1. The Return of Market Volatility - Market volatility has been at historically low levels for most of 2014. At first glance this seems strange given the recent geopolitical concerns in Ukraine and the Middle East, however this has largely failed to rekindle forex volatility, which in turn has helped handicap revenues and trading volumes for many leading brokers.
This lack of market volatility will not remain forever and a snap in this lull could lead to a ‘slingshot effect, whereby brokers’ revenues could potentially swell upwards of 30%. With the right conditions in place for a shakeup this fall, the market is likely to witness a return to normalcy in forex markets.
2. Retail Forex Metrics – Brokers’ monthly retail forex metrics have definitely improved since the start of the 2014 calendar year, which were among some of the weakest in recent memory. After H1 2014, many brokers saw retail trading volumes on the uptick, though these figures still pale in comparison to 2013 equivalents. Alternatively, Japanese brokers in particular have been unable to notch significant improvement with retail forex metrics as volatility has prevented any reversal to these trends.
According to Toshihiko Katsuya, President at Monex FX, in an interview with Forex Magnates, “In 2014, from January – June, the USD/JPY volume share has risen to 66%, the EUR/JPY is at 12%, and the EUR/USD is still at 4%. So, unless the USD/JPY volatility goes up, we will not readily see staunch rises in traded volumes in Japan.”
3. Executive Shakeups – The summer months are typically a time for vacations and low personnel turnover, however this year has been a notable exception. From both the institutional and retail side, several brokers, banks, and groups have been particularly active, both on the hiring and firing fronts. Several companies are looking to reverse low revenues and volatilities in their forex business, leading to rampant restructuring, personnel moves, etc. – public companies face an even greater challenge, namely as they have to answer to investors.
Furthermore, “Another thing we are seeing is that companies are starting to look at IB and partnership numbers and making changes to the commercial structure of the relationships. These changes may not be the best for the long-term relationship, but can help in the short-term by reducing the overall fees paid by the firms. It is also worth mentioning the fact that IBs have had a feeding frenzy in recent years with the explosive growth in the number of brokers. Deals that were written for IBs over the last couple years may not make financial sense anymore,” Wilkins added.
In particular, several CEOs and executives are firmly on the hot seat to help allay sour monthly metrics and performance. In particular, Standard Chartered’s Peter Sand has been under pressure for months as the bank’s forex profits have dwindled considerably, though he is hardly the only one as everyone is curious as to when volatilities and ultimately greater profitability will return.
4. Equity Performance – The fall months have traditionally been a period of growth for the US Stock Markets, notably on the heels of nascent summer volatilities. According to Forex Magnates' researchers, the S&P has risen on average 6.52% from Labor Day (September 1) until December 31 from 2011-13.
This fall will also be crucial as lingering questions over central banking actions will also be clarified or decided, with critical decisions expected from the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. While these decisions are expected to affect equity markets, the potential departure from Quantitative Easing (QE) from the Fed in particular, could really help influence foreign exchange pairs with the USD.
Finally, several notable FX companies have had uneven performances this year, with companies like FXCM (NYSE:FXCM) fighting low volumes and revenues and setting new annual highs. Alternatively, other companies like Interactive Brokers (NASDAQ:IBKR) and GAIN Capital (NYSE:GCAP) have faced lackluster years with critical earnings calls coming up towards the end of October.
1. The Return of Market Volatility - Market volatility has been at historically low levels for most of 2014. At first glance this seems strange given the recent geopolitical concerns in Ukraine and the Middle East, however this has largely failed to rekindle forex volatility, which in turn has helped handicap revenues and trading volumes for many leading brokers.
This lack of market volatility will not remain forever and a snap in this lull could lead to a ‘slingshot effect, whereby brokers’ revenues could potentially swell upwards of 30%. With the right conditions in place for a shakeup this fall, the market is likely to witness a return to normalcy in forex markets.
2. Retail Forex Metrics – Brokers’ monthly retail forex metrics have definitely improved since the start of the 2014 calendar year, which were among some of the weakest in recent memory. After H1 2014, many brokers saw retail trading volumes on the uptick, though these figures still pale in comparison to 2013 equivalents. Alternatively, Japanese brokers in particular have been unable to notch significant improvement with retail forex metrics as volatility has prevented any reversal to these trends.
According to Toshihiko Katsuya, President at Monex FX, in an interview with Forex Magnates, “In 2014, from January – June, the USD/JPY volume share has risen to 66%, the EUR/JPY is at 12%, and the EUR/USD is still at 4%. So, unless the USD/JPY volatility goes up, we will not readily see staunch rises in traded volumes in Japan.”
3. Executive Shakeups – The summer months are typically a time for vacations and low personnel turnover, however this year has been a notable exception. From both the institutional and retail side, several brokers, banks, and groups have been particularly active, both on the hiring and firing fronts. Several companies are looking to reverse low revenues and volatilities in their forex business, leading to rampant restructuring, personnel moves, etc. – public companies face an even greater challenge, namely as they have to answer to investors.
Furthermore, “Another thing we are seeing is that companies are starting to look at IB and partnership numbers and making changes to the commercial structure of the relationships. These changes may not be the best for the long-term relationship, but can help in the short-term by reducing the overall fees paid by the firms. It is also worth mentioning the fact that IBs have had a feeding frenzy in recent years with the explosive growth in the number of brokers. Deals that were written for IBs over the last couple years may not make financial sense anymore,” Wilkins added.
In particular, several CEOs and executives are firmly on the hot seat to help allay sour monthly metrics and performance. In particular, Standard Chartered’s Peter Sand has been under pressure for months as the bank’s forex profits have dwindled considerably, though he is hardly the only one as everyone is curious as to when volatilities and ultimately greater profitability will return.
4. Equity Performance – The fall months have traditionally been a period of growth for the US Stock Markets, notably on the heels of nascent summer volatilities. According to Forex Magnates' researchers, the S&P has risen on average 6.52% from Labor Day (September 1) until December 31 from 2011-13.
This fall will also be crucial as lingering questions over central banking actions will also be clarified or decided, with critical decisions expected from the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. While these decisions are expected to affect equity markets, the potential departure from Quantitative Easing (QE) from the Fed in particular, could really help influence foreign exchange pairs with the USD.
Finally, several notable FX companies have had uneven performances this year, with companies like FXCM (NYSE:FXCM) fighting low volumes and revenues and setting new annual highs. Alternatively, other companies like Interactive Brokers (NASDAQ:IBKR) and GAIN Capital (NYSE:GCAP) have faced lackluster years with critical earnings calls coming up towards the end of October.
ETX Capital's Former CEO Arman Tahmassebi Moves to Flagstone as Chief Operating Officer
Featured Videos
Hannelé De Necker, CEO, IFX Brokers | FMAS:24
Hannelé De Necker, CEO, IFX Brokers | FMAS:24
Hannelé De Necker, CEO, IFX Brokers | FMAS:24
Hannelé De Necker, CEO, IFX Brokers | FMAS:24
1 week to go until FMAS:24 kicks off and we couldn't skip our interviews with some of this year's sponsors 🤩 Starting off strong with Hannelé De Necker, CEO OF IFX Brokers.
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1 week to go until FMAS:24 kicks off and we couldn't skip our interviews with some of this year's sponsors 🤩 Starting off strong with Hannelé De Necker, CEO OF IFX Brokers.
See you there!
#fmas24 #fmas #fmevents #financeinafrica #traders #investors #affiliates #forexTraders #investmentOpportunities #B2BNetworking #finTech #Innovations #TradingCommunity #BusinessOpportunities #AfricanBusiness #Johannesburg #southafrica
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1 week to go until FMAS:24 kicks off and we couldn't skip our interviews with some of this year's sponsors 🤩 Starting off strong with Hannelé De Necker, CEO OF IFX Brokers.
See you there!
#fmas24 #fmas #fmevents #financeinafrica #traders #investors #affiliates #forexTraders #investmentOpportunities #B2BNetworking #finTech #Innovations #TradingCommunity #BusinessOpportunities #AfricanBusiness #Johannesburg #southafrica
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1 week to go until FMAS:24 kicks off and we couldn't skip our interviews with some of this year's sponsors 🤩 Starting off strong with Hannelé De Necker, CEO OF IFX Brokers.
See you there!
#fmas24 #fmas #fmevents #financeinafrica #traders #investors #affiliates #forexTraders #investmentOpportunities #B2BNetworking #finTech #Innovations #TradingCommunity #BusinessOpportunities #AfricanBusiness #Johannesburg #southafrica
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Get ready to mark your calendars for FMAS:24, returning this May! Take a quick glimpse of what awaits at the Sandton Convention Centre in Sandton, South Africa from May 20-22, 2024.
Don't miss out on this 5-second invite packed with energy and urgency!
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Get ready to mark your calendars for FMAS:24, returning this May! Take a quick glimpse of what awaits at the Sandton Convention Centre in Sandton, South Africa from May 20-22, 2024.
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Get ready to mark your calendars for FMAS:24, returning this May! Take a quick glimpse of what awaits at the Sandton Convention Centre in Sandton, South Africa from May 20-22, 2024.
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FMAS:24 | Sneak Peak
FMAS:24 | Sneak Peak
FMAS:24 | Sneak Peak
FMAS:24 | Sneak Peak
FMAS:24 | Sneak Peak
FMAS:24 | Sneak Peak
Here's a sneak peek into the FMAS:24 vibrant atmosphere! Join us at Africa’s premium financial event for a transformative experience that combines the best of finance and technology.
From May 20-22, 2024, the Sandton Convention Centre in Sandton, South Africa, will be the hub for over 3,500 attendees to engage in unparalleled networking opportunities, learn from over 150 industry-leading speakers, and explore innovations from 120+ exhibitors.
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Here's a sneak peek into the FMAS:24 vibrant atmosphere! Join us at Africa’s premium financial event for a transformative experience that combines the best of finance and technology.
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Here's a sneak peek into the FMAS:24 vibrant atmosphere! Join us at Africa’s premium financial event for a transformative experience that combines the best of finance and technology.
From May 20-22, 2024, the Sandton Convention Centre in Sandton, South Africa, will be the hub for over 3,500 attendees to engage in unparalleled networking opportunities, learn from over 150 industry-leading speakers, and explore innovations from 120+ exhibitors.
Secure your free ticket now 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/yQx0l?utm_source=youtube&utm_campaign=fmas-is-back&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMAS24+Video+Ad+%5B1%5D
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Here's a sneak peek into the FMAS:24 vibrant atmosphere! Join us at Africa’s premium financial event for a transformative experience that combines the best of finance and technology.
From May 20-22, 2024, the Sandton Convention Centre in Sandton, South Africa, will be the hub for over 3,500 attendees to engage in unparalleled networking opportunities, learn from over 150 industry-leading speakers, and explore innovations from 120+ exhibitors.
Secure your free ticket now 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/yQx0l?utm_source=youtube&utm_campaign=fmas-is-back&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMAS24+Video+Ad+%5B1%5D
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Here's a sneak peek into the FMAS:24 vibrant atmosphere! Join us at Africa’s premium financial event for a transformative experience that combines the best of finance and technology.
From May 20-22, 2024, the Sandton Convention Centre in Sandton, South Africa, will be the hub for over 3,500 attendees to engage in unparalleled networking opportunities, learn from over 150 industry-leading speakers, and explore innovations from 120+ exhibitors.
Secure your free ticket now 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/yQx0l?utm_source=youtube&utm_campaign=fmas-is-back&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMAS24+Video+Ad+%5B1%5D
#fmas24 #fmas #fmevents #financeinafrica #traders #investors #affiliates #forexTraders #investmentOpportunities #B2BNetworking #finTech #Innovations #TradingCommunity #BusinessOpportunities #AfricanBusiness #Johannesburg #southafrica
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Here's a sneak peek into the FMAS:24 vibrant atmosphere! Join us at Africa’s premium financial event for a transformative experience that combines the best of finance and technology.
From May 20-22, 2024, the Sandton Convention Centre in Sandton, South Africa, will be the hub for over 3,500 attendees to engage in unparalleled networking opportunities, learn from over 150 industry-leading speakers, and explore innovations from 120+ exhibitors.
Secure your free ticket now 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/yQx0l?utm_source=youtube&utm_campaign=fmas-is-back&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMAS24+Video+Ad+%5B1%5D
#fmas24 #fmas #fmevents #financeinafrica #traders #investors #affiliates #forexTraders #investmentOpportunities #B2BNetworking #finTech #Innovations #TradingCommunity #BusinessOpportunities #AfricanBusiness #Johannesburg #southafrica
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Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 | Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 | Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 | Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 | Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 | Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 | Africa's Premium Financial Event
Looking to expand your network in #Africa? Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
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Looking to expand your network in #Africa? Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
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Looking to expand your network in #Africa? Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
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Looking to expand your network in #Africa? Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
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Looking to expand your network in #Africa? Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
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Looking to expand your network in #Africa? Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
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Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa