As Commodities Plummet, Banks Edge Towards Undercapitalization
- Analysts say that European investment banks and US broker dealers are still under-capitalized despite six years spent trying to remedy the situation.
Analysts from Bernstein Research state that European investment banks and US brokers are in general still undercapitalized, despite 6 years of spending aimed at remedying the situation.
According to the analysts, Deutsche Bank's tangible equity is just 2.7% of its tangible assets. This is when we exclude the deferred tax assets. The only bank that has it worse is Credit Agricole with 2.3%. A little better is Credit Suisse with 3.0%. Standard Chartered looks good for now (7.3%) but it's being heavily pushed by the markets that bank with commodity exposure.
At the same time we have the French banks like SocGen and BNP Paribas, who are also undercapitalized but seem to be protected by regulatory backing from the French government.
It would be very undesirable for banks if credit default swaps, which are the price of insuring against defaults on principal Payments Payments One of the bases of mediums of exchange in the modern world, a payment constitutes the transfer of a legal currency or equivalent from one party in exchange for goods or services to another entity. The payments industry has become a fixture of modern commerce, though the players involved and means of exchange have dramatically shifted over time.In particular, a party making a payment is referred to as a payer, with the payee reflecting the individual or entity receiving the payment. Most commonl One of the bases of mediums of exchange in the modern world, a payment constitutes the transfer of a legal currency or equivalent from one party in exchange for goods or services to another entity. The payments industry has become a fixture of modern commerce, though the players involved and means of exchange have dramatically shifted over time.In particular, a party making a payment is referred to as a payer, with the payee reflecting the individual or entity receiving the payment. Most commonl Read this Term, indicate worse performances than before. The last time that something like this happened was during the global financial crisis, when investment banking revenues went down by 40% and more.
This increase in spreads usually Leads Leads Leads or lead generation are an essential component of marketing and powerful tool by brokers. In its simplest form, leads can be defined as the outreach of customer interest or enquiry into products or services, most often associated with brokerages.These can be created for purposes such as list building, e-newsletter list acquisition, or for sales leads. Amongst marketers, such lists are one of their most important assets and instrumental to sales.There are a variety of methods for generating Leads or lead generation are an essential component of marketing and powerful tool by brokers. In its simplest form, leads can be defined as the outreach of customer interest or enquiry into products or services, most often associated with brokerages.These can be created for purposes such as list building, e-newsletter list acquisition, or for sales leads. Amongst marketers, such lists are one of their most important assets and instrumental to sales.There are a variety of methods for generating Read this Term to more risk off signals to earnings and even higher spreads. Markets are generally right about the state of the world economy and thus there is the possibility that investment banking revenues could fall 20-30% in 2016. And as spreads continue to blow, banks will find it even harder to increase their capital ratios, with the de-leveraging and dumping of risk weighted assets. And in this scenario, capital continues to be a problem to deal with.
Banking in the eurozone has become something like a fixed cost business, due to all the regulations related to compensation, while at the same time having the most unstable income.
If revenues in investment banking really fall by 20-30% in 2016, there will be no choice left except to cut staff which will damage their franchises in the future.
Analysts from Bernstein Research state that European investment banks and US brokers are in general still undercapitalized, despite 6 years of spending aimed at remedying the situation.
According to the analysts, Deutsche Bank's tangible equity is just 2.7% of its tangible assets. This is when we exclude the deferred tax assets. The only bank that has it worse is Credit Agricole with 2.3%. A little better is Credit Suisse with 3.0%. Standard Chartered looks good for now (7.3%) but it's being heavily pushed by the markets that bank with commodity exposure.
At the same time we have the French banks like SocGen and BNP Paribas, who are also undercapitalized but seem to be protected by regulatory backing from the French government.
It would be very undesirable for banks if credit default swaps, which are the price of insuring against defaults on principal Payments Payments One of the bases of mediums of exchange in the modern world, a payment constitutes the transfer of a legal currency or equivalent from one party in exchange for goods or services to another entity. The payments industry has become a fixture of modern commerce, though the players involved and means of exchange have dramatically shifted over time.In particular, a party making a payment is referred to as a payer, with the payee reflecting the individual or entity receiving the payment. Most commonl One of the bases of mediums of exchange in the modern world, a payment constitutes the transfer of a legal currency or equivalent from one party in exchange for goods or services to another entity. The payments industry has become a fixture of modern commerce, though the players involved and means of exchange have dramatically shifted over time.In particular, a party making a payment is referred to as a payer, with the payee reflecting the individual or entity receiving the payment. Most commonl Read this Term, indicate worse performances than before. The last time that something like this happened was during the global financial crisis, when investment banking revenues went down by 40% and more.
This increase in spreads usually Leads Leads Leads or lead generation are an essential component of marketing and powerful tool by brokers. In its simplest form, leads can be defined as the outreach of customer interest or enquiry into products or services, most often associated with brokerages.These can be created for purposes such as list building, e-newsletter list acquisition, or for sales leads. Amongst marketers, such lists are one of their most important assets and instrumental to sales.There are a variety of methods for generating Leads or lead generation are an essential component of marketing and powerful tool by brokers. In its simplest form, leads can be defined as the outreach of customer interest or enquiry into products or services, most often associated with brokerages.These can be created for purposes such as list building, e-newsletter list acquisition, or for sales leads. Amongst marketers, such lists are one of their most important assets and instrumental to sales.There are a variety of methods for generating Read this Term to more risk off signals to earnings and even higher spreads. Markets are generally right about the state of the world economy and thus there is the possibility that investment banking revenues could fall 20-30% in 2016. And as spreads continue to blow, banks will find it even harder to increase their capital ratios, with the de-leveraging and dumping of risk weighted assets. And in this scenario, capital continues to be a problem to deal with.
Banking in the eurozone has become something like a fixed cost business, due to all the regulations related to compensation, while at the same time having the most unstable income.
If revenues in investment banking really fall by 20-30% in 2016, there will be no choice left except to cut staff which will damage their franchises in the future.