Technical Analysis: US Dollar Index on Track to Break Out

U.S. dollar strength is back on the table as the Federal Reserve prepares to increase interest rates in September

Ed Carlson

The previous Friday’s expected low cycle was successful in starting a rally last week in which the US dollar had its best week since May. DXY gained 1.89% to close at 97.99 above the June 1 high and printed an engulfing bullish candlestick on the weekly chart.

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A cup-and-handle pattern has been triggered (chart) and measures a minimum rally to 101.00. A symmetrical triangle on the monthly chart (not shown) measures a minimum move to 102.00 which is the 61.8% retracement of the 2002 bear market. 102.00 is also a 127.2% retracement of the April/May decline (chart).


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