October 2024 saw significant dollar strength and euro weakness, yet institutional forex trading volumes declined.
Despite increased market volatility due to upcoming US elections, trading activity hit multi-month lows.
Why the USD price is going down?
October was
one of the strongest months for the dollar (and weakest for the euro) in over a
year. Despite above-average volatility driven by the upcoming U.S. elections
and interest rate expectations, spot foreign exchange (Forex) volumes showed no
increased activity from institutional investors. In some cases, trading volumes
fell to nearly five-month lows.
Dollar-Dominated October
Failed to Boost FX Volumes
The
steepest month-over-month declines were seen in trading on the popular USD/JPY
pair, where depreciation reached 29.5%, with trading volume shrinking to
545,900 contracts.
ADV
depreciation was also visible in the U.S. market and spot currency trading on
the Cboe exchange. The indicator reached $42.8 billion, compared to $46.87
billion in September. However, October had two more trading days (23 vs. 21).
As a result, total volume was slightly higher at $984.9 billion, though these
are the lowest values since June, well below August's near-record $1.1 trillion.
For
FXSpotStream, October brought a notable slowdown. Total ADV was $93.1 billion,
the lowest since May 2024, with spot ADV at $66.8 billion, also the lowest in
nearly six months.
As for
Euronext FX's Fastmatch, there was a slight rebound after a very weak
September. Total volumes bounced to $602 billion after falling to $579 billion
in the previous month. However, more trading days meant ADV performed worse,
sliding from $28 billion to $26.5 billion.
Compared to
last year's results, the values are significantly better. Euronext FX reported a total volume of just under $508 billion in October 2023, while 360T reported
$586 billion.
The EUR/USD
currency pair declined by 2.3% in October, marking its most significant drop
since September 2023. Concurrently, the U.S. dollar rebounded from multi-month
lows, experiencing one of its strongest rallies against a weighted basket of
currencies since September 2022.
October was
one of the strongest months for the dollar (and weakest for the euro) in over a
year. Despite above-average volatility driven by the upcoming U.S. elections
and interest rate expectations, spot foreign exchange (Forex) volumes showed no
increased activity from institutional investors. In some cases, trading volumes
fell to nearly five-month lows.
Dollar-Dominated October
Failed to Boost FX Volumes
The
steepest month-over-month declines were seen in trading on the popular USD/JPY
pair, where depreciation reached 29.5%, with trading volume shrinking to
545,900 contracts.
ADV
depreciation was also visible in the U.S. market and spot currency trading on
the Cboe exchange. The indicator reached $42.8 billion, compared to $46.87
billion in September. However, October had two more trading days (23 vs. 21).
As a result, total volume was slightly higher at $984.9 billion, though these
are the lowest values since June, well below August's near-record $1.1 trillion.
For
FXSpotStream, October brought a notable slowdown. Total ADV was $93.1 billion,
the lowest since May 2024, with spot ADV at $66.8 billion, also the lowest in
nearly six months.
As for
Euronext FX's Fastmatch, there was a slight rebound after a very weak
September. Total volumes bounced to $602 billion after falling to $579 billion
in the previous month. However, more trading days meant ADV performed worse,
sliding from $28 billion to $26.5 billion.
Compared to
last year's results, the values are significantly better. Euronext FX reported a total volume of just under $508 billion in October 2023, while 360T reported
$586 billion.
The EUR/USD
currency pair declined by 2.3% in October, marking its most significant drop
since September 2023. Concurrently, the U.S. dollar rebounded from multi-month
lows, experiencing one of its strongest rallies against a weighted basket of
currencies since September 2022.
Damian Chmiel is a Senior Analyst & Editor at Finance Magnates with more than 15 years of experience in the CFD and online trading industry. Active as both a trader and journalist since 2010, he focuses on broker coverage, fintech innovation, and regulatory developments across Europe, the Middle East, and Asia.
His work includes interviews with C-level leaders at major brokerages and fintech platforms, as well as co-authoring Finance Magnates’ quarterly industry benchmarking reports. Damian’s reporting is data-driven, market-aware, and grounded in direct industry engagement. His analysis and commentary have also been cited by external media outlets, including Investing.com, Binance, The Asset, Stockhead, and Dispatch.
Education:
MA in Finance and Accounting, Cracow University of Economics
TP ICAP Q1 Revenue Rises 13% to Record £689 Million as Broking and Commodities Lead
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