A Turf War Over Prediction Markets: Washington and the States Clash Again

Thursday, 09/04/2026 | 16:24 GMT by Jared Kirui
  • CFTC has asked an Arizona court to block the state from applying its gambling laws to prediction markets.
  • The regulator sued Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois early this month for overreach on prediction markets.
The CFTC office building in Washington DC
The CFTC office building in Washington DC

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has asked a federal court in Arizona to stop the state from using its gambling and criminal laws against federally regulated prediction markets.

Singapore Summit: Meet the largest APAC brokers you know (and those you still don't!)

The regulator filed a motion on Wednesday seeking a preliminary injunction and temporary restraining order to block Arizona’s enforcement actions.

Federal Regulator Opposes State Enforcement

The filing follows a lawsuit lodged last week by the CFTC and the Department of Justice, challenging Arizona’s efforts to prosecute companies operating under federal oversight. The regulator argues that Arizona’s actions conflict with federal law and could undermine the CFTC’s authority over event-based contracts.

“Arizona’s decision to weaponize preempted state criminal law against companies that comply with a comprehensive federal regime sets a dangerous precedent,” said CFTC Chairman Michael Selig. He added that the agency will “vigorously defend its exclusive authority” over prediction markets.

The latest development follows the CFTC’s recent filings of lawsuits against Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois, accusing the states of overstepping their authority by interfering with federally regulated prediction markets.

The agency argues that these states unlawfully sought to impose restrictions on designated contract markets (DCMs) approved by the CFTC, in violation of the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA). Selig said the commission will continue to defend its exclusive jurisdiction over event contracts, financial instruments that allow trading on outcomes such as elections or corporate performance, to prevent fragmented oversight and protect market participants from inconsistent state rules.

Broader Dispute Over Jurisdiction

The lawsuits extend Selig’s campaign to reaffirm federal control over prediction markets, following earlier filings and regulatory clarifications issued by the commission.

Continue reading: CFTC Sues Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois for Overreach on Prediction Markets

The CFTC maintains that event-based contracts are derivatives under its jurisdiction, not gambling products, and that insider trading laws apply to all such trading activities. Arizona has gone further by pursuing criminal charges, prompting the federal regulator to seek judicial intervention.

Under the Commodity Exchange Act, the CFTC holds exclusive authority to regulate event contracts, which include prediction markets. The agency says this federal law preempts state-level efforts to impose overlapping regulation . The outcome of the Arizona case could shape how prediction markets operate across the United States.

Earlier, Selig escalated a jurisdictional clash between federal and state regulators over prediction markets, declaring that the U.S. derivatives watchdog, not state authorities, has sole oversight of event contracts. He said the agency has filed an amicus brief to reinforce its “exclusive jurisdiction” over prediction markets, describing these contracts as derivatives subject to federal regulation.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has asked a federal court in Arizona to stop the state from using its gambling and criminal laws against federally regulated prediction markets.

Singapore Summit: Meet the largest APAC brokers you know (and those you still don't!)

The regulator filed a motion on Wednesday seeking a preliminary injunction and temporary restraining order to block Arizona’s enforcement actions.

Federal Regulator Opposes State Enforcement

The filing follows a lawsuit lodged last week by the CFTC and the Department of Justice, challenging Arizona’s efforts to prosecute companies operating under federal oversight. The regulator argues that Arizona’s actions conflict with federal law and could undermine the CFTC’s authority over event-based contracts.

“Arizona’s decision to weaponize preempted state criminal law against companies that comply with a comprehensive federal regime sets a dangerous precedent,” said CFTC Chairman Michael Selig. He added that the agency will “vigorously defend its exclusive authority” over prediction markets.

The latest development follows the CFTC’s recent filings of lawsuits against Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois, accusing the states of overstepping their authority by interfering with federally regulated prediction markets.

The agency argues that these states unlawfully sought to impose restrictions on designated contract markets (DCMs) approved by the CFTC, in violation of the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA). Selig said the commission will continue to defend its exclusive jurisdiction over event contracts, financial instruments that allow trading on outcomes such as elections or corporate performance, to prevent fragmented oversight and protect market participants from inconsistent state rules.

Broader Dispute Over Jurisdiction

The lawsuits extend Selig’s campaign to reaffirm federal control over prediction markets, following earlier filings and regulatory clarifications issued by the commission.

Continue reading: CFTC Sues Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois for Overreach on Prediction Markets

The CFTC maintains that event-based contracts are derivatives under its jurisdiction, not gambling products, and that insider trading laws apply to all such trading activities. Arizona has gone further by pursuing criminal charges, prompting the federal regulator to seek judicial intervention.

Under the Commodity Exchange Act, the CFTC holds exclusive authority to regulate event contracts, which include prediction markets. The agency says this federal law preempts state-level efforts to impose overlapping regulation . The outcome of the Arizona case could shape how prediction markets operate across the United States.

Earlier, Selig escalated a jurisdictional clash between federal and state regulators over prediction markets, declaring that the U.S. derivatives watchdog, not state authorities, has sole oversight of event contracts. He said the agency has filed an amicus brief to reinforce its “exclusive jurisdiction” over prediction markets, describing these contracts as derivatives subject to federal regulation.

About the Author: Jared Kirui
Jared Kirui
  • 2733 Articles
  • 53 Followers
About the Author: Jared Kirui
Jared Kirui is an Editor at Finance Magnates with more than five years of experience in financial journalism. He covers online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto industries with a focus on companies, regulation and compliance, executive moves, trading technology, and market analysis. His work has been featured in other media outlets, including Benzinga, ZyCrypto, The Distributed, and The Daily Hodl. Education: Bachelor of Commerce degree (Finance option), University of Nairobi
  • 2733 Articles
  • 53 Followers

More from the Author

Retail FX

!"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|} !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}