Bitcoin could reach $1 million in 2025 if the US creates a strategic reserve, says a Bitwise executive.
Check the most recent BTC price prediction for 2025 and beyond.
Let's check why Bitcoin price is surging today and what are the BTC predictions for 2025
The
possibility of Bitcoin reaching the coveted $1 million milestone hinges
primarily on one crucial factor: the establishment of a U.S. government
strategic Bitcoin reserve. This assessment comes from Jeff Park, Head of Alpha
Strategies at Bitwise Asset Management, who estimates the probability of such
an initiative at less than 10% for 2025.
When Will Bitcoin Hit $1
Million? Park Has the Answer
According
to Park's latest prediction, there is a possibility that Bitcoin's price will
hit $1 million in 2025. However, the chances are only around 10%. Why this
specific probability? He assigns the same likelihood to the potential
establishment of a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve in the United States.
“The
idea of a federal Bitcoin Strategic Reserve happening in 2025 is less than a
10% chance event,” Park commented on X (formerly Twitter). “That's
the only math in which Bitcoin can hit $1mm+ in 2025 when it happens.”
In a
separate post on X, he demonstrated his analysis of the probability for this
scenario to materialize.
Bitcoin Market Dynamics
and Strategic Reserve Impact
The
cryptocurrency market has demonstrated remarkable resilience, with Bitcoin
currently trading at around $96,000. Park's analysis suggests that a federal
Bitcoin reserve represents the only mathematical pathway for Bitcoin to surpass
the $1 million threshold in 2025.
Legislative Framework
Senator
Cynthia Lummis has already laid the groundwork for such an initiative, introducing
draft legislation that would mandate the US Treasury to acquire 1 billion
Bitcoins over five years. This ambitious proposal has sparked intense debate
within both political and financial circles.
Market Sentiment
While Park
maintains a conservative outlook on the probability of a strategic reserve,
market sentiment appears more optimistic. Polymarket participants currently
price the likelihood of a US Bitcoin reserve at 31% for 2025.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis
On Friday,
December 27, 2024, Bitcoin is trading at $96,252 on Binance, with the price
continuing to move within the same November-December consolidation range. In my
analysis, Bitcoin is currently benefiting from a compelling support zone
defined by:
An upward
trendline drawn from the local minimums of mid-November (marked in red)
The 23.6%
Fibonacci retracement level measured from August lows to the current ATH,
currently at $94,500
A support
zone marked by December's local bottoms (marked in green)
Bitcoin price prediction based on a technical analysis. Source: Tradingview.com
We also
can't overlook the proximity to the psychological level of $90,000, which
provides additional support for the current zone. When traders return from
their Christmas and New Year's break, cryptocurrency markets should see renewed
volatility, and, in my opinion, we're likely to see a bounce from the current,
clearly established support level.
“Following this first peak, we anticipate a 30% retracement in BTC, with altcoins facing sharper declines of up to 60% as the market consolidates during the summer,” VanEck’s Matthew Sigel forecasted. “However, a recovery is likely in the fall, with major tokens regaining momentum and reclaiming previous all-time highs by the end of the year.”
ETF Impact
The
cryptocurrency market has already witnessed substantial institutional interest,
with spot Bitcoin ETFs attracting over $36 billion in inflows. This trend is
expected to continue, potentially supporting price appreciation even without
government intervention.
Economic and Political
Factors
Trump Administration
Influence
The
incoming Trump administration's stance on cryptocurrency regulation could
significantly impact Bitcoin's trajectory. The president-elect has expressed
support for the concept of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, though specific details
remain unclear.
Federal Reserve
Considerations
Market
dynamics could be influenced by the Federal Reserve's monetary policy
decisions. Recent adjustments to interest rate cut expectations have already
demonstrated their capacity to affect Bitcoin prices.
Market Implications
The
establishment of a US Bitcoin strategic reserve would represent an
unprecedented level of governmental cryptocurrency adoption. Such a move could
trigger a cascading effect, potentially prompting other nations to follow suit
and dramatically accelerating Bitcoin's price appreciation.
Supply Dynamics
With only
21 million Bitcoins possible and 19.79 million already in circulation, any
significant government purchasing program would create substantial upward price
pressure.
While
Park's assessment suggests the million-dollar Bitcoin scenario remains a
low-probability event for 2025, the mere possibility has captured the
cryptocurrency community's attention. The market continues to mature, with
institutional adoption, regulatory developments, and potential government
initiatives shaping its evolution.
Multiple
analysts and industry experts suggest Bitcoin could eventually reach the $1
million milestone, though with varying timelines. Cathie Wood maintains this
target could be achieved by 2030, while others tie this possibility to specific
catalysts like the establishment of a U.S. federal Bitcoin reserve. Bitwise's
Jeff Park suggests this level is achievable in 2025, but only with a 10%
probability linked to government strategic reserve implementation.
Will Bitcoin reach $1
million by 2025?
The
likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $1 million by 2025 appears low, with most
conservative estimates placing Bitcoin between $120,000 and $200,000 by then.
Bernstein analysts recently upgraded their 2025 forecast to $200,000, while
Investing Haven suggests a range of $75,500 to $155,000. The million-dollar
threshold in 2025 would likely require extraordinary catalysts, such as the
proposed federal Bitcoin reserve.
How high will Bitcoin go
in 2030?
Projections
for 2030 vary significantly among analysts. Changelly predicts an average price
of $574,902, while more conservative estimates from Coinpedia suggest $312,767.
Cathie Wood's Ark Invest maintains one of the most bullish outlooks, projecting
Bitcoin to exceed $1 million by 2030. These forecasts assume continued
institutional adoption and favorable regulatory developments.
How high will Bitcoin hit?
Long-term
projections suggest Bitcoin could reach between $1.4 million and $2.1 million
by 2050, with an average price of $1.77 million. However, near-term
expectations are more modest, with most analysts focusing on the $200,000 level
by 2025. The ultimate price ceiling depends on various factors, including
institutional adoption, regulatory environment, and potential government
involvement in the market.
The
possibility of Bitcoin reaching the coveted $1 million milestone hinges
primarily on one crucial factor: the establishment of a U.S. government
strategic Bitcoin reserve. This assessment comes from Jeff Park, Head of Alpha
Strategies at Bitwise Asset Management, who estimates the probability of such
an initiative at less than 10% for 2025.
When Will Bitcoin Hit $1
Million? Park Has the Answer
According
to Park's latest prediction, there is a possibility that Bitcoin's price will
hit $1 million in 2025. However, the chances are only around 10%. Why this
specific probability? He assigns the same likelihood to the potential
establishment of a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve in the United States.
“The
idea of a federal Bitcoin Strategic Reserve happening in 2025 is less than a
10% chance event,” Park commented on X (formerly Twitter). “That's
the only math in which Bitcoin can hit $1mm+ in 2025 when it happens.”
In a
separate post on X, he demonstrated his analysis of the probability for this
scenario to materialize.
Bitcoin Market Dynamics
and Strategic Reserve Impact
The
cryptocurrency market has demonstrated remarkable resilience, with Bitcoin
currently trading at around $96,000. Park's analysis suggests that a federal
Bitcoin reserve represents the only mathematical pathway for Bitcoin to surpass
the $1 million threshold in 2025.
Legislative Framework
Senator
Cynthia Lummis has already laid the groundwork for such an initiative, introducing
draft legislation that would mandate the US Treasury to acquire 1 billion
Bitcoins over five years. This ambitious proposal has sparked intense debate
within both political and financial circles.
Market Sentiment
While Park
maintains a conservative outlook on the probability of a strategic reserve,
market sentiment appears more optimistic. Polymarket participants currently
price the likelihood of a US Bitcoin reserve at 31% for 2025.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis
On Friday,
December 27, 2024, Bitcoin is trading at $96,252 on Binance, with the price
continuing to move within the same November-December consolidation range. In my
analysis, Bitcoin is currently benefiting from a compelling support zone
defined by:
An upward
trendline drawn from the local minimums of mid-November (marked in red)
The 23.6%
Fibonacci retracement level measured from August lows to the current ATH,
currently at $94,500
A support
zone marked by December's local bottoms (marked in green)
Bitcoin price prediction based on a technical analysis. Source: Tradingview.com
We also
can't overlook the proximity to the psychological level of $90,000, which
provides additional support for the current zone. When traders return from
their Christmas and New Year's break, cryptocurrency markets should see renewed
volatility, and, in my opinion, we're likely to see a bounce from the current,
clearly established support level.
“Following this first peak, we anticipate a 30% retracement in BTC, with altcoins facing sharper declines of up to 60% as the market consolidates during the summer,” VanEck’s Matthew Sigel forecasted. “However, a recovery is likely in the fall, with major tokens regaining momentum and reclaiming previous all-time highs by the end of the year.”
ETF Impact
The
cryptocurrency market has already witnessed substantial institutional interest,
with spot Bitcoin ETFs attracting over $36 billion in inflows. This trend is
expected to continue, potentially supporting price appreciation even without
government intervention.
Economic and Political
Factors
Trump Administration
Influence
The
incoming Trump administration's stance on cryptocurrency regulation could
significantly impact Bitcoin's trajectory. The president-elect has expressed
support for the concept of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, though specific details
remain unclear.
Federal Reserve
Considerations
Market
dynamics could be influenced by the Federal Reserve's monetary policy
decisions. Recent adjustments to interest rate cut expectations have already
demonstrated their capacity to affect Bitcoin prices.
Market Implications
The
establishment of a US Bitcoin strategic reserve would represent an
unprecedented level of governmental cryptocurrency adoption. Such a move could
trigger a cascading effect, potentially prompting other nations to follow suit
and dramatically accelerating Bitcoin's price appreciation.
Supply Dynamics
With only
21 million Bitcoins possible and 19.79 million already in circulation, any
significant government purchasing program would create substantial upward price
pressure.
While
Park's assessment suggests the million-dollar Bitcoin scenario remains a
low-probability event for 2025, the mere possibility has captured the
cryptocurrency community's attention. The market continues to mature, with
institutional adoption, regulatory developments, and potential government
initiatives shaping its evolution.
Multiple
analysts and industry experts suggest Bitcoin could eventually reach the $1
million milestone, though with varying timelines. Cathie Wood maintains this
target could be achieved by 2030, while others tie this possibility to specific
catalysts like the establishment of a U.S. federal Bitcoin reserve. Bitwise's
Jeff Park suggests this level is achievable in 2025, but only with a 10%
probability linked to government strategic reserve implementation.
Will Bitcoin reach $1
million by 2025?
The
likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $1 million by 2025 appears low, with most
conservative estimates placing Bitcoin between $120,000 and $200,000 by then.
Bernstein analysts recently upgraded their 2025 forecast to $200,000, while
Investing Haven suggests a range of $75,500 to $155,000. The million-dollar
threshold in 2025 would likely require extraordinary catalysts, such as the
proposed federal Bitcoin reserve.
How high will Bitcoin go
in 2030?
Projections
for 2030 vary significantly among analysts. Changelly predicts an average price
of $574,902, while more conservative estimates from Coinpedia suggest $312,767.
Cathie Wood's Ark Invest maintains one of the most bullish outlooks, projecting
Bitcoin to exceed $1 million by 2030. These forecasts assume continued
institutional adoption and favorable regulatory developments.
How high will Bitcoin hit?
Long-term
projections suggest Bitcoin could reach between $1.4 million and $2.1 million
by 2050, with an average price of $1.77 million. However, near-term
expectations are more modest, with most analysts focusing on the $200,000 level
by 2025. The ultimate price ceiling depends on various factors, including
institutional adoption, regulatory environment, and potential government
involvement in the market.
Damian's adventure with financial markets began at the Cracow University of Economics, where he obtained his MA in finance and accounting. Starting from the retail trader perspective, he collaborated with brokerage houses and financial portals in Poland as an independent editor and content manager. His adventure with Finance Magnates began in 2016, where he is working as a business intelligence analyst.
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Hannah Hill on Innovation, Branding & Award-Winning Technology | Executive Interview | AXI
Hannah Hill on Innovation, Branding & Award-Winning Technology | Executive Interview | AXI
Recorded live at FMLS:25, this executive interview features Hannah Hill, Head of Brand and Sponsorship at AXI, in conversation with Finance Magnates, following AXI’s win for Most Innovative Broker of the Year 2025.
In this wide-ranging discussion, Hannah shares insights on:
🔹What winning the Finance Magnates award means for AXI’s credibility and innovation
🔹How the launch of AXI Select, the capital allocation program, is redefining industry standards
🔹The development and rollout of the AXI trading app across multiple markets
🔹Driving brand evolution alongside technological advancements
🔹Encouraging and recognizing teams behind the scenes
🔹The role of marketing, content, and social media in building product awareness
Hannah explains why standout products, strategic branding, and a focus on innovation are key to growing visibility and staying ahead in a competitive brokerage landscape.
🏆 Award Highlight: Most Innovative Broker of the Year 2025
👉 Subscribe to Finance Magnates for more executive interviews, industry insights, and exclusive coverage from the world’s leading financial events.
#FMLS25 #FinanceMagnates #MostInnovativeBroker #TradingTechnology #FinTech #Brokerage #ExecutiveInterview #AXI
Recorded live at FMLS:25, this executive interview features Hannah Hill, Head of Brand and Sponsorship at AXI, in conversation with Finance Magnates, following AXI’s win for Most Innovative Broker of the Year 2025.
In this wide-ranging discussion, Hannah shares insights on:
🔹What winning the Finance Magnates award means for AXI’s credibility and innovation
🔹How the launch of AXI Select, the capital allocation program, is redefining industry standards
🔹The development and rollout of the AXI trading app across multiple markets
🔹Driving brand evolution alongside technological advancements
🔹Encouraging and recognizing teams behind the scenes
🔹The role of marketing, content, and social media in building product awareness
Hannah explains why standout products, strategic branding, and a focus on innovation are key to growing visibility and staying ahead in a competitive brokerage landscape.
🏆 Award Highlight: Most Innovative Broker of the Year 2025
👉 Subscribe to Finance Magnates for more executive interviews, industry insights, and exclusive coverage from the world’s leading financial events.
#FMLS25 #FinanceMagnates #MostInnovativeBroker #TradingTechnology #FinTech #Brokerage #ExecutiveInterview #AXI
Executive Interview | Dor Eligula | Co-Founder & Chief Business Officer, BridgeWise | FMLS:25
Executive Interview | Dor Eligula | Co-Founder & Chief Business Officer, BridgeWise | FMLS:25
In this session, Jonathan Fine form Ultimate Group speaks with Dor Eligula from Bridgewise, a fast-growing AI-powered research and analytics firm supporting brokers and exchanges worldwide.
We start with Dor’s reaction to the Summit and then move to broker growth and the quick wins brokers often overlook. Dor shares where he sees “blue ocean” growth across Asian markets and how local client behaviour shapes demand.
We also discuss the rollout of AI across investment research. Dor gives real examples of how automation and human judgment meet at Bridgewise — including moments when analysts corrected AI output, and times when AI prevented an error.
We close with a practical question: how retail investors can actually use AI without falling into common traps.
In this session, Jonathan Fine form Ultimate Group speaks with Dor Eligula from Bridgewise, a fast-growing AI-powered research and analytics firm supporting brokers and exchanges worldwide.
We start with Dor’s reaction to the Summit and then move to broker growth and the quick wins brokers often overlook. Dor shares where he sees “blue ocean” growth across Asian markets and how local client behaviour shapes demand.
We also discuss the rollout of AI across investment research. Dor gives real examples of how automation and human judgment meet at Bridgewise — including moments when analysts corrected AI output, and times when AI prevented an error.
We close with a practical question: how retail investors can actually use AI without falling into common traps.
Brendan Callan joined us fresh off the Summit’s most anticipated debate: “Is Prop Trading Good for the Industry?” Brendan argued against the motion — and the audience voted him the winner.
In this interview, Brendan explains the reasoning behind his position. He walks through the message he believes many firms avoid: that the current prop trading model is too dependent on fees, too loose on risk, and too confusing for retail audiences.
We discuss why he thinks the model grew fast, why it may run into walls, and what he believes is needed for a cleaner, more responsible version of prop trading.
This is Brendan at his frankest — sharp, grounded, and very clear about what changes are overdue.
Brendan Callan joined us fresh off the Summit’s most anticipated debate: “Is Prop Trading Good for the Industry?” Brendan argued against the motion — and the audience voted him the winner.
In this interview, Brendan explains the reasoning behind his position. He walks through the message he believes many firms avoid: that the current prop trading model is too dependent on fees, too loose on risk, and too confusing for retail audiences.
We discuss why he thinks the model grew fast, why it may run into walls, and what he believes is needed for a cleaner, more responsible version of prop trading.
This is Brendan at his frankest — sharp, grounded, and very clear about what changes are overdue.
Elina Pedersen on Growth, Stability & Ultra-Low Latency | Executive Interview | Your Bourse
Elina Pedersen on Growth, Stability & Ultra-Low Latency | Executive Interview | Your Bourse
Recorded live at FMLS:25 London, this executive interview features Elina Pedersen, in conversation with Finance Magnates, following her company’s win for Best Connectivity 2025.
🔹In this wide-ranging discussion, Elina shares insights on:
🔹What winning a Finance Magnates award means for credibility and reputation
🔹How broker demand for stability and reliability is driving rapid growth
🔹The launch of a new trade server enabling flexible front-end integrations
🔹Why ultra-low latency must be proven with data, not buzzwords
🔹Common mistakes brokers make when scaling globally
🔹Educating the industry through a newly launched Dealers Academy
🔹Where AI fits into trading infrastructure and where it doesn’t
Elina explains why resilient back-end infrastructure, deep client partnerships, and disciplined focus are critical for brokers looking to scale sustainably in today’s competitive market.
🏆 Award Highlight: Best Connectivity 2025
👉 Subscribe to Finance Magnates for more executive interviews, industry insights, and exclusive coverage from the world’s leading financial events.
#FMLS25 #FinanceMagnates #BestConnectivity #TradingTechnology #UltraLowLatency #FinTech #Brokerage #ExecutiveInterview
Recorded live at FMLS:25 London, this executive interview features Elina Pedersen, in conversation with Finance Magnates, following her company’s win for Best Connectivity 2025.
🔹In this wide-ranging discussion, Elina shares insights on:
🔹What winning a Finance Magnates award means for credibility and reputation
🔹How broker demand for stability and reliability is driving rapid growth
🔹The launch of a new trade server enabling flexible front-end integrations
🔹Why ultra-low latency must be proven with data, not buzzwords
🔹Common mistakes brokers make when scaling globally
🔹Educating the industry through a newly launched Dealers Academy
🔹Where AI fits into trading infrastructure and where it doesn’t
Elina explains why resilient back-end infrastructure, deep client partnerships, and disciplined focus are critical for brokers looking to scale sustainably in today’s competitive market.
🏆 Award Highlight: Best Connectivity 2025
👉 Subscribe to Finance Magnates for more executive interviews, industry insights, and exclusive coverage from the world’s leading financial events.
#FMLS25 #FinanceMagnates #BestConnectivity #TradingTechnology #UltraLowLatency #FinTech #Brokerage #ExecutiveInterview
In this video, we take an in-depth look at @BlueberryMarketsForex , a forex and CFD broker operating since 2016, offering access to multiple trading platforms, over 1,000 instruments, and flexible account types for different trading styles.
We break down Blueberry’s regulatory structure, including its Australian Financial Services License (AFSL), as well as its authorisation and registrations in other jurisdictions. The review also covers supported platforms such as MetaTrader 4, MetaTrader 5, cTrader, TradingView, Blueberry.X, and web-based trading.
You’ll learn about available instruments across forex, commodities, indices, share CFDs, and crypto CFDs, along with leverage options, minimum and maximum trade sizes, and how Blueberry structures its Standard and Raw accounts.
We also explain spreads, commissions, swap rates, swap-free account availability, funding and withdrawal methods, processing times, and what traders can expect from customer support and additional services.
Watch the full review to see whether Blueberry’s trading setup aligns with your experience level, strategy, and risk tolerance.
📣 Stay up to date with the latest in finance and trading. Follow Finance Magnates for industry news, insights, and global event coverage.
Connect with us:
🔗 LinkedIn: /financemagnates
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▶️ YouTube: /@financemagnates_official
#Blueberry #BlueberryMarkets #BrokerReview #ForexBroker #CFDTrading #OnlineTrading #FinanceMagnates #TradingPlatforms #MarketInsights
In this video, we take an in-depth look at @BlueberryMarketsForex , a forex and CFD broker operating since 2016, offering access to multiple trading platforms, over 1,000 instruments, and flexible account types for different trading styles.
We break down Blueberry’s regulatory structure, including its Australian Financial Services License (AFSL), as well as its authorisation and registrations in other jurisdictions. The review also covers supported platforms such as MetaTrader 4, MetaTrader 5, cTrader, TradingView, Blueberry.X, and web-based trading.
You’ll learn about available instruments across forex, commodities, indices, share CFDs, and crypto CFDs, along with leverage options, minimum and maximum trade sizes, and how Blueberry structures its Standard and Raw accounts.
We also explain spreads, commissions, swap rates, swap-free account availability, funding and withdrawal methods, processing times, and what traders can expect from customer support and additional services.
Watch the full review to see whether Blueberry’s trading setup aligns with your experience level, strategy, and risk tolerance.
📣 Stay up to date with the latest in finance and trading. Follow Finance Magnates for industry news, insights, and global event coverage.
Connect with us:
🔗 LinkedIn: /financemagnates
👍 Facebook: /financemagnates
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates
🐦 X: https://x.com/financemagnates
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/tag/financemagnates
▶️ YouTube: /@financemagnates_official
#Blueberry #BlueberryMarkets #BrokerReview #ForexBroker #CFDTrading #OnlineTrading #FinanceMagnates #TradingPlatforms #MarketInsights
