Kalshi
CFTC Tells Prediction Markets: If It's a Derivative, Don't Make It Look Like a Bet
- The CFTC told regulated event-contract firms not to use American-style bookmaker odds when listing, soliciting or advertising derivatives.
- The warning shows that the legal fight over prediction markets is now shaping how firms display prices and market contracts to customers.
Friday, 07/08/2026 | 20:01 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
75% of Kalshi Users Never Trade, but Platform Still Intends to Capitalise on That
- Kalshi launched a Public Companies Hub this week, bundling earnings-related prediction markets with company data across its web, mobile and API products.
- Intercontinental Exchange and Tradeweb have separately started distributing Polymarket and Kalshi data to institutional clients.
Wednesday, 05/08/2026 | 18:58 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi Adds Second Compliance Platform for Employee Trade Monitoring
- Kalshi has added Comply as its second major enterprise compliance integration, bringing prediction-market trade data into employee monitoring workflows.
- Comply’s platform will cover Kalshi contracts alongside securities and digital assets, the integration also extends to perpetual futures.
Tuesday, 04/08/2026 | 18:51 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi Extends Trade Surveillance to Brokerage Arm Kinetic Markets
- Kalshi has extended Solidus Labs’ trade surveillance from KalshiEx to Kinetic Markets, moving external monitoring into its affiliated FCM layer.
- The expansion comes as Kalshi cites higher institutional interest and more than $31 billion in monthly trading volume.
Monday, 03/08/2026 | 20:04 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: Brokers Double Down as States Challenge the CFTC
- Novig became the first prediction market platform to sponsor an individual MLB franchise this week, extending team-level deals beyond the hockey and combat-sports partnerships.
- The announcement landed alongside IG Group's $1.3 billion acquisition of Underdog and a letter from 44 state attorneys general asking the CFTC to withdraw its sports-contract rule.
Friday, 31/07/2026 | 19:29 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Market Makers Can Access Kalshi Through Existing Talos Trading Workflows
- Market makers and hedge funds using Talos can now trade Kalshi's prediction markets and US-regulated crypto perpetuals without building a separate connection.
- The rollout also gives firms access to algorithmic execution, RFQ block trading and multi-leg strategies, with broker distribution planned for later this year.
Wednesday, 22/07/2026 | 14:05 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi Moves Ahead with First Expansion Beyond Crypto Perpetual Futures
- Kalshi has filed its first CFTC application to launch perpetual futures tied to gold, silver and platinum, extending its US-regulated perpetuals strategy beyond cryptocurrencies.
- The filing follows Reuters’ earlier report of broader expansion plans and comes as CME continues challenging crypto perpetuals while extending trading hours for traditional futures.
Tuesday, 21/07/2026 | 20:46 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the prediction markets: Malta Drafts Rules as Blockchain.com and Jump Trading Expand Their Reach
- Malta is developing the EU’s first dedicated regulatory framework for prediction markets, proposing a licensing regime outside both financial services and gambling law.
- Blockchain.com and Jump Trading expanded their commitment to prediction markets this week through distribution and trading infrastructure.
Friday, 17/07/2026 | 19:45 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi Extends Its Exchange Model to GPU Pricing
- Kalshi has introduced GPU forward curves for Nvidia B200, H200 and A100 chips, expanding its exchange infrastructure into AI compute.
- The benchmarks are intended to support OTC pricing and risk management, showing how exchange infrastructure can be applied beyond traditional prediction markets.
Tuesday, 14/07/2026 | 18:38 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi Launches Pro Terminal as It Moves Deeper Into Professional Derivatives Trading
- Kalshi Pro adds advanced charting, deeper order-book data and multi-leg order management for active and institutional traders.
- The terminal expands Kalshi’s professional offering alongside regulated crypto perpetuals and Clear Street’s clearing access for hedge funds.
Monday, 13/07/2026 | 13:17 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: Kalshi Expands Perpetuals as World Cup Trading Hits New Highs
- Kalshi is exploring perpetual futures on metals, foreign exchange, and energy after processing $16.1 billion in volume since May.
- A single World Cup match generated about $460 million in prediction market trading, highlighting the growing role of live sports in platform activity.
Friday, 10/07/2026 | 19:05 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: Europe Closes Ranks as Wall Street Builds New Products
- European regulators stepped up scrutiny of prediction markets.
- DraftKings completed its in-house exchange, while Cboe proposed bringing prediction-style contracts into the U.S. securities market.
Friday, 03/07/2026 | 16:40 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Prediction Markets Top $50B Monthly Volume. Will It Last Beyond the World Cup?
- Prediction markets topped $50 billion in monthly volume for the first time, with June activity up 75% from May.
- The World Cup drove much of the surge, so the real test is whether trading activity stays elevated after the tournament ends.
Thursday, 02/07/2026 | 16:15 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Owning the Exchange Is Becoming the New Competitive Advantage in Prediction Markets
- DraftKings, Robinhood and Coinbase are moving prediction-market infrastructure in-house.
- According to Bernstein, platforms are treating exchange infrastructure as a strategic asset.
Tuesday, 30/06/2026 | 17:02 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Tradeweb Integrates Kalshi Data Into Institutional Trading Workflows
- Tradeweb has launched the first data-focused phase of its Kalshi partnership, bringing real-time event probabilities into institutional trading workflows.
- The rollout comes as Kalshi expands its institutional push, from compliance integrations to reported funding talks at a $40 billion valuation.
Friday, 26/06/2026 | 16:30 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside Prediction Markets: Lawsuits Mount as New Products and Partnerships Keep Coming
- Kalshi is reportedly seeking a $40 billion valuation, underscoring how quickly investor appetite for prediction markets continues to grow.
- Official sports data, securities-market distribution, and federal rulemaking all emerged as competitive battlegrounds this week.
Friday, 26/06/2026 | 11:18 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi in Talks to Raise at $40 Billion, Nearly Double Its May Valuation
- The prediction market operator could close a new round as soon as the third quarter, according to the Financial Times.
- Investor appetite is climbing even as state lawsuits and a CME Group challenge weigh on the company's regulatory standing.
Thursday, 25/06/2026 | 06:17 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
Inside the Prediction Markets: Kalshi Hits $100B as Questions Keep Piling Up
- A $345 million Iran market has become the latest example of how difficult prediction markets can be to settle when outcomes depend on interpretation rather than clearly verifiable events.
- A coalition of 56 organisations is urging Congress to curb event contracts, even as Canada prepares to bring prediction markets into regulated financial infrastructure.
Friday, 19/06/2026 | 16:21 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi Integrates with StarCompliance to Bring Institutional Traders Inside the Compliance Perimeter
- Kalshi’s StarCompliance integration lets financial firms monitor employee trading in prediction markets through existing compliance systems.
- The deal addresses a key institutional barrier for event contracts: visibility into employee accounts, audit trails, and potential MNPI risks.
Thursday, 18/06/2026 | 16:00 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi Hits $5.5B in Crypto Perps, Expanding Beyond Prediction Markets
- Kalshi’s new crypto perpetual futures generated more than $5.5 billion in trading volume in their first two weeks.
- The launch gives Kalshi a way to expand beyond event contracts and compete for volume in a much larger derivatives market.
Thursday, 18/06/2026 | 15:01 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Trading Technologies Adds Kalshi Connectivity as Prediction Markets Court Institutions
- The platform provider says trading on Kalshi will go live in Q3, with execution and algorithmic tools matching those it offers in other asset classes.
- Trading Technologies framed Kalshi as the first of several regulated prediction markets it intends to connect.
Wednesday, 17/06/2026 | 06:51 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
World Cup Pushes Kalshi Past $100 Billion as Daily Volumes Cross $1 Billion
- Kalshi’s record weekend highlights how quickly sports-led trading can scale, even as US legal uncertainty remains unresolved.
- Sports contracts drove the latest volume surge on both Kalshi and Polymarket, adding a major new source of liquidity beyond the political events.
Tuesday, 16/06/2026 | 16:30 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
The CFTC’s New Rulebook Doesn’t Reach a $34 Billion Offshore Prediction Market
- The CFTC’s new prediction market framework sets rules for regulated platforms such as Kalshi, but does not address offshore venues.
- A new study estimates that up to $34 billion in annual prediction market volume comes from U.S. users trading on offshore platforms.
Friday, 12/06/2026 | 11:23 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi Moves to Screen Potential Insiders Before Trades Are Placed
- Kalshi will require employment disclosures for traders participating in certain high-risk prediction markets.
- The move comes as prediction markets face growing scrutiny over insider trading and market surveillance practices.
Wednesday, 10/06/2026 | 15:00 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
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