prediction markets
Hyperliquid Launches Prediction Markets With Validator-Based Settlement
- Hyperliquid has launched validator-settled prediction markets, moving event resolution directly into its own protocol infrastructure.
- The model allows traders to hold event contracts, perpetuals, and other positions against shared collateral within a single trading environment.
Tuesday, 26/05/2026 | 16:01 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Binance Embeds Event Trading into Its Wallet as Prediction Markets Grow into Core Infrastructure
- Binance has integrated event trading directly into its wallet, allowing users to trade outcome-based contracts alongside existing crypto products.
- As exchanges and wallets compete for distribution, regulators are increasingly challenging whether prediction markets should be treated as financial products or gambling services.
Tuesday, 26/05/2026 | 15:00 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Polymarket Targets Japan with Formal Lobbying Effort, Signaling Industry Shift
- Polymarket is pursuing formal government approval in Japan despite some of the strictest gambling laws among major economies.
- The company’s approach in Japan contrasts with its strategy in markets like India, where prediction platforms have continued operating amid regulatory pressure.
Friday, 22/05/2026 | 17:01 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
US Congress Opens Formal Probe into Kalshi and Polymarket, Targeting KYC and Trade Surveillance
- Congress is demanding detailed records on identity verification, anomaly detection, and insider trading controls from Kalshi and Polymarket.
- The probe increases pressure on prediction market platforms to build compliance infrastructure closer to what regulated brokers and exchanges already use.
Friday, 22/05/2026 | 13:39 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: Polymarket Pushes Abroad as Sporttrade Drops Sportsbooks
- Polymarket hired a Japan representative targeting 2030 approval while continuing to operate in India despite a federal ban.
- The SEC delayed prediction market ETFs from Roundhill, GraniteShares, and Bitwise.
Friday, 22/05/2026 | 10:56 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
SEC Delays Prediction Market ETFs, Signaling Turf Battle with CFTC
- The SEC has delayed a wave of ETFs tied to prediction markets while it reviews the regulatory implications.
- The decision could determine how quickly event-based trading enters mainstream brokerage platforms.
Thursday, 21/05/2026 | 17:01 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Casino Lobby Calls CFTC a “Rogue Agency” Over Prediction Markets
- The American Gaming Association is challenging the CFTC’s authority over prediction markets.
- For brokers and exchanges, the core issue is whether federal CFTC oversight can override state gambling licenses.
Thursday, 21/05/2026 | 15:00 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
"Prediction Market Platforms May Need to Operate Under Gambling Licenses": Devexperts' Jon Light
- The tech provider's Senior Director of Product Management told Finance Magnates that brokers entering prediction markets are weighing regulatory constraints as heavily as technology and infrastructure decisions.
- "Liquidity management also becomes more important, as trading activity can surge rapidly around key events and then disappear just as quickly."
Thursday, 21/05/2026 | 10:00 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Nasdaq Private Market Becomes Data Provider for Polymarket’s Private Company Markets
- Nasdaq Private Market will provide the data used to resolve Polymarket contracts tied to private companies and unicorn valuations.
- The deal adds another institutional infrastructure layer to prediction markets, alongside recent moves by ICE, Nasdaq, Cboe, and Dow Jones.
Wednesday, 20/05/2026 | 14:00 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalish vs. Kalshi: The Fight Over Who Really Wins in Prediction Markets
- DraftKings co-founder Matt Kalish accused Kalshi of routing retail order flow toward professional market makers through an exchange structure that favors institutional liquidity providers.
- The dispute has intensified broader questions around slippage, market-maker concentration, and whether prediction markets function more like financial exchanges or sportsbooks.
Tuesday, 19/05/2026 | 17:01 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Sporttrade Exits Sports Betting to Rebuild Around Prediction Markets Under CFTC Oversight
- Sporttrade is replacing its state sportsbook model with a federally regulated event-trading structure tied to the CFTC.
- DraftKings and FanDuel are also expanding into event contracts, but Sporttrade is one of the few firms leaving the sportsbook model behind entirely.
Tuesday, 19/05/2026 | 15:00 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Polymarket’s Arbitration Model Faces Conflict-of-Interest Questions
- A Wall Street Journal analysis found that some UMA token holders resolving Polymarket disputes also held positions in the same markets.
- As prediction markets scale institutionally, arbitration and settlement integrity are becoming a growing operational concern.
Monday, 18/05/2026 | 22:30 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Prediction Market Giants Defy India Ban in High-Stakes Global Expansion Play
- Kalshi and Polymarket continue operating in India despite a federal ban and explicit warnings from the country’s technology ministry.
- The situation highlights a growing gap between U.S. regulatory legitimacy and legal acceptance in overseas markets such as India and Brazil.
Monday, 18/05/2026 | 14:23 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: Interactive Brokers Starts “Trading the Future” as SEC Stalls ETF Plans
- Polymarket’s trading activity declined for the first time in eight months as the platform rolled out a major infrastructure overhaul.
- Regulators are still divided on whether prediction markets should be treated as financial derivatives or gambling products, even as institutional adoption accelerates.
Friday, 15/05/2026 | 14:12 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
"Who Am I to Say You Shouldn't Trade That?": Vlad Tenev Defends Speculators and Prediction Markets
- Robinhood's chief executive pushed back on gambling critics in the same week Kalshi raised $1 billion at a $22 billion valuation.
- Event contract volume across the industry has crossed $50 billion as insider trading cases test the sector's defenses.
Monday, 11/05/2026 | 16:00 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
Coinbase Head of Prediction Markets: It's Becoming a Way to “Invest in Information”
- Toni Gemayel told Finance magnates that prediction markets are becoming part of a broader “Everything Exchange” model.
- He revealed that the exchange plans to expand beyond Kalshi and support contracts from additional prediction market platforms in the coming months.
Monday, 11/05/2026 | 10:07 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
CFD Broker Born2trade to Enter Prediction Markets After Acquiring Predictory.com Domain
- The move reflects a broader trend of CFD brokers adding event-based trading to attract new users.
- Technology providers such as Match-Trade now offer plug-in prediction market modules for brokers.
Friday, 08/05/2026 | 16:31 GMT by
Jared Kirui
Inside the Prediction Markets: Kalshi Raises $1B as Regulatory Tensions Escalate
- Flutter confirmed it is already generating revenue from prediction markets through market-making and liquidity provision rather than retail exchange operations.
- The CFTC’s latest review process exposed a growing divide between firms treating event contracts as financial derivatives and critics who see them as gambling products.
Friday, 08/05/2026 | 11:41 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
FanDuel Owner Flutter Is Making Money From Prediction Markets as a Market Maker
- Flutter is using sportsbook-style pricing models to quote prediction market contracts and manage inventory risk.
- Rather than operating a retail exchange, the company is focusing on liquidity provision and market-making infrastructure.
Thursday, 07/05/2026 | 14:03 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Prediction Markets Are Emerging as a Gen Z Entry Point to Trading
- Gen Z users are entering prediction markets at significantly higher rates than older investors.
- Prediction markets align closely with social-media-driven behaviour, turning news, culture, and online attention into perceived market insight.
Wednesday, 06/05/2026 | 15:17 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Prediction Markets Are Turning Into an Acquisition Engine for Brokers
- According to Leverate, prediction markets are attracting users that traditional CFD products often fail to reach.
- For brokers, the commercial value may lie less in trading revenue and more in user acquisition and cross-selling.
Wednesday, 06/05/2026 | 11:17 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Prediction Markets Are Becoming Algorithmic Trading Venues as AI Moves In
- AI tools and automated strategies are shifting prediction markets from crowd forecasting toward execution-driven trading.
- As bots and arbitrage strategies grow, platforms increasingly require the same infrastructure as electronic derivatives markets.
Tuesday, 05/05/2026 | 18:00 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi’s Legal Argument Tested as Courts Probe ‘Swap’ Classification
- Massachusetts justices questioned whether federal derivatives law can override state gambling rules in Kalshi’s case.
- The outcome could determine whether prediction markets operate under federal oversight or face state-by-state regulation.
Tuesday, 05/05/2026 | 10:06 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Gambling or Derivatives: CFTC Rulemaking Exposes a Structural Divide Over Prediction Markets
- Industry players argue these markets provide price discovery and hedging, while critics say they lack economic purpose and resemble betting.
- The outcome will define whether the sector integrates into Wall Street or is regulated like Las Vegas.
Monday, 04/05/2026 | 14:08 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Bitget Wallet: Prediction Markets Will Consolidate in Liquidity but Spread in Access
- Liquidity in prediction markets may concentrate in a few core venues, while access shifts toward wallets and exchanges.
- The competitive edge is moving from building markets to controlling how users access and interpret them.
Monday, 04/05/2026 | 10:18 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
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