Bitcoin is back near the $82,614 breakout level, a retest Monday's analysis expected before a push toward $99,500.
Ether slipped under $2,757 again, while XRP and Dogecoin paused their flag breakouts ahead of Friday's options expiry.
Why is crypto going down today? Let's check current Bitcoin, Dogecoin, XRP and Ethereum prices
Crypto prices fell for a second day on Thursday. Bitcoin was down 2.8% over 24 hours at about $83,400 by 08:50 UTC, while XRP lost 7.2% and Dogecoin 6.6%, according to CoinGecko data.
No single headline drove the drop. It is a pullback after Monday's rally took bitcoin to its highest daily close since January, and it arrives a day before Friday's quarterly options expiry on Deribit.
My view on bitcoin has not changed. This is the retest of $82,614 that I expected, and the move toward $98,000 to $99,500 stays in play as long as that level holds on a daily closing basis.
How Low Can Bitcoin Go?
On Binance, bitcoin traded at $83,513 on my daily chart at 08:55 UTC, down 1.05% on the day. It has fallen 3.6% from Monday's close of $86,620 and sits about 1.1% above the $82,614 support.
That level was the trigger in my September 22 bitcoin analysis, where I wrote that I expected a retest of the breakout before any move toward $99,500. Wednesday's low of $83,500 and Thursday's low of $83,301 are that retest so far.
Bitcoin is retesting $82,614 after Monday's breakout. Source: TradingView and Binance
Paul Howard, senior director at Wincent, flagged this path on Tuesday. He said a break below $85,000 "could see the market retrace towards" $81,000 to $82,000, just above a zone where options traders appear to hold downside protection.
A daily close below $82,614 would weaken my scenario. The next support on my chart is $75,339, about 10% below the current price and close to the $75,416 average cost of Strategy's bitcoin holdings cited by Oliver Carding, head of marketing at Tesseract Group.
Ether is the less clear case. It broke above $2,757 on Monday, the level I pointed to in my September 19 Ethereum analysis, but it closed just under it on Tuesday and Wednesday's 2.5% drop pushed it further away.
At $2,664.6 on Bitstamp, ETH is 3.5% under that resistance and 1.8% above support at $2,616. Holding $2,616 keeps the door open to another attempt at $2,757. A daily close below it points to $2,393.
If ether reclaims $2,757 on a closing basis, my chart's one-to-one projection of the earlier rally points to $3,499, about 31% above the current price, with resistance at $3,371 and $3,454 on the way.
Ether slipped back under $2,757 after Monday's breakout. Source: TradingView and Bitstamp
Why Is XRP Falling More Than Bitcoin?
XRP ran further in the rally, so it is giving back more. It touched $1.657 on Wednesday before closing near $1.50 on Bitstamp, and it slipped below that round number on Thursday to $1.479.
XRP fell back below $1.56 after breaking out of its flag. Source: TradingView and Bitstamp
On my chart, XRP broke out of a bull flag this week and has now fallen back below $1.56, so the pattern's completion is on hold. Nothing is settled yet. Support at $1.46 is 1.3% below the price, and while it holds, the flag's measured target at $1.97, about 33% higher, remains a valid scenario.
Dogecoin is holding its 200 EMA after a failed push above $0.104. Source: TradingView and Bitstamp
DOGE is now balancing on its 200-day EMA at $0.0930, with the price at $0.0931. Support sits at $0.0884, and a return above $0.0950 would put $0.1043 and then the $0.1157 target, about 24% above the current price, back in view.
What Could Move Crypto Next?
The first test is Friday's quarterly expiry on Deribit. Carding put it at around 186,000 contracts, with the largest concentration at $70,000 on both calls and puts, and said he treats it "as a positioning and roll event rather than something that sets direction."
Jeff Anderson, head of US at STS Digital, said on Tuesday the market "feels overbought in the short run" after Strategy's latest purchases, while keeping $90,000 in view. The next dated catalysts are September CPI on October 14 and the Federal Reserve meeting on October 27 and 28.
For bitcoin, the line stays at $82,614. A daily close below it would send my chart toward $75,339, while a hold keeps the $98,068 to $99,486 zone as the base case.
Crypto prices fell for a second day on Thursday. Bitcoin was down 2.8% over 24 hours at about $83,400 by 08:50 UTC, while XRP lost 7.2% and Dogecoin 6.6%, according to CoinGecko data.
No single headline drove the drop. It is a pullback after Monday's rally took bitcoin to its highest daily close since January, and it arrives a day before Friday's quarterly options expiry on Deribit.
My view on bitcoin has not changed. This is the retest of $82,614 that I expected, and the move toward $98,000 to $99,500 stays in play as long as that level holds on a daily closing basis.
How Low Can Bitcoin Go?
On Binance, bitcoin traded at $83,513 on my daily chart at 08:55 UTC, down 1.05% on the day. It has fallen 3.6% from Monday's close of $86,620 and sits about 1.1% above the $82,614 support.
That level was the trigger in my September 22 bitcoin analysis, where I wrote that I expected a retest of the breakout before any move toward $99,500. Wednesday's low of $83,500 and Thursday's low of $83,301 are that retest so far.
Bitcoin is retesting $82,614 after Monday's breakout. Source: TradingView and Binance
Paul Howard, senior director at Wincent, flagged this path on Tuesday. He said a break below $85,000 "could see the market retrace towards" $81,000 to $82,000, just above a zone where options traders appear to hold downside protection.
A daily close below $82,614 would weaken my scenario. The next support on my chart is $75,339, about 10% below the current price and close to the $75,416 average cost of Strategy's bitcoin holdings cited by Oliver Carding, head of marketing at Tesseract Group.
Ether is the less clear case. It broke above $2,757 on Monday, the level I pointed to in my September 19 Ethereum analysis, but it closed just under it on Tuesday and Wednesday's 2.5% drop pushed it further away.
At $2,664.6 on Bitstamp, ETH is 3.5% under that resistance and 1.8% above support at $2,616. Holding $2,616 keeps the door open to another attempt at $2,757. A daily close below it points to $2,393.
If ether reclaims $2,757 on a closing basis, my chart's one-to-one projection of the earlier rally points to $3,499, about 31% above the current price, with resistance at $3,371 and $3,454 on the way.
Ether slipped back under $2,757 after Monday's breakout. Source: TradingView and Bitstamp
Why Is XRP Falling More Than Bitcoin?
XRP ran further in the rally, so it is giving back more. It touched $1.657 on Wednesday before closing near $1.50 on Bitstamp, and it slipped below that round number on Thursday to $1.479.
XRP fell back below $1.56 after breaking out of its flag. Source: TradingView and Bitstamp
On my chart, XRP broke out of a bull flag this week and has now fallen back below $1.56, so the pattern's completion is on hold. Nothing is settled yet. Support at $1.46 is 1.3% below the price, and while it holds, the flag's measured target at $1.97, about 33% higher, remains a valid scenario.
Dogecoin is holding its 200 EMA after a failed push above $0.104. Source: TradingView and Bitstamp
DOGE is now balancing on its 200-day EMA at $0.0930, with the price at $0.0931. Support sits at $0.0884, and a return above $0.0950 would put $0.1043 and then the $0.1157 target, about 24% above the current price, back in view.
What Could Move Crypto Next?
The first test is Friday's quarterly expiry on Deribit. Carding put it at around 186,000 contracts, with the largest concentration at $70,000 on both calls and puts, and said he treats it "as a positioning and roll event rather than something that sets direction."
Jeff Anderson, head of US at STS Digital, said on Tuesday the market "feels overbought in the short run" after Strategy's latest purchases, while keeping $90,000 in view. The next dated catalysts are September CPI on October 14 and the Federal Reserve meeting on October 27 and 28.
For bitcoin, the line stays at $82,614. A daily close below it would send my chart toward $75,339, while a hold keeps the $98,068 to $99,486 zone as the base case.
Damian Chmiel is a Senior Analyst & Editor at Finance Magnates with more than 15 years of experience in the CFD and online trading industry. Active as both a trader and journalist since 2010, he focuses on broker coverage, fintech innovation, and regulatory developments across Europe, the Middle East, and Asia.
His work includes interviews with C-level leaders at major brokerages and fintech platforms, as well as co-authoring Finance Magnates’ quarterly industry benchmarking reports. Damian’s reporting is data-driven, market-aware, and grounded in direct industry engagement. His analysis and commentary have also been cited by external media outlets, including Investing.com, Binance, The Asset, Stockhead, and Dispatch.
Education:
MA in Finance and Accounting, Cracow University of Economics
Why Is XRP Going Down? Token Slides to $1.32 After Rally Stalls at $1.56
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#FinanceMagnates #ForexNews #FintechNews
Today’s financial news recap covers Prop Firm Match loses more partners over affiliate tracking allegations, Capital.com secures a Singapore licence, and GMO executives face pay cuts after a major security breach.
Finance Magnates Daily Recap brings you the latest news from forex and CFD brokers, fintech, payments, cryptocurrency, digital assets, trading platforms, financial regulation and global markets.
Get the key company news, executive moves, deals, regulatory updates and market developments of the day, in just a few minutes. New episodes published every weekday.
Read more: https://www.financemagnates.com
#FinanceMagnates #ForexNews #FintechNews
Binance Hacked for $6.3B; "An FTMO Ticker Sounds Really Cool"
Binance Hacked for $6.3B; "An FTMO Ticker Sounds Really Cool"
Binance Hacked for $6.3B; "An FTMO Ticker Sounds Really Cool"
Binance Hacked for $6.3B; "An FTMO Ticker Sounds Really Cool"
Binance Hacked for $6.3B; "An FTMO Ticker Sounds Really Cool"
Binance Hacked for $6.3B; "An FTMO Ticker Sounds Really Cool"
Today’s financial news recap covers Binance confirms a breach it puts at six point three billion dollars, India names Binance and Bybit in a crypto remittance probe. And FTMO's founders discuss regulations and where the company is heading.
Finance Magnates Daily Recap brings you the latest news from forex and CFD brokers, fintech, payments, cryptocurrency, digital assets, trading platforms, financial regulation and global markets.
Get the key company news, executive moves, deals, regulatory updates and market developments of the day, in just a few minutes. New episodes published every weekday.
Read more: https://www.financemagnates.com
#FinanceMagnates #ForexNews #FintechNews
Today’s financial news recap covers Binance confirms a breach it puts at six point three billion dollars, India names Binance and Bybit in a crypto remittance probe. And FTMO's founders discuss regulations and where the company is heading.
Finance Magnates Daily Recap brings you the latest news from forex and CFD brokers, fintech, payments, cryptocurrency, digital assets, trading platforms, financial regulation and global markets.
Get the key company news, executive moves, deals, regulatory updates and market developments of the day, in just a few minutes. New episodes published every weekday.
Read more: https://www.financemagnates.com
#FinanceMagnates #ForexNews #FintechNews
Today’s financial news recap covers Binance confirms a breach it puts at six point three billion dollars, India names Binance and Bybit in a crypto remittance probe. And FTMO's founders discuss regulations and where the company is heading.
Finance Magnates Daily Recap brings you the latest news from forex and CFD brokers, fintech, payments, cryptocurrency, digital assets, trading platforms, financial regulation and global markets.
Get the key company news, executive moves, deals, regulatory updates and market developments of the day, in just a few minutes. New episodes published every weekday.
Read more: https://www.financemagnates.com
#FinanceMagnates #ForexNews #FintechNews
Today’s financial news recap covers Binance confirms a breach it puts at six point three billion dollars, India names Binance and Bybit in a crypto remittance probe. And FTMO's founders discuss regulations and where the company is heading.
Finance Magnates Daily Recap brings you the latest news from forex and CFD brokers, fintech, payments, cryptocurrency, digital assets, trading platforms, financial regulation and global markets.
Get the key company news, executive moves, deals, regulatory updates and market developments of the day, in just a few minutes. New episodes published every weekday.
Read more: https://www.financemagnates.com
#FinanceMagnates #ForexNews #FintechNews
Today’s financial news recap covers Binance confirms a breach it puts at six point three billion dollars, India names Binance and Bybit in a crypto remittance probe. And FTMO's founders discuss regulations and where the company is heading.
Finance Magnates Daily Recap brings you the latest news from forex and CFD brokers, fintech, payments, cryptocurrency, digital assets, trading platforms, financial regulation and global markets.
Get the key company news, executive moves, deals, regulatory updates and market developments of the day, in just a few minutes. New episodes published every weekday.
Read more: https://www.financemagnates.com
#FinanceMagnates #ForexNews #FintechNews
Today’s financial news recap covers Binance confirms a breach it puts at six point three billion dollars, India names Binance and Bybit in a crypto remittance probe. And FTMO's founders discuss regulations and where the company is heading.
Finance Magnates Daily Recap brings you the latest news from forex and CFD brokers, fintech, payments, cryptocurrency, digital assets, trading platforms, financial regulation and global markets.
Get the key company news, executive moves, deals, regulatory updates and market developments of the day, in just a few minutes. New episodes published every weekday.
Read more: https://www.financemagnates.com
#FinanceMagnates #ForexNews #FintechNews
