XRP falls for the third straight session to $1.90, erasing the entire mid-year rally and down 50% from July's $3.67 peak amid fragile market sentiment.
My technical analysis shows a bearish regression channel with targets at $1.62 (14% downside) and $1.25 (34% drop) after the death cross.
Market split between panic-selling and stealth-accumulation scenarios as XRP posts a 13% YTD loss.
Why is XRP going down today? Let's check current technical analysis and XRP price predictions
XRP price
is falling for a third consecutive session today (Tuesday), 23 December 2025,
dropping back below the $1.90 level and hovering near its lowest prices since
April, marking eight-month lows.
From this
year's July peak, when one XRP traded at $3.67, the price has already halved,
and on a year-to-date basis, XRP is down roughly 13%, effectively erasing the
dynamic mid-year rally that captivated traders.
According
to my technical analysis, the chart suggests the cryptocurrency can fall even
lower, with two clear downside targets now in focus. In this article, I examine how low XRP price can go and analyze the XRP/USDT daily chart.
The broader
cryptocurrency market is under pressure as total market capitalization fell
2.4% over the past 24 hours to $3.06 trillion, with
Bitcoin declining 2.4% to around $87,780 and most large-cap tokens posting
losses. XRP is mirroring this risk-off move but with sharper percentage
declines typical of its high-beta profile. The token closed Monday at $1.90,
down from $1.93 the prior session and marking a steady deterioration from the
$2.20+ zone that held through much of late November.
XRP price today. Source: CoinMarketCap.com
"The
current correction demonstrates the fragility of this market and its continued
susceptibility to panic selling," says Farzam Ehsani, CEO of crypto
exchange VALR. He outlines two scenarios: either a very large player such as a
fund, bank or state is preparing a significant purchase, making the decline
potentially artificial and setting up a sharp rebound, or the market is
oversaturated and the weakening dollar plus Fed policy have reduced demand for
high-risk assets, implying recovery could take more than a year.
From a
macro perspective, Joel Kruger, LMAX Group, notes that "traditional
markets provide a supportive but measured backdrop. A softer US dollar and a
modest pullback in Treasury yields help cap downside volatility, while ongoing
debate around the Fed's policy outlook sustains interest in bitcoin as a
non-sovereign, scarce asset".
XRP Price Analysis:
Bearish Regression Channel And Death Cross
From my
technical view, XRP has been making fresh lows session after session, prompting
me to refresh the chart with updated levels and a bearish regression
channel that has been in place uninterrupted since July. The lower
boundary of this channel was last tested in late February, and price is now
gravitating back toward that zone. Currently, XRP is using a local
support area around $1.80, tested just last week, with prior contacts on 21
November and several sessions in April.
According
to my technical analysis, the far more important level lies at $1.62,
where the lower edge of the regression channel coincides with
the lows from eight months ago, representing one of the lowest prices of the
year. This is my first bearish target. The ultimate
downside objective sits at $1.25, the low from the October
10 flash crash, when XRP briefly tested and bounced within the November
2024 supply–demand accumulation zone. Analysts note that the October crash
marked a significant bearish shift, erasing roughly $1.3 trillion in total
crypto market value.
From the
current price near $1.90, XRP could fall approximately 14% to reach the
first target at $1.62 and as much as 34% to hit the second
target at $1.25. Supporting this bearish outlook is the moving
average grid: price trades well below both the 50-day and 200-day
MAs, and the pair formed a death cross at the beginning of
November, a classic technical signal of deteriorating momentum.
While my
base case remains tilted to the downside, it's important to map the resistance
ladder that would need to be reclaimed for any meaningful recovery.
According
to my technical analysis, the first substantial resistance zone spans
$2.07 to $2.25, combining the upper edge of the regression channel,
the 50-day moving average, and a cluster of local highs and lows
from 2025. This band has repeatedly capped rallies in recent weeks.
Above that,
the next resistance level sits around $2.64, the May 2025 high,
followed by the psychological $3.00 threshold, which also marks the
March 2025 peak. The final resistance band lies at $3.40–$3.55,
representing this year's July highs from which the current downtrend
originated.
Only a
sustained breakout above these zones, especially a decisive move through $2.25
and then $2.64, would invalidate the current bearish XRP price prediction and
signal a potential trend reversal.
XRP Price Prediction 2025,
2026
My short-
to medium-term XRP price prediction centers on the two downside targets
outlined above:
$1.62 as
the primary objective (aligned
with the regression channel floor and April lows),
$1.25 as
the ultimate bearish scenario (October flash-crash low and November 2024 accumulation zone).
The path
and timing to these levels will depend on how quickly the current local support
at $1.80 gives way and whether broader crypto sentiment continues to
deteriorate.
Several
factors could invalidate this bearish setup. A strong reversal
above the $2.07–$2.25 resistance band, coupled with reclaiming the 50-day
moving average and breaking back above the upper edge of the regression
channel, would suggest that buyers have regained control.
Potential
catalysts for such a reversal include clearer regulatory frameworks (despite
the recent Senate delay pushing crypto legislation to 2026), a macro shift
toward easier Fed policy, a broad-based crypto rally led by Bitcoin, or large
on-chain accumulation becoming visible in whale wallet data.
Kruger's
assessment that "crypto markets remain in consolidation mode"
underscores that until a clearer catalyst emerges, whether from Fed policy,
institutional flows, or breakthrough adoption news, XRP and the broader market
are likely to continue drifting within defined ranges, vulnerable to downside
breakouts.
XRP Price Analysis, FAQ
Why is XRP going down
today?
XRP is
going down because it's part of a broader 2.4% crypto market selloff, with
risk-off sentiment and year-end profit-taking weighing on all major tokens.
Additionally, XRP's 50% drawdown from July and inability to sustain gains
despite SEC victory and ETF inflows reflect fragile sentiment and ongoing
distribution by early holders.
Is XRP in a bear market
now?
Yes. XRP is
down 13% year-to-date and 50% from its July peak, trading within a bearish
regression channel with a confirmed death cross. While these are classic
bear-market signals, the token has outperformed Bitcoin (-18%) and Ethereum
(-27%) in 2025, suggesting a correction within a longer-term consolidation
rather than a full structural bear phase.
How low can XRP price go
in this cycle?
According
to my technical analysis, XRP can fall approximately 14% from current levels to
the first target at $1.62, and as much as 34% to the ultimate bearish objective
at $1.25. These levels correspond to the lower edge of the regression channel,
April 2025 lows, and the October flash-crash zone respectively.
Can XRP recover after this
crash?
XRP can
recover if broader crypto sentiment stabilizes, macro conditions improve, or a
major catalyst such as renewed institutional buying or regulatory clarity
emerges. A sustained break above $2.25 resistance and reclaiming the 50-day
moving average would signal that buyers have regained control and invalidate
the current bearish setup.
Before you go, please also check my other XRP price prediction articles:
XRP price
is falling for a third consecutive session today (Tuesday), 23 December 2025,
dropping back below the $1.90 level and hovering near its lowest prices since
April, marking eight-month lows.
From this
year's July peak, when one XRP traded at $3.67, the price has already halved,
and on a year-to-date basis, XRP is down roughly 13%, effectively erasing the
dynamic mid-year rally that captivated traders.
According
to my technical analysis, the chart suggests the cryptocurrency can fall even
lower, with two clear downside targets now in focus. In this article, I examine how low XRP price can go and analyze the XRP/USDT daily chart.
The broader
cryptocurrency market is under pressure as total market capitalization fell
2.4% over the past 24 hours to $3.06 trillion, with
Bitcoin declining 2.4% to around $87,780 and most large-cap tokens posting
losses. XRP is mirroring this risk-off move but with sharper percentage
declines typical of its high-beta profile. The token closed Monday at $1.90,
down from $1.93 the prior session and marking a steady deterioration from the
$2.20+ zone that held through much of late November.
XRP price today. Source: CoinMarketCap.com
"The
current correction demonstrates the fragility of this market and its continued
susceptibility to panic selling," says Farzam Ehsani, CEO of crypto
exchange VALR. He outlines two scenarios: either a very large player such as a
fund, bank or state is preparing a significant purchase, making the decline
potentially artificial and setting up a sharp rebound, or the market is
oversaturated and the weakening dollar plus Fed policy have reduced demand for
high-risk assets, implying recovery could take more than a year.
From a
macro perspective, Joel Kruger, LMAX Group, notes that "traditional
markets provide a supportive but measured backdrop. A softer US dollar and a
modest pullback in Treasury yields help cap downside volatility, while ongoing
debate around the Fed's policy outlook sustains interest in bitcoin as a
non-sovereign, scarce asset".
XRP Price Analysis:
Bearish Regression Channel And Death Cross
From my
technical view, XRP has been making fresh lows session after session, prompting
me to refresh the chart with updated levels and a bearish regression
channel that has been in place uninterrupted since July. The lower
boundary of this channel was last tested in late February, and price is now
gravitating back toward that zone. Currently, XRP is using a local
support area around $1.80, tested just last week, with prior contacts on 21
November and several sessions in April.
According
to my technical analysis, the far more important level lies at $1.62,
where the lower edge of the regression channel coincides with
the lows from eight months ago, representing one of the lowest prices of the
year. This is my first bearish target. The ultimate
downside objective sits at $1.25, the low from the October
10 flash crash, when XRP briefly tested and bounced within the November
2024 supply–demand accumulation zone. Analysts note that the October crash
marked a significant bearish shift, erasing roughly $1.3 trillion in total
crypto market value.
From the
current price near $1.90, XRP could fall approximately 14% to reach the
first target at $1.62 and as much as 34% to hit the second
target at $1.25. Supporting this bearish outlook is the moving
average grid: price trades well below both the 50-day and 200-day
MAs, and the pair formed a death cross at the beginning of
November, a classic technical signal of deteriorating momentum.
While my
base case remains tilted to the downside, it's important to map the resistance
ladder that would need to be reclaimed for any meaningful recovery.
According
to my technical analysis, the first substantial resistance zone spans
$2.07 to $2.25, combining the upper edge of the regression channel,
the 50-day moving average, and a cluster of local highs and lows
from 2025. This band has repeatedly capped rallies in recent weeks.
Above that,
the next resistance level sits around $2.64, the May 2025 high,
followed by the psychological $3.00 threshold, which also marks the
March 2025 peak. The final resistance band lies at $3.40–$3.55,
representing this year's July highs from which the current downtrend
originated.
Only a
sustained breakout above these zones, especially a decisive move through $2.25
and then $2.64, would invalidate the current bearish XRP price prediction and
signal a potential trend reversal.
XRP Price Prediction 2025,
2026
My short-
to medium-term XRP price prediction centers on the two downside targets
outlined above:
$1.62 as
the primary objective (aligned
with the regression channel floor and April lows),
$1.25 as
the ultimate bearish scenario (October flash-crash low and November 2024 accumulation zone).
The path
and timing to these levels will depend on how quickly the current local support
at $1.80 gives way and whether broader crypto sentiment continues to
deteriorate.
Several
factors could invalidate this bearish setup. A strong reversal
above the $2.07–$2.25 resistance band, coupled with reclaiming the 50-day
moving average and breaking back above the upper edge of the regression
channel, would suggest that buyers have regained control.
Potential
catalysts for such a reversal include clearer regulatory frameworks (despite
the recent Senate delay pushing crypto legislation to 2026), a macro shift
toward easier Fed policy, a broad-based crypto rally led by Bitcoin, or large
on-chain accumulation becoming visible in whale wallet data.
Kruger's
assessment that "crypto markets remain in consolidation mode"
underscores that until a clearer catalyst emerges, whether from Fed policy,
institutional flows, or breakthrough adoption news, XRP and the broader market
are likely to continue drifting within defined ranges, vulnerable to downside
breakouts.
XRP Price Analysis, FAQ
Why is XRP going down
today?
XRP is
going down because it's part of a broader 2.4% crypto market selloff, with
risk-off sentiment and year-end profit-taking weighing on all major tokens.
Additionally, XRP's 50% drawdown from July and inability to sustain gains
despite SEC victory and ETF inflows reflect fragile sentiment and ongoing
distribution by early holders.
Is XRP in a bear market
now?
Yes. XRP is
down 13% year-to-date and 50% from its July peak, trading within a bearish
regression channel with a confirmed death cross. While these are classic
bear-market signals, the token has outperformed Bitcoin (-18%) and Ethereum
(-27%) in 2025, suggesting a correction within a longer-term consolidation
rather than a full structural bear phase.
How low can XRP price go
in this cycle?
According
to my technical analysis, XRP can fall approximately 14% from current levels to
the first target at $1.62, and as much as 34% to the ultimate bearish objective
at $1.25. These levels correspond to the lower edge of the regression channel,
April 2025 lows, and the October flash-crash zone respectively.
Can XRP recover after this
crash?
XRP can
recover if broader crypto sentiment stabilizes, macro conditions improve, or a
major catalyst such as renewed institutional buying or regulatory clarity
emerges. A sustained break above $2.25 resistance and reclaiming the 50-day
moving average would signal that buyers have regained control and invalidate
the current bearish setup.
Before you go, please also check my other XRP price prediction articles:
Damian's adventure with financial markets began at the Cracow University of Economics, where he obtained his MA in finance and accounting. Starting from the retail trader perspective, he collaborated with brokerage houses and financial portals in Poland as an independent editor and content manager. His adventure with Finance Magnates began in 2016, where he is working as a business intelligence analyst.
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We discuss why he thinks the model grew fast, why it may run into walls, and what he believes is needed for a cleaner, more responsible version of prop trading.
This is Brendan at his frankest — sharp, grounded, and very clear about what changes are overdue.
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🔹In this wide-ranging discussion, Elina shares insights on:
🔹What winning a Finance Magnates award means for credibility and reputation
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🔹The launch of a new trade server enabling flexible front-end integrations
🔹Why ultra-low latency must be proven with data, not buzzwords
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🔹Educating the industry through a newly launched Dealers Academy
🔹Where AI fits into trading infrastructure and where it doesn’t
Elina explains why resilient back-end infrastructure, deep client partnerships, and disciplined focus are critical for brokers looking to scale sustainably in today’s competitive market.
🏆 Award Highlight: Best Connectivity 2025
👉 Subscribe to Finance Magnates for more executive interviews, industry insights, and exclusive coverage from the world’s leading financial events.
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Watch the full review to see whether Blueberry’s trading setup aligns with your experience level, strategy, and risk tolerance.
📣 Stay up to date with the latest in finance and trading. Follow Finance Magnates for industry news, insights, and global event coverage.
Connect with us:
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⚖ Balanced reporting
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