The Bitcoin price fell to $81,481, down 7% in 4 days, due to US tariffs and gold’s rise.
BTC tests $80K support, worst Q1 since 2018 with 12.7% loss, no clear bottom yet.
Will Bitcoin recover? History says yes, but tariffs and market fear delay a rise.
Let's check why Bitcoin price is going down today and current BTC price predictions
The Bitcoin
(BTC) price has been on a downward trend, trading at approximately $81,481 as
of Monday, March 31, 2025. This decline marks four consecutive days of losses,
with the price testing monthly lows, raising concerns among investors. The
Bitcoin price chart reflects this volatility, showing a 5.45% drop over the
past week, aligning with broader market unease.
This above is an advertisement by Utip
Bitcoin Price Is Down
Today
As of this
writing, one Bitcoin on the Bitstamp exchange is priced at $81,481, down 1.2%
from the previous session, breaching local support levels and marking the
fourth consecutive day in its depreciation streak.
Bitcoin price is going down today. Source: CoinMarketCap
The
declines align with the broader sentiment currently observed in the
cryptocurrency market, with other assets losing value alongside Bitcoin.
The
table summarizes recent Bitcoin price movements:
These
tariffs, including 25% on Canadian and Mexican goods and 10% on Chinese
imports, effective from February 4, 2025, with potential increases, have
sparked fears of a trade war. This uncertainty has led to a risk-off sentiment,
with investors shifting to safe-haven assets like gold, which has hit all-time
highs.
Paul Howard, Wincent
This shift
is mirrored in Bitcoin's performance, with Cointelegraph noting on March 28,
2025, that “BTC’s ongoing price drop mirrors similar declines in the
broader risk-on market due to unfavorable macroeconomic conditions,”
particularly citing Trump's tariff announcements. The anticipation of these
tariffs, dubbed “Liberation Day” by Trump, has weighed on Bitcoin,
contributing to why Bitcoin is going down.
“Correlation
with macroeconomic trends has become a dominant theme for major
cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin,” said Paul Howard, Senior Director at Wincent. “Observing how the Nasdaq is leading this
sell-off provides a framework to attribute similar market behavior across
digital assets.”
The Nasdaq 100 is in a downward trend, losing value
across four sessions last week. On Friday, the tech benchmark fell by 0.5%,
closing the week just above 19,000, deepening its year-to-date lows.
Technical
analysis provides further insight into Bitcoin's decline. The market value to
realized value (MVRV) ratio, has converged toward its long-term average,
indicating the market has exited an overheated zone. However, Yonsei Dent from
CryptoQuant noted, “no definitive bottom signal has emerged yet,”
suggesting potential for further downside, aligning with a bearish sentiment
observed in CoinCodex with a Fear & Greed Index of 26 (Fear).
Based on my
technical analysis, Bitcoin failed to overcome local resistance and has entered
a series of consecutive bearish days. Over the past four declining sessions,
Bitcoin’s price has dropped by more than $6,000 (7%) and is testing a level of
$81,287 on Monday, March 31, 2025—the lowest since March 14, marking over two
weeks of decline.
The BTC price couldn’t break through $87,500,
slipping not only below the 200 EMA but also below the next local support
level, defined by the February 26 low of just under $82,100. As a result,
Bitcoin’s price has paved the way for a potential drop below $80,000, heading
toward the $78,300 level tested earlier this month.
It’s worth
noting that both $78,300 (the current support) and $87,500 (the resistance
Bitcoin failed to breach) align with the lower and upper boundaries of a
descending regression channel, drawn from the all-time high in January. This
structure, which I’ve marked in red on the chart, appears to be technically
significant and could influence how BTC’s price behaves moving forward.
While I
don’t currently expect a strong rebound, it’s part of my analytical duty to
also mention key resistance levels. In addition to those already noted, the
$92,000 level—representing lows from late 2024 that repeatedly saved the bulls
from further drops—is also significant. The ultimate resistance lies around
$108,000, Bitcoin’s all-time high from December 2024.
Bitcoin's
Q1 2025 performance is notably weak, with a 12.5% loss, as per CoinGlass data,
marking the worst first quarter since 2018.
Bitcoin quarterly returns. Source: Coinglass.com
Despite
this, the correction is mild compared to historical bull market drawdowns
exceeding 60%, as noted in Glassnode analysis, with this cycle being the least
volatile.
In
conclusion, Bitcoin's recent price decline is driven by macroeconomic
uncertainty from US trade tariffs, technical indicators signaling correction,
and a challenging Q1 2025, with a 12.7% loss. While short-term risks persist,
historical resilience and upcoming events like Fed rate cuts offer potential
for recovery. Investors should monitor key levels and economic developments
closely.
Bitcoin News, FAQ
Why Is Bitcoin Falling
Down?
A key
factor is the looming uncertainty from new US trade tariffs set to take effect
on April 2, 2025, which are rattling risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
Investors are shifting toward safe-haven options such as gold, which has
reached all-time highs, leaving Bitcoin vulnerable. Additionally, technical
indicators show the price slipping below critical support levels, like the
$82,100 mark from late February, and failing to break resistance at $87,500.
Will Bitcoin Rise Again?
Yes,
Bitcoin has a history of rebounding from significant dips. Its resilience stems
from its decentralized nature and growing adoption as a store of value, often
compared to “digital gold.” The current decline, driven by short-term
macroeconomic fears, doesn’t erase its long-term potential. Analysts point to
cycles where Bitcoin has weathered corrections—like the over 60% drawdowns in
past bull markets—only to climb to new highs.
Will Bitcoin Ever Recover?
Yes.
Despite closing its worst first quarter since 2018 with a 12.7% loss in Q1
2025, this correction is relatively mild compared to previous cycles. On-chain
data, such as the market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio trending toward
its long-term average, suggests the market is cooling off rather than
collapsing. Institutional interest, though tempered by recent panic selling,
remains a supportive factor, as seen in the neutral Coinbase Premium.
What Will Be the Price of
Bitcoin in 2025?
Some
technical forecasts, like those based on the descending channel from January’s
peak, indicate a near-term test of $78,300, with resistance at $92,000 as a key
hurdle. Optimistic outlooks from sources like Forbes hint at long-term growth
driven by institutional adoption, potentially pushing prices higher.
Conversely, prolonged economic uncertainty could keep Bitcoin suppressed below
$80,000. Given these variables, a wide range—anywhere from $78,000 to over
$100,000—remains plausible by the end of 2025.
The Bitcoin
(BTC) price has been on a downward trend, trading at approximately $81,481 as
of Monday, March 31, 2025. This decline marks four consecutive days of losses,
with the price testing monthly lows, raising concerns among investors. The
Bitcoin price chart reflects this volatility, showing a 5.45% drop over the
past week, aligning with broader market unease.
This above is an advertisement by Utip
Bitcoin Price Is Down
Today
As of this
writing, one Bitcoin on the Bitstamp exchange is priced at $81,481, down 1.2%
from the previous session, breaching local support levels and marking the
fourth consecutive day in its depreciation streak.
Bitcoin price is going down today. Source: CoinMarketCap
The
declines align with the broader sentiment currently observed in the
cryptocurrency market, with other assets losing value alongside Bitcoin.
The
table summarizes recent Bitcoin price movements:
These
tariffs, including 25% on Canadian and Mexican goods and 10% on Chinese
imports, effective from February 4, 2025, with potential increases, have
sparked fears of a trade war. This uncertainty has led to a risk-off sentiment,
with investors shifting to safe-haven assets like gold, which has hit all-time
highs.
Paul Howard, Wincent
This shift
is mirrored in Bitcoin's performance, with Cointelegraph noting on March 28,
2025, that “BTC’s ongoing price drop mirrors similar declines in the
broader risk-on market due to unfavorable macroeconomic conditions,”
particularly citing Trump's tariff announcements. The anticipation of these
tariffs, dubbed “Liberation Day” by Trump, has weighed on Bitcoin,
contributing to why Bitcoin is going down.
“Correlation
with macroeconomic trends has become a dominant theme for major
cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin,” said Paul Howard, Senior Director at Wincent. “Observing how the Nasdaq is leading this
sell-off provides a framework to attribute similar market behavior across
digital assets.”
The Nasdaq 100 is in a downward trend, losing value
across four sessions last week. On Friday, the tech benchmark fell by 0.5%,
closing the week just above 19,000, deepening its year-to-date lows.
Technical
analysis provides further insight into Bitcoin's decline. The market value to
realized value (MVRV) ratio, has converged toward its long-term average,
indicating the market has exited an overheated zone. However, Yonsei Dent from
CryptoQuant noted, “no definitive bottom signal has emerged yet,”
suggesting potential for further downside, aligning with a bearish sentiment
observed in CoinCodex with a Fear & Greed Index of 26 (Fear).
Based on my
technical analysis, Bitcoin failed to overcome local resistance and has entered
a series of consecutive bearish days. Over the past four declining sessions,
Bitcoin’s price has dropped by more than $6,000 (7%) and is testing a level of
$81,287 on Monday, March 31, 2025—the lowest since March 14, marking over two
weeks of decline.
The BTC price couldn’t break through $87,500,
slipping not only below the 200 EMA but also below the next local support
level, defined by the February 26 low of just under $82,100. As a result,
Bitcoin’s price has paved the way for a potential drop below $80,000, heading
toward the $78,300 level tested earlier this month.
It’s worth
noting that both $78,300 (the current support) and $87,500 (the resistance
Bitcoin failed to breach) align with the lower and upper boundaries of a
descending regression channel, drawn from the all-time high in January. This
structure, which I’ve marked in red on the chart, appears to be technically
significant and could influence how BTC’s price behaves moving forward.
While I
don’t currently expect a strong rebound, it’s part of my analytical duty to
also mention key resistance levels. In addition to those already noted, the
$92,000 level—representing lows from late 2024 that repeatedly saved the bulls
from further drops—is also significant. The ultimate resistance lies around
$108,000, Bitcoin’s all-time high from December 2024.
Bitcoin's
Q1 2025 performance is notably weak, with a 12.5% loss, as per CoinGlass data,
marking the worst first quarter since 2018.
Bitcoin quarterly returns. Source: Coinglass.com
Despite
this, the correction is mild compared to historical bull market drawdowns
exceeding 60%, as noted in Glassnode analysis, with this cycle being the least
volatile.
In
conclusion, Bitcoin's recent price decline is driven by macroeconomic
uncertainty from US trade tariffs, technical indicators signaling correction,
and a challenging Q1 2025, with a 12.7% loss. While short-term risks persist,
historical resilience and upcoming events like Fed rate cuts offer potential
for recovery. Investors should monitor key levels and economic developments
closely.
Bitcoin News, FAQ
Why Is Bitcoin Falling
Down?
A key
factor is the looming uncertainty from new US trade tariffs set to take effect
on April 2, 2025, which are rattling risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
Investors are shifting toward safe-haven options such as gold, which has
reached all-time highs, leaving Bitcoin vulnerable. Additionally, technical
indicators show the price slipping below critical support levels, like the
$82,100 mark from late February, and failing to break resistance at $87,500.
Will Bitcoin Rise Again?
Yes,
Bitcoin has a history of rebounding from significant dips. Its resilience stems
from its decentralized nature and growing adoption as a store of value, often
compared to “digital gold.” The current decline, driven by short-term
macroeconomic fears, doesn’t erase its long-term potential. Analysts point to
cycles where Bitcoin has weathered corrections—like the over 60% drawdowns in
past bull markets—only to climb to new highs.
Will Bitcoin Ever Recover?
Yes.
Despite closing its worst first quarter since 2018 with a 12.7% loss in Q1
2025, this correction is relatively mild compared to previous cycles. On-chain
data, such as the market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio trending toward
its long-term average, suggests the market is cooling off rather than
collapsing. Institutional interest, though tempered by recent panic selling,
remains a supportive factor, as seen in the neutral Coinbase Premium.
What Will Be the Price of
Bitcoin in 2025?
Some
technical forecasts, like those based on the descending channel from January’s
peak, indicate a near-term test of $78,300, with resistance at $92,000 as a key
hurdle. Optimistic outlooks from sources like Forbes hint at long-term growth
driven by institutional adoption, potentially pushing prices higher.
Conversely, prolonged economic uncertainty could keep Bitcoin suppressed below
$80,000. Given these variables, a wide range—anywhere from $78,000 to over
$100,000—remains plausible by the end of 2025.
Damian's adventure with financial markets began at the Cracow University of Economics, where he obtained his MA in finance and accounting. Starting from the retail trader perspective, he collaborated with brokerage houses and financial portals in Poland as an independent editor and content manager. His adventure with Finance Magnates began in 2016, where he is working as a business intelligence analyst.
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We speak about market structure, the institutional view on liquidity, and the sharp rise of prop trading, a sector Drew has been commenting on in recent months. Drew explains why he once dismissed prop trading, why his view changed, and what he now thinks the model means for brokers, clients and risk managers.
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In this conversation, we sit down with Drew Niv, CSO at ATFX Connect and one of the most influential figures in modern FX.
We speak about market structure, the institutional view on liquidity, and the sharp rise of prop trading, a sector Drew has been commenting on in recent months. Drew explains why he once dismissed prop trading, why his view changed, and what he now thinks the model means for brokers, clients and risk managers.
We explore subscription-fee dependency, the high reneging rate, and the long-term challenge: how brokers can build a more stable and honest version of the model. Drew also talks about the traffic advantage standalone prop firms have built and why brokers may still win in the long run if they take the right approach.
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A concise look at where compliance, onboarding, and AI-driven processes are heading next.
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A concise look at where compliance, onboarding, and AI-driven processes are heading next.
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We start with Aydin’s view of the Summit and the challenges brokers face as fraud tactics grow more complex. He explains how firms can stay ahead through real-time signals, data patterns, and early-stage detection.
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Read the article at: https://www.financemagnates.com/thought-leadership/exness-expands-its-presence-in-africa-inside-our-interview-with-paul-margarites/
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Interview with Jas Shah
Builder | Adviser | Fintech Writer | Product Strategist
In this episode, Jonathan Fine sat down with Jas Shah, one of the most thoughtful voices in global fintech. Known for his work across advisory, product, stablecoins, and his widely read writing, Jas brings a rare combination of industry insight and plain-spoken clarity.
We talk about his first impression of the Summit, the projects that keep him busy today, and how they connect to the stablecoin panel he joined. Jas shares his view on the link between fintech, wealthtech and retail brokers, especially as firms like Revolut, eToro and Trading212 blur long-standing lines in the market.
We also explore what stablecoin adoption might look like for retail investment platforms, including a few product and UX angles that are not obvious at first glance.
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