BTC/USD Technical Analysis – 20th March 2014

Analysis provided by Ashton Fraser, learn more about his trading strategies with the forex reversal indicator. Bitcoin has been falling

Analysis provided by Ashton Fraser, learn more about his trading strategies with the forex reversal indicator.

Bitcoin has been falling rapidly today, smashing right through an important support level.

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Let’s take a closer look at the BTC/USD H4 chart below:

btcusdh4_20_03_2014

I’ve performed the Fibonacci study from the low of last month, on the 25th of February at 430, to the high of this month on the 4th, at 698.

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We can see immediately that price has barely bothered about the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, even though it gave it some value on previous occasions, as we discussed in yesterday’s analysis. This tells us the bears are strong right now.

In addition, a strong trendline has formed if we zoom into the lower intraday timeframes such as M15, as can be seen below (click to expand):

btcusdm15_20_03_2014

So really, the overall short term trend is firmly bearish. However, with the next major Fibonacci zone some distance away, it remains to be seen if the momentum can take it there. For the next few candles though, I expect some consolidation actually, given that on the M15 chart we can see how the Stochastics are oversold, and the Accelerator and Awesome Oscillators have turned green for the past few candlesticks.

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