Kalshi
Tradeweb Integrates Kalshi Data Into Institutional Trading Workflows
- Tradeweb has launched the first data-focused phase of its Kalshi partnership, bringing real-time event probabilities into institutional trading workflows.
- The rollout comes as Kalshi expands its institutional push, from compliance integrations to reported funding talks at a $40 billion valuation.
Friday, 26/06/2026 | 16:30 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside Prediction Markets: Lawsuits Mount as New Products and Partnerships Keep Coming
- Kalshi is reportedly seeking a $40 billion valuation, underscoring how quickly investor appetite for prediction markets continues to grow.
- Official sports data, securities-market distribution, and federal rulemaking all emerged as competitive battlegrounds this week.
Friday, 26/06/2026 | 11:18 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi in Talks to Raise at $40 Billion, Nearly Double Its May Valuation
- The prediction market operator could close a new round as soon as the third quarter, according to the Financial Times.
- Investor appetite is climbing even as state lawsuits and a CME Group challenge weigh on the company's regulatory standing.
Thursday, 25/06/2026 | 06:17 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
Inside the Prediction Markets: Kalshi Hits $100B as Questions Keep Piling Up
- A $345 million Iran market has become the latest example of how difficult prediction markets can be to settle when outcomes depend on interpretation rather than clearly verifiable events.
- A coalition of 56 organisations is urging Congress to curb event contracts, even as Canada prepares to bring prediction markets into regulated financial infrastructure.
Friday, 19/06/2026 | 16:21 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi Integrates with StarCompliance to Bring Institutional Traders Inside the Compliance Perimeter
- Kalshi’s StarCompliance integration lets financial firms monitor employee trading in prediction markets through existing compliance systems.
- The deal addresses a key institutional barrier for event contracts: visibility into employee accounts, audit trails, and potential MNPI risks.
Thursday, 18/06/2026 | 16:00 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi Hits $5.5B in Crypto Perps, Expanding Beyond Prediction Markets
- Kalshi’s new crypto perpetual futures generated more than $5.5 billion in trading volume in their first two weeks.
- The launch gives Kalshi a way to expand beyond event contracts and compete for volume in a much larger derivatives market.
Thursday, 18/06/2026 | 15:01 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Trading Technologies Adds Kalshi Connectivity as Prediction Markets Court Institutions
- The platform provider says trading on Kalshi will go live in Q3, with execution and algorithmic tools matching those it offers in other asset classes.
- Trading Technologies framed Kalshi as the first of several regulated prediction markets it intends to connect.
Wednesday, 17/06/2026 | 06:51 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
World Cup Pushes Kalshi Past $100 Billion as Daily Volumes Cross $1 Billion
- Kalshi’s record weekend highlights how quickly sports-led trading can scale, even as US legal uncertainty remains unresolved.
- Sports contracts drove the latest volume surge on both Kalshi and Polymarket, adding a major new source of liquidity beyond the political events.
Tuesday, 16/06/2026 | 16:30 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
The CFTC’s New Rulebook Doesn’t Reach a $34 Billion Offshore Prediction Market
- The CFTC’s new prediction market framework sets rules for regulated platforms such as Kalshi, but does not address offshore venues.
- A new study estimates that up to $34 billion in annual prediction market volume comes from U.S. users trading on offshore platforms.
Friday, 12/06/2026 | 11:23 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi Moves to Screen Potential Insiders Before Trades Are Placed
- Kalshi will require employment disclosures for traders participating in certain high-risk prediction markets.
- The move comes as prediction markets face growing scrutiny over insider trading and market surveillance practices.
Wednesday, 10/06/2026 | 15:00 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: Trading Volume Hits $28.4B as Brokers and Market Makers Move In
- Wintermute and Galaxy Digital expanded their prediction market operations, highlighting growing demand for institutional liquidity and larger trade sizes.
- World Cup contracts have already generated roughly $1.5 billion in trading volume, prompting sportsbooks to adjust products and promotions ahead of the tournament.
Friday, 05/06/2026 | 13:26 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Prediction Markets Build Wall Street-Style Infrastructure to Attract Hedge Funds
- Macro hedge funds, prime brokers, and market makers are increasingly treating prediction markets as a new institutional trading and hedging venue.
- Firms including Clear Street, Marex, and Tradeweb are building the infrastructure needed to connect professional investors to event-based markets at scale.
Wednesday, 27/05/2026 | 16:00 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
US Congress Opens Formal Probe into Kalshi and Polymarket, Targeting KYC and Trade Surveillance
- Congress is demanding detailed records on identity verification, anomaly detection, and insider trading controls from Kalshi and Polymarket.
- The probe increases pressure on prediction market platforms to build compliance infrastructure closer to what regulated brokers and exchanges already use.
Friday, 22/05/2026 | 13:39 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Interactive Brokers Founder Wanted to Buy Kalshi in 2021: Tarek Mansour Revealed
- Thomas Peterffy made an acquisition offer through Sequoia, but the Kalshi co-founders rejected it.
- Kalshi has recently been valued at $22 billion and also signed a partnership deal with IBKR.
Friday, 22/05/2026 | 05:10 GMT by
Arnab Shome
Kalish vs. Kalshi: The Fight Over Who Really Wins in Prediction Markets
- DraftKings co-founder Matt Kalish accused Kalshi of routing retail order flow toward professional market makers through an exchange structure that favors institutional liquidity providers.
- The dispute has intensified broader questions around slippage, market-maker concentration, and whether prediction markets function more like financial exchanges or sportsbooks.
Tuesday, 19/05/2026 | 17:01 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Prediction Market Giants Defy India Ban in High-Stakes Global Expansion Play
- Kalshi and Polymarket continue operating in India despite a federal ban and explicit warnings from the country’s technology ministry.
- The situation highlights a growing gap between U.S. regulatory legitimacy and legal acceptance in overseas markets such as India and Brazil.
Monday, 18/05/2026 | 14:23 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: Interactive Brokers Starts “Trading the Future” as SEC Stalls ETF Plans
- Polymarket’s trading activity declined for the first time in eight months as the platform rolled out a major infrastructure overhaul.
- Regulators are still divided on whether prediction markets should be treated as financial derivatives or gambling products, even as institutional adoption accelerates.
Friday, 15/05/2026 | 14:12 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: Kalshi Raises $1B as Regulatory Tensions Escalate
- Flutter confirmed it is already generating revenue from prediction markets through market-making and liquidity provision rather than retail exchange operations.
- The CFTC’s latest review process exposed a growing divide between firms treating event contracts as financial derivatives and critics who see them as gambling products.
Friday, 08/05/2026 | 11:41 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi Surges to $22 Billion as Wall Street Scoops Up Crypto Talent
- Crypto-native firms reportedly face a weaker job market, with postings down about 25% and ongoing layoffs.
- Kalshi reportedly represents over 90% of U.S. prediction market activity and holds a majority share globally.
Thursday, 07/05/2026 | 18:43 GMT by
Jared Kirui
Kalshi’s Legal Argument Tested as Courts Probe ‘Swap’ Classification
- Massachusetts justices questioned whether federal derivatives law can override state gambling rules in Kalshi’s case.
- The outcome could determine whether prediction markets operate under federal oversight or face state-by-state regulation.
Tuesday, 05/05/2026 | 10:06 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
CFTC Reviews Reporting Rules as Prediction Markets Enter Commodities
- Kalshi limits trading hours on agricultural contracts as the CFTC reviews reporting requirements.
- Prediction platforms entering commodities face the same transparency rules as traditional exchanges.
Friday, 01/05/2026 | 22:30 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: Insider Case Triggers Push to Ban Core Trading
- Lawmakers are targeting sports contracts as this segment drives most of the market’s volume.
- As Congress tightens its stance, platforms face pressure on both core products and enforcement credibility.
Friday, 01/05/2026 | 12:14 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
The US Prediction-Markets Fight Just Split Into Two Opposite Lawsuits. Plus500 Sits In The Middle
- U.S. regulators are split on prediction markets, treating the same product as either derivatives or gambling, and pushing the issue into courts.
- Plus500 has positioned itself as a broker and infrastructure provider across both models, gaining exposure to the sector’s growth.
Thursday, 30/04/2026 | 15:43 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Are We All Pigeons? The Hidden Psychology Behind Prediction Markets
- Gambling and prediction markets rely on simple, repetitive interactions that trigger dopamine responses.
- When the probability of an outcome is uncertain, the brain releases significantly more dopamine.
Wednesday, 29/04/2026 | 08:44 GMT by
Sylwester Majewski
!"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|} !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}