prediction markets
Vitalik Buterin Changes Stance on Prediction Markets, Warns of ‘Cursed’ Slide into ‘Corposlop’
- Buterin warns prediction markets risk sliding into “corposlop” unless they pivot away from sports and crypto betting.
- The Ethereum co-founder says the industry must choose: short-term volume or long-term hedging utility.
Monday, 16/02/2026 | 10:41 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: Working Their Way Into Wall Street and Beyond
- Weekly digest of prediction markets: the key moves reshaping the industry.
- This week, retail brokers, Wall Street firms, sports leagues, and exchanges all moved deeper into event contracts.
Friday, 13/02/2026 | 13:38 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
How Prediction Markets Use Federal Oversight to Capture Super Bowl Betting Growth
- Prediction markets are capturing the majority of Super Bowl betting growth by operating under federal commodities regulation.
- The shift highlights how regulatory positioning can reshape competition faster than product or pricing changes.
Tuesday, 10/02/2026 | 09:40 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Report: Interactive Brokers’ Peterffy May Be Exploring Prediction-Markets Startup
- According to Business Insider, Lumina Markets appears closely linked to Interactive Brokers’ Chairman, Thomas Peterffy, citing shared legal and staffing ties.
- Industry estimates suggest trading volumes on prediction market platforms rose from roughly US$9 billion in 2024 to around US$40 billion in 2025.
Thursday, 05/02/2026 | 17:39 GMT by
Adonis Adoni
“Traders Are Using Prediction Markets the Way They Use Other Markets,” Stand Founder Says After Kalshi Launch
- Edward Ridgely highlights growing systematic strategies and cross-venue trading in prediction markets.
- The so-called “pro-tail traders” push prediction market infrastructure toward execution tools resembling traditional trading screens.
Wednesday, 04/02/2026 | 14:00 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
Why Brokers and Exchanges Are Racing Into Prediction Markets – and What Comes Next
- Brokers add prediction markets to boost revenue, betting on U.S. derivatives regulation.
- Prediction markets go mainstream, but hinge on a fragile line between trading and gambling.
Wednesday, 04/02/2026 | 13:49 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Crypto.com Spins Out Standalone Prediction Markets Platform After 40x Growth Surge
- Crypto exchanges are pushing deeper into TradFi after adding CFDs and tokenized stocks in 2025, with prediction markets becoming their latest target.
- Crypto.com's OG launch follows similar moves by Coinbase and Backpack, which bundle multiple products to compete with legacy brokers.
Wednesday, 04/02/2026 | 08:24 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
The Wallet Is the New Battleground for Prediction Markets, Bitget Wallet Report Argues
- As prediction markets scale, competition is shifting from listing and liquidity toward control of the user interface.
- Wallets may become the main access point to fragmented prediction platforms, turning distribution and UX into the next strategic battleground for brokers and fintech builders.
Thursday, 29/01/2026 | 11:53 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Prediction Markets Scale Up as Volumes Surge, But Regulation and Liquidity Remain Key Constraints
- The Financial Times warns that insider risk and thin liquidity in prediction markets remain unresolved, even as volumes climb past $13 billion a month.
- For brokers and fintech firms, prediction markets are evolving from betting venues into event-driven trading tools that may be integrated into regulated products.
Monday, 26/01/2026 | 12:30 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi CEO: Prediction Markets Could Spawn New Job Category Like Instagram Creators and Uber Drivers
- Tarek Mansour compares professional prediction market traders to content creators and gig economy workers.
- The platform sees trading volumes hit $100 billion annually as sharps earn millions betting on events.
Monday, 26/01/2026 | 08:26 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
Prediction Markets Hit $2.7M Fee Record While Kalshi Faces Court Ban
- The Massachusetts court ruling threatens platform's sports contracts while sector posts all-time revenue high.
- Opinion and Polymarket drive surge as volumes climb across major platforms.
Wednesday, 21/01/2026 | 07:54 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
From Experiment to Core Feature: Prediction Markets Move Toward B2B Infrastructure
- The Plaee–Crypto.com partnership highlights a shift toward turnkey, regulated infrastructure that allows third parties to easily launch prediction markets.
- Liquidity, CRM, and regulatory coverage are becoming the key differentiators, pushing prediction markets toward a model dominated by a small number of infrastructure providers.
Tuesday, 20/01/2026 | 09:00 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Backpack Beta Lets Retail Traders Manage All Crypto Predictions in One Account
- Coinbase and MetaMask also expanding into prediction markets through partnerships with Kalshi and Polymarket.
- Prediction markets face regulatory scrutiny; Polymarket blocked in Ukraine.
Wednesday, 14/01/2026 | 13:08 GMT by
Tareq Sikder
Wall Street Quants Move Into Prediction Markets to Hunt for Arbitrage, Not to Bet
- Rapid growth and fragmented pricing have turned prediction markets into fertile ground for arbitrage strategies used in equities and derivatives.
- As market makers and quant funds move in, prediction markets are starting to develop the liquidity and structure of early-stage financial markets.
Wednesday, 14/01/2026 | 12:10 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Prediction Markets Hit Record $702 Million Daily Volume Amid Regulatory Pressure
- Trading on platforms like Kalshi surged to unprecedented levels despite local US regulators continuing their crackdown efforts.
- Multiple states have issued cease-and-desist orders while federal courts temporarily block enforcement in some jurisdictions.
Wednesday, 14/01/2026 | 07:07 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com Prediction Markets Kicked Out of Another State Over Sports Betting
- Tennessee regulators issued cease-and-desist orders to three major platforms in the event-based contracts realm.
- Until the end of January, the companies should shut down operations, return customer funds, and cancel all open positions.
Monday, 12/01/2026 | 07:01 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
“It’s All the Questions About Our Future”: IBKR Founder Notes 49.5% Make Money in Prediction Markets
- Thomas Peterffy said, “options can go to zero too,” arguing prediction markets are not just betting tools.
- Regulation is needed to prevent manipulation and prohibit war or military-related questions.
Friday, 09/01/2026 | 16:40 GMT by
Tareq Sikder
Kalshi CEO Draws Battle Lines Over Insider Trading, Highlighting Deep Industry Divide
- The Polymarket insider trading controversy has exposed a sharp divide between regulated prediction markets and offshore platforms.
- As scrutiny grows, competition in prediction markets is shifting away from product features toward regulation, governance, and institutional credibility.
Thursday, 08/01/2026 | 11:31 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Google Opens the Ad Door to Prediction Markets and Keeps It Shut on Binary Options
- Google’s ad policy now ties market visibility directly to federal regulation, giving licensed prediction markets a distribution advantage.
- Binary options remain fully excluded from Google ads due to consumer-protection concerns.
Tuesday, 06/01/2026 | 14:54 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
70% of Prediction Market Traders Are Capital Donors, Matching CFD Losses
- The new blockchain data shows prediction market traders face the same dismal odds as retail CFD investors.
- Analysis of 1.7M Polymarket addresses reveals a familiar pattern where casual participants subsidize sophisticated players.
Tuesday, 30/12/2025 | 08:17 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
Crypto.com's Plan to Trade Against Users Puts "No House" Model Under Scrutiny
- By trading on its own prediction market, Crypto.com blurs the line between a neutral venue and a profit-seeking counterparty.
- Rival platforms are also building internal trading desks, suggesting that profit-seeking market making is becoming an industry-wide model.
Friday, 26/12/2025 | 11:21 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Ethereum’s Vitalik Buterin Defends Prediction Markets, Calling Them ‘Healthier’ Than Stocks
- Buterin says prediction markets do not introduce new categories of harm, because similar manipulation risks already operate in equity markets.
- He also argues that bounded pricing and financial accountability can make prediction markets a cleaner signal of uncertainty than social media.
Thursday, 25/12/2025 | 10:07 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Why Prediction Markets Could Kill Retail Trading Apps' Golden Goose? “A Churned User Is Worth Zero”
- The market has been gripped by a betting mania, covering everything from Bitcoin’s price to UFO landings in the United States
- Event-based contracts are being broadly added not only by crypto exchanges but also by CFD brokers, including Plus500.
- According to the Inversion Capital CEO, this could prove to be a long-term case of shooting themselves in the foot. And a very painful one/
Monday, 22/12/2025 | 10:52 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
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