prediction markets
The Wallet Is the New Battleground for Prediction Markets, Bitget Report Argues
- As prediction markets scale, competition is shifting from listing and liquidity toward control of the user interface.
- Wallets may become the main access point to fragmented prediction platforms, turning distribution and UX into the next strategic battleground for brokers and fintech builders.
Thursday, 29/01/2026 | 11:53 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Prediction Markets Scale Up as Volumes Surge, But Regulation and Liquidity Remain Key Constraints
- The Financial Times warns that insider risk and thin liquidity in prediction markets remain unresolved, even as volumes climb past $13 billion a month.
- For brokers and fintech firms, prediction markets are evolving from betting venues into event-driven trading tools that may be integrated into regulated products.
Monday, 26/01/2026 | 12:30 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Kalshi CEO: Prediction Markets Could Spawn New Job Category Like Instagram Creators and Uber Drivers
- Tarek Mansour compares professional prediction market traders to content creators and gig economy workers.
- The platform sees trading volumes hit $100 billion annually as sharps earn millions betting on events.
Monday, 26/01/2026 | 08:26 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
Prediction Markets Hit $2.7M Fee Record While Kalshi Faces Court Ban
- The Massachusetts court ruling threatens platform's sports contracts while sector posts all-time revenue high.
- Opinion and Polymarket drive surge as volumes climb across major platforms.
Wednesday, 21/01/2026 | 07:54 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
From Experiment to Core Feature: Prediction Markets Move Toward B2B Infrastructure
- The Plaee–Crypto.com partnership highlights a shift toward turnkey, regulated infrastructure that allows third parties to easily launch prediction markets.
- Liquidity, CRM, and regulatory coverage are becoming the key differentiators, pushing prediction markets toward a model dominated by a small number of infrastructure providers.
Tuesday, 20/01/2026 | 09:00 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Backpack Beta Lets Retail Traders Manage All Crypto Predictions in One Account
- Coinbase and MetaMask also expanding into prediction markets through partnerships with Kalshi and Polymarket.
- Prediction markets face regulatory scrutiny; Polymarket blocked in Ukraine.
Wednesday, 14/01/2026 | 13:08 GMT by
Tareq Sikder
Wall Street Quants Move Into Prediction Markets to Hunt for Arbitrage, Not to Bet
- Rapid growth and fragmented pricing have turned prediction markets into fertile ground for arbitrage strategies used in equities and derivatives.
- As market makers and quant funds move in, prediction markets are starting to develop the liquidity and structure of early-stage financial markets.
Wednesday, 14/01/2026 | 12:10 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Prediction Markets Hit Record $702 Million Daily Volume Amid Regulatory Pressure
- Trading on platforms like Kalshi surged to unprecedented levels despite local US regulators continuing their crackdown efforts.
- Multiple states have issued cease-and-desist orders while federal courts temporarily block enforcement in some jurisdictions.
Wednesday, 14/01/2026 | 07:07 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com Prediction Markets Kicked Out of Another State Over Sports Betting
- Tennessee regulators issued cease-and-desist orders to three major platforms in the event-based contracts realm.
- Until the end of January, the companies should shut down operations, return customer funds, and cancel all open positions.
Monday, 12/01/2026 | 07:01 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
“It’s All the Questions About Our Future”: IBKR Founder Notes 49.5% Make Money in Prediction Markets
- Thomas Peterffy said, “options can go to zero too,” arguing prediction markets are not just betting tools.
- Regulation is needed to prevent manipulation and prohibit war or military-related questions.
Friday, 09/01/2026 | 16:40 GMT by
Tareq Sikder
Kalshi CEO Draws Battle Lines Over Insider Trading, Highlighting Deep Industry Divide
- The Polymarket insider trading controversy has exposed a sharp divide between regulated prediction markets and offshore platforms.
- As scrutiny grows, competition in prediction markets is shifting away from product features toward regulation, governance, and institutional credibility.
Thursday, 08/01/2026 | 11:31 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Google Opens the Ad Door to Prediction Markets and Keeps It Shut on Binary Options
- Google’s ad policy now ties market visibility directly to federal regulation, giving licensed prediction markets a distribution advantage.
- Binary options remain fully excluded from Google ads due to consumer-protection concerns.
Tuesday, 06/01/2026 | 14:54 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
70% of Prediction Market Traders Are Capital Donors, Matching CFD Losses
- The new blockchain data shows prediction market traders face the same dismal odds as retail CFD investors.
- Analysis of 1.7M Polymarket addresses reveals a familiar pattern where casual participants subsidize sophisticated players.
Tuesday, 30/12/2025 | 08:17 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
Crypto.com's Plan to Trade Against Users Puts "No House" Model Under Scrutiny
- By trading on its own prediction market, Crypto.com blurs the line between a neutral venue and a profit-seeking counterparty.
- Rival platforms are also building internal trading desks, suggesting that profit-seeking market making is becoming an industry-wide model.
Friday, 26/12/2025 | 11:21 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Ethereum’s Vitalik Buterin Defends Prediction Markets, Calling Them ‘Healthier’ Than Stocks
- Buterin says prediction markets do not introduce new categories of harm, because similar manipulation risks already operate in equity markets.
- He also argues that bounded pricing and financial accountability can make prediction markets a cleaner signal of uncertainty than social media.
Thursday, 25/12/2025 | 10:07 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Why Prediction Markets Could Kill Retail Trading Apps' Golden Goose? “A Churned User Is Worth Zero”
- The market has been gripped by a betting mania, covering everything from Bitcoin’s price to UFO landings in the United States
- Event-based contracts are being broadly added not only by crypto exchanges but also by CFD brokers, including Plus500.
- According to the Inversion Capital CEO, this could prove to be a long-term case of shooting themselves in the foot. And a very painful one/
Monday, 22/12/2025 | 10:52 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
CFTC Oversight Sees DraftKings Launch Prediction Markets Through CME Group
- The firm offers app and web access under US federal oversight in 38 states.
- Kalshi and Polymarket $7.4B, Robinhood 2.5B contracts traded in October; sports lead amid regulatory attention.
Friday, 19/12/2025 | 16:35 GMT by
Tareq Sikder
Coinbase Asks Courts to Bar States From Regulating Prediction Markets
- The crypto exchange sued Connecticut, Illinois and Michigan, saying they are unlawfully treating prediction markets as gambling.
- State regulators contend that many prediction market contracts constitute unlicensed gambling activities.
Friday, 19/12/2025 | 14:11 GMT by
Jared Kirui
Kalshi Prediction Market and TRON Integration Bridges Traditional Finance with Crypto
- The integration allows TRX and USDT deposits, expanding multichain liquidity for Kalshi prediction market users.
- Trust Wallet adds prediction markets, letting users trade YES/NO positions directly in-app.
Thursday, 18/12/2025 | 16:06 GMT by
Tareq Sikder
Coinbase Enters Prediction Markets as the Amazonification of Financial Platforms Gathers Pace
- Prediction markets are emerging as a core product in the broader industry shift toward one-stop-shop financial solutions.
- Demand from younger investors is pushing platforms to move beyond single-asset models and rethink how retail trading products are bundled.
Thursday, 18/12/2025 | 09:44 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
The Winklevoss Twins Just Launched Gemini Predictions in the US
- Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss bring event-based contracts to all 50 states, intensifying competition with Kalshi and Polymarket.
- The crypto exchange received its CFTC license last week and went live yesterday, offering markets on BTC prices, political outcomes, and regulatory events.
Tuesday, 16/12/2025 | 10:44 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
CFTC Spares Polymarket, Gemini, Aristotle and MIAXdx From Swap Reporting Rules
- The U.S. regulator exempts four prediction market operators from some data and record-keeping requirements.
- The relief highlights the growing role of fully collateralized event contracts in U.S. derivatives markets.
Friday, 12/12/2025 | 06:37 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
Robinhood, Kalshi and Crypto.com Face Prediction Markets Crackdown as State Regulators Call it Illegal Gambling
- This time, Connecticut has taken issue with the event-based contracts, becoming the tenth state to file a complaint against Kalshi.
- Crypto.com, however, appears undeterred by regulatory concerns and is launching another partnership in this area.
Thursday, 04/12/2025 | 07:14 GMT by
Damian Chmiel
Prediction Markets Boom Draws CZ-Owned Trust Wallet, Joining MetaMask and Polymarket Integration
- The launch is in collaboration with event-market providers Polymarket, Kalshi, and Myriad.
- Prediction markets achieved record volumes in October alone, with Kalshi and Polymarket handling over $7.4 billion in trades combined.
Tuesday, 02/12/2025 | 14:44 GMT by
Jared Kirui
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