The Bitcoin bullish spike liquidated over $40 million in Okex.
Also, a BTC technical trend ahead of the Fed monetary policy is presented.
Bitcoin has been trading sideways ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) FOMC statement. The FOMC projections are also expected to be released following the rate statement.
This is the first anticipated rate hike from the Fed since 2018. The market initially expected +0.50% (50bps) hike in today's monetary policy meeting.
Due to the war in Europe between Russia and Ukraine, the expectations were reduced to a mere 25bps. Inflation is pressuring the Fed to raise rates.
The sharp rise in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is forcing the Fed to act in an effort to curb inflation. Based on historic monetary policy meetings, cryptocurrencies tend to react to a shift in monetary policies.
Bitcoin is at the center of attention in the upcoming Fed monetary policy meeting. The correlation between BTCUSD and the S&P 500 was 0.01 between 2017 and 2019.
In 2020, 2021 the SP500, BTC correlation increased to 0.36. If the correlation is 1, it means Bitcoin and the US index are perfectly aligned with each other.
At the time of this writing there is a 96.3% chance for a rate hike of at least 25bps in today's Federal Reserve meeting. As it is fully priced-in. the rate hike itself may not be the reason for a significant reaction but the accompanying rate statement and projections.
In the press conference, Fed Jerome Powell is likely to be asked whether the conflict between Russia and Ukraine (including the sanctions) will affect future monetary policies.
Although the current expectations are for multiple rate hikes in 2022, the risk aversion stemming from Russia may alter the outlook. While it may not necessarily be mentioned in today's meeting, I would expect the Fed to cool the market's expectations for rapid rate hikes.
If Powell tries to cool the pace of future interest rate hikes today, it may reflect at the pricing-in for 4 May meeting. At the time of this writing, the odds for a rate hike of 50 to 75bps in May is 47.6%, a 75 to 100bps interest rate hike in May's meeting is 50.5%.
Bitcoin is likely to react in accordance to the outcome of the meeting.
Is It Time to Buy or Sell Bitcoin?
Earlier today a bullish spike took place in Bitcoin, sending the price from 39,000 to 41,600 (approx.). The market quickly pared the gains, sending the price back towards 39,000.
BTCUSD 15min Chart
Simar price movements are common in the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market. Stop hunting is among the reasons for this phenomena. It is challenging to determine whether stop hunting was the cause for the spike in Bitcoin.
Due to the short-lived spike, short BTC positions were liquidated. Out of the $47.3 million that was liquidated, $38.82 shorts evaporated on Okex.
Based on my experience with cryptos, traders that were holding long positions were caught in the spike. Other traders that anticipated a breakout via intraday time frames joined the 'rally' and were later liquidated as the price corrected lower.
After assessing Bitcoin (BTCUSD) the price is contained in a range.
BTCUSD 4hr Chart
The recent gains that are taking place in Bitcoin are often seen following a significant retracement. In this case, it is the shadow of the bullish spike that took place earlier today. However, it offers little indication as to where Bitcoin may be heading.
On shorter time frames BTCUSD is facing some resistance, which may drive the price lower prior to the Fed monetary policy meeting. Based solely on technical analysis, a whipsaw reaction may take place where $38,700 may be reached.
Breaking above $41,600 may extend BTC gains towards $45,000.
Bitcoin has been trading sideways ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) FOMC statement. The FOMC projections are also expected to be released following the rate statement.
This is the first anticipated rate hike from the Fed since 2018. The market initially expected +0.50% (50bps) hike in today's monetary policy meeting.
Due to the war in Europe between Russia and Ukraine, the expectations were reduced to a mere 25bps. Inflation is pressuring the Fed to raise rates.
The sharp rise in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is forcing the Fed to act in an effort to curb inflation. Based on historic monetary policy meetings, cryptocurrencies tend to react to a shift in monetary policies.
Bitcoin is at the center of attention in the upcoming Fed monetary policy meeting. The correlation between BTCUSD and the S&P 500 was 0.01 between 2017 and 2019.
In 2020, 2021 the SP500, BTC correlation increased to 0.36. If the correlation is 1, it means Bitcoin and the US index are perfectly aligned with each other.
At the time of this writing there is a 96.3% chance for a rate hike of at least 25bps in today's Federal Reserve meeting. As it is fully priced-in. the rate hike itself may not be the reason for a significant reaction but the accompanying rate statement and projections.
In the press conference, Fed Jerome Powell is likely to be asked whether the conflict between Russia and Ukraine (including the sanctions) will affect future monetary policies.
Although the current expectations are for multiple rate hikes in 2022, the risk aversion stemming from Russia may alter the outlook. While it may not necessarily be mentioned in today's meeting, I would expect the Fed to cool the market's expectations for rapid rate hikes.
If Powell tries to cool the pace of future interest rate hikes today, it may reflect at the pricing-in for 4 May meeting. At the time of this writing, the odds for a rate hike of 50 to 75bps in May is 47.6%, a 75 to 100bps interest rate hike in May's meeting is 50.5%.
Bitcoin is likely to react in accordance to the outcome of the meeting.
Is It Time to Buy or Sell Bitcoin?
Earlier today a bullish spike took place in Bitcoin, sending the price from 39,000 to 41,600 (approx.). The market quickly pared the gains, sending the price back towards 39,000.
BTCUSD 15min Chart
Simar price movements are common in the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market. Stop hunting is among the reasons for this phenomena. It is challenging to determine whether stop hunting was the cause for the spike in Bitcoin.
Due to the short-lived spike, short BTC positions were liquidated. Out of the $47.3 million that was liquidated, $38.82 shorts evaporated on Okex.
Based on my experience with cryptos, traders that were holding long positions were caught in the spike. Other traders that anticipated a breakout via intraday time frames joined the 'rally' and were later liquidated as the price corrected lower.
After assessing Bitcoin (BTCUSD) the price is contained in a range.
BTCUSD 4hr Chart
The recent gains that are taking place in Bitcoin are often seen following a significant retracement. In this case, it is the shadow of the bullish spike that took place earlier today. However, it offers little indication as to where Bitcoin may be heading.
On shorter time frames BTCUSD is facing some resistance, which may drive the price lower prior to the Fed monetary policy meeting. Based solely on technical analysis, a whipsaw reaction may take place where $38,700 may be reached.
Breaking above $41,600 may extend BTC gains towards $45,000.
Ripple Pushes Back: Challenges SEC's Proposed $2 Billion Fine
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Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔