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Return of Lula Rattles Brazil as Investors See Policy Change (4)
Return of Lula Rattles Brazil as Investors See Policy Change (4)
by
Bloomberg News
Embattled Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff installed her predecessor Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva at the heart of her government, a...
Embattled Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff installed her predecessor Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva at the heart of her government, a high-risk gambit that could rally her party’s base while rattling the country’s economic elite and foreign investors.
The move is designed to help shield the former president from a rolling corruption probe and harness his renowned negotiating skills to defend his protege from impeachment. Only the Supreme Court can indict or try cabinet ministers. Lula has repeatedly denied wrongdoing.
Lula’s political experience and profound knowledge of the country is undeniable, Rousseff told reporters after confirming the appointment at the presidential palace in Brasilia. "Lula’s arrival strengthens the government," she said.
Naming the iconic, and controversial, politician to join her cabinet reflects the dire straits Rousseff is in and runs the risk of backfiring, as it ties her fate to that of her mentor. It has also spooked investors, who fear she and Lula could resort to economic policies that will help her remain in power but further deteriorate public accounts.
"There is no positive spin for Lula coming aboard," said Win Thin, the head of emerging-market strategy at New York-based Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. "Sell Brazil. Period."
Real Fell
Expectations of economic policy change were reinforced by newspaper reports on Wednesday that central bank President Alexandre Tombini could resign as a result of the cabinet reshuffle. The central bank declined to comment on the reports. There were also reports the government could tap its international reserves to boost growth.
The real and the Ibovespa initially fell on confirmation of the appointment. They rebounded after the U.S. Federal Reserve scaled back forecasts for how high interest rates will rise this year. Brazilian assets had surged earlier this month on bets the president’s ouster would pave the way for a government with a stronger mandate to revive growth.
Gross domestic product is expected to shrink 3.4 percent in 2016 after contracting 3.8 percent last year, which would mark Brazil’s deepest downturn in over a century.
Lula doesn’t embrace some of his party’s more radical economic policies, such as the use of international reserves to finance public works projects, according to two senior officials with direct knowledge of talks involving Lula’s appointment. But he would support additional stimulus measures such as new lines of consumer credit, they said.
Appointing a founder of her Workers’ Party to head the cabinet’s most influential post is a sign that Rousseff is waging an all-or-nothing bet, said Leonardo Monoli, a partner at Jive Asset Gestao de Recursos in Sao Paulo.
"It shows the party is willing to use what it considers its silver bullet, putting all its cards on the table," he said.
Corruption Probe
The return of Lula, who left government in 2010, comes against the backdrop of a sweeping corruption probe into kickbacks at state-run oil company Petrobras. The scandal has left senior executives and politicians behind bars, and in recent weeks encroached on the Workers’ Party and Lula himself.
A Supreme Court justice on Tuesday accepted a plea bargain from the former government leader in the Senate, Delcidio Amaral, who has alleged that Rousseff tried to interfere with investigations. He also indicated that Education Minister Aloizio Mercadante offered financial assistance to prevent Amaral from testifying. Both Rousseff and Mercadante said the allegations are false.
Opposition leaders say they will challenge the appointment in court as an abuse of power designed to shield Lula from possible arrest.
"It’s her right to name ministers, but I don’t know if it’s the best solution," lower house speaker Eduardo Cunha, a critic of the administration, said Tuesday. "I think it’s highly unlikely that Lula as minister will improve the dialogue between the government and deputies."
(Adds Rousseff comments in third paragraph.)
--With assistance from Paula Sambo Fernando Travaglini and Matthew Malinowski To contact the reporters on this story: Arnaldo Galvao in Brasilia Newsroom at agalvao1@bloomberg.net, Raymond Colitt in Brasilia at rcolitt@bloomberg.net, Anna Edgerton in Brasilia at aedgerton@bloomberg.net. To contact the editors responsible for this story: Vivianne Rodrigues at vrodrigues3@bloomberg.net, Randall Woods
By: Arnaldo Galvao, Raymond Colitt and Anna Edgerton
Embattled Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff installed her predecessor Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva at the heart of her government, a high-risk gambit that could rally her party’s base while rattling the country’s economic elite and foreign investors.
The move is designed to help shield the former president from a rolling corruption probe and harness his renowned negotiating skills to defend his protege from impeachment. Only the Supreme Court can indict or try cabinet ministers. Lula has repeatedly denied wrongdoing.
Lula’s political experience and profound knowledge of the country is undeniable, Rousseff told reporters after confirming the appointment at the presidential palace in Brasilia. "Lula’s arrival strengthens the government," she said.
Naming the iconic, and controversial, politician to join her cabinet reflects the dire straits Rousseff is in and runs the risk of backfiring, as it ties her fate to that of her mentor. It has also spooked investors, who fear she and Lula could resort to economic policies that will help her remain in power but further deteriorate public accounts.
"There is no positive spin for Lula coming aboard," said Win Thin, the head of emerging-market strategy at New York-based Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. "Sell Brazil. Period."
Real Fell
Expectations of economic policy change were reinforced by newspaper reports on Wednesday that central bank President Alexandre Tombini could resign as a result of the cabinet reshuffle. The central bank declined to comment on the reports. There were also reports the government could tap its international reserves to boost growth.
The real and the Ibovespa initially fell on confirmation of the appointment. They rebounded after the U.S. Federal Reserve scaled back forecasts for how high interest rates will rise this year. Brazilian assets had surged earlier this month on bets the president’s ouster would pave the way for a government with a stronger mandate to revive growth.
Gross domestic product is expected to shrink 3.4 percent in 2016 after contracting 3.8 percent last year, which would mark Brazil’s deepest downturn in over a century.
Lula doesn’t embrace some of his party’s more radical economic policies, such as the use of international reserves to finance public works projects, according to two senior officials with direct knowledge of talks involving Lula’s appointment. But he would support additional stimulus measures such as new lines of consumer credit, they said.
Appointing a founder of her Workers’ Party to head the cabinet’s most influential post is a sign that Rousseff is waging an all-or-nothing bet, said Leonardo Monoli, a partner at Jive Asset Gestao de Recursos in Sao Paulo.
"It shows the party is willing to use what it considers its silver bullet, putting all its cards on the table," he said.
Corruption Probe
The return of Lula, who left government in 2010, comes against the backdrop of a sweeping corruption probe into kickbacks at state-run oil company Petrobras. The scandal has left senior executives and politicians behind bars, and in recent weeks encroached on the Workers’ Party and Lula himself.
A Supreme Court justice on Tuesday accepted a plea bargain from the former government leader in the Senate, Delcidio Amaral, who has alleged that Rousseff tried to interfere with investigations. He also indicated that Education Minister Aloizio Mercadante offered financial assistance to prevent Amaral from testifying. Both Rousseff and Mercadante said the allegations are false.
Opposition leaders say they will challenge the appointment in court as an abuse of power designed to shield Lula from possible arrest.
"It’s her right to name ministers, but I don’t know if it’s the best solution," lower house speaker Eduardo Cunha, a critic of the administration, said Tuesday. "I think it’s highly unlikely that Lula as minister will improve the dialogue between the government and deputies."
(Adds Rousseff comments in third paragraph.)
--With assistance from Paula Sambo Fernando Travaglini and Matthew Malinowski To contact the reporters on this story: Arnaldo Galvao in Brasilia Newsroom at agalvao1@bloomberg.net, Raymond Colitt in Brasilia at rcolitt@bloomberg.net, Anna Edgerton in Brasilia at aedgerton@bloomberg.net. To contact the editors responsible for this story: Vivianne Rodrigues at vrodrigues3@bloomberg.net, Randall Woods
By: Arnaldo Galvao, Raymond Colitt and Anna Edgerton
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Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 | Africa's Premium Financial Event
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Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔