s interest, measured as relative search popularity, peaked at 100 on June 14.
Tuesday, 23/06/2026 | 15:04 GMT by
Jared Kirui
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