We however focus on reading price action context, because this skill can help you learn how to read price action in real time, while understanding the order flow behind it.
Let's dive into this pair and talk about how you can spot the exhaustion price action ahead of time, and how you can trade it.
USD/CAD Price Action (1hr chart)
Looking at the 1hr chart below, we can see a few horizontal lines on the chart, which represent a few key support levels (A & B).
Both of these levels are role reversal levels, meaning they were treated as resistance by the market, but then treated as support. This increases the strength of a key level, because it means both sides of the market (bids and offers) feel this level is significant enough to place trades around it and stop losses above/below it.
The first level A is really where the most recent run up from 1.2387 to 1.2800, with the bulls holding the line here.
NOTE: We had a buy setup triggered here which we wrote about ahead of time.
The second level B was more of a short term (ST) role reversal level. I say 'short term) because it only acted as resistance for a day, and then support for half a day. Contrast that to level A, which acted as both resistance and support for several days.
Defining Exhaustion Price Action in the Charts
Before we take a closer look at the price action on the charts, I'd like to briefly describe what it means when we say 'exhaustion price action' in the charts.
The move becomes 'exhausted' when there really aren't many players left to enter on the buy or the sell- side. This creates an imbalance in the order flow to one side of the market.
From a price action perspective, this usually manifests in a) a parabolic type move, b) a large bar (larger than almost any bar prior).
USD/CAD 1hr Chart (Closer Look)
Looking at the chart below, we can see three green boxes marked A, B & C, all containing large impulsive moves with trend. If you look at the first two boxes, you'll notice a pattern - that the impulsive moves in the price action were across a 3-4 hour window (3-4 candles).
However, the last one was a little different, and this was one of the tips which led me to suspect an exhaustion climax move before it happened.
This last move in box C was a large impulsive move, but only within one candle. The 1hr bar was the largest in the entire series, suggesting this had the most amount of players into the market on the bid.
Another tip was the corrective moves following each impulsive move (marked in red boxes 1, 2 & 3). In the first two corrective phases, the consolidation was near the highs, with very little pushback from the bears (no strength).
However in the last box (3), we can see the consolidation was near the middle of breakout bar, but also showed more aggressive pullbacks, suggesting a) more profit taking, and b) more strength from the offers.
This led to a lower high, and then sharp reversal today, breaking the prior support around 1.2671, something the market had been unable to do since the last week or so in January (break prior support).
Where to Go from Here?
I suspect a deep pullback is in order as a) a lot of bulls unwind their positions, take profit, have trailing stops triggered, and b) the order book unwinds a bit from the overly bullish bias in the order books as of late.
The first major support zones I am looking at are;
1) the consolidation around 1.2525-1.2555 which is where box 1 is
2) between 1.2380-1.2410 where this most recent bull leg started
I'm guessing bids will be parked in those regions with trend players, with stops below 1.2375. A daily close below here would likely trigger larger medium term stops, and suggest a deeper unwind is taking place.
Considering the BOC has recently surprised with cutting rates to .75%, and hinted at further cuts, I'm suspecting institutional players will be happy to buy on pullbacks at a cheaper price, so am looking to buy on pullbacks.
Medium term my bias will only change on a daily close below 1.2375 & 1.2300. Upside targets remain at 1.2790 & a longer term resistance level just above 1.3045 as there is talk amongst the larger players that will be hit in Q1 or early Q2 2015.
This article is part of the Forex Magnates Community project. If you wish to become a guest contributor, please get in touch with our Community Manager and UGC Editor Leah Grantz leahg@forexmagnates.com or fill out this form.
We however focus on reading price action context, because this skill can help you learn how to read price action in real time, while understanding the order flow behind it.
Let's dive into this pair and talk about how you can spot the exhaustion price action ahead of time, and how you can trade it.
USD/CAD Price Action (1hr chart)
Looking at the 1hr chart below, we can see a few horizontal lines on the chart, which represent a few key support levels (A & B).
Both of these levels are role reversal levels, meaning they were treated as resistance by the market, but then treated as support. This increases the strength of a key level, because it means both sides of the market (bids and offers) feel this level is significant enough to place trades around it and stop losses above/below it.
The first level A is really where the most recent run up from 1.2387 to 1.2800, with the bulls holding the line here.
NOTE: We had a buy setup triggered here which we wrote about ahead of time.
The second level B was more of a short term (ST) role reversal level. I say 'short term) because it only acted as resistance for a day, and then support for half a day. Contrast that to level A, which acted as both resistance and support for several days.
Defining Exhaustion Price Action in the Charts
Before we take a closer look at the price action on the charts, I'd like to briefly describe what it means when we say 'exhaustion price action' in the charts.
The move becomes 'exhausted' when there really aren't many players left to enter on the buy or the sell- side. This creates an imbalance in the order flow to one side of the market.
From a price action perspective, this usually manifests in a) a parabolic type move, b) a large bar (larger than almost any bar prior).
USD/CAD 1hr Chart (Closer Look)
Looking at the chart below, we can see three green boxes marked A, B & C, all containing large impulsive moves with trend. If you look at the first two boxes, you'll notice a pattern - that the impulsive moves in the price action were across a 3-4 hour window (3-4 candles).
However, the last one was a little different, and this was one of the tips which led me to suspect an exhaustion climax move before it happened.
This last move in box C was a large impulsive move, but only within one candle. The 1hr bar was the largest in the entire series, suggesting this had the most amount of players into the market on the bid.
Another tip was the corrective moves following each impulsive move (marked in red boxes 1, 2 & 3). In the first two corrective phases, the consolidation was near the highs, with very little pushback from the bears (no strength).
However in the last box (3), we can see the consolidation was near the middle of breakout bar, but also showed more aggressive pullbacks, suggesting a) more profit taking, and b) more strength from the offers.
This led to a lower high, and then sharp reversal today, breaking the prior support around 1.2671, something the market had been unable to do since the last week or so in January (break prior support).
Where to Go from Here?
I suspect a deep pullback is in order as a) a lot of bulls unwind their positions, take profit, have trailing stops triggered, and b) the order book unwinds a bit from the overly bullish bias in the order books as of late.
The first major support zones I am looking at are;
1) the consolidation around 1.2525-1.2555 which is where box 1 is
2) between 1.2380-1.2410 where this most recent bull leg started
I'm guessing bids will be parked in those regions with trend players, with stops below 1.2375. A daily close below here would likely trigger larger medium term stops, and suggest a deeper unwind is taking place.
Considering the BOC has recently surprised with cutting rates to .75%, and hinted at further cuts, I'm suspecting institutional players will be happy to buy on pullbacks at a cheaper price, so am looking to buy on pullbacks.
Medium term my bias will only change on a daily close below 1.2375 & 1.2300. Upside targets remain at 1.2790 & a longer term resistance level just above 1.3045 as there is talk amongst the larger players that will be hit in Q1 or early Q2 2015.
This article is part of the Forex Magnates Community project. If you wish to become a guest contributor, please get in touch with our Community Manager and UGC Editor Leah Grantz leahg@forexmagnates.com or fill out this form.
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Looking to expand your network in #Africa? Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
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Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
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Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
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▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
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Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔