The price of XRP has retreated after encountering resistance at the $2.86 level, a point where it has faced selling pressure previously. This follows a strong bullish advance that began after the asset formed a double bottom pattern at a key support area.

Meanwhile, a broader forecast for the cryptocurrency market anticipates a substantial rally beginning in October. This analyst prediction is based on a historical four-year cycle and a pivotal regulatory decision deadline from the SEC.

Prediction Based on Historical Cycles

A cryptocurrency analyst has predicted a major market surge. The forecast was made on a YouTube channel called YourPOP. It focuses on October 2025.

The prediction is based on historical trends. The analyst cited the market's “four-year cycle.” This pattern preceded large rallies in 2013, 2017, and 2021. The fourth quarter is often strong for alternative cryptocurrencies .

This outlook comes after a recent decline in the market. Bitcoin was trading near $111,000 at the time of the report. XRP was valued at $0.283. This represented a 5% drop for the week. However, XRP remains up 400% for the year.

XRP ETF as a Key Catalyst

A key factor in the prediction is the potential for an XRP ETF. Betting markets on Polymarket show an 87% chance of approval in October. Nearly 10 applications are currently under review by regulators.

Analysts project an approved XRP ETF could draw $5 to $8 billion in new investments. This is compared to the launch of Bitcoin ETFs. Leveraged XRP ETF assets already total $353 million.

A U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission deadline in October is noted. New regulatory frameworks may also speed up the approval process. Decisions are expected between October and November. The report states that overall market sentiment is currently in “fear” territory. Many investors worry the market cycle has already peaked. The analyst disagrees with this view.

The analysis suggests that market tops are rarely predicted. It encourages a longer-term perspective. It references an investment strategy of buying during periods of fear.

Broader Market Outlook

The forecast also mentions Ethereum. It suggests Ethereum could see a short-term drop to around $3,600. Some experts predict it could reach between $10,000 and $15,000 by the end of the year.

The analyst believes these conditions could help XRP. The asset could break its all-time high of $3.68. Gains of 5 to 10 times its current value are suggested as possible.

Short-Term Volatility, Long-Term Optimism

The analyst expects short-term volatility to continue. This is especially likely around new economic data. However, the conditions are described as setting the stage for a significant October. Historical trends, regulatory decisions, and current sentiment are cited as factors.

XRP Holds Key Level as Analysts Debate Targets

An analyst, Oscar Ramos, noted that XRP holders have shown resilience despite recent price changes. The asset is currently trading near $2.70. Historical trends indicate that September often sees weaker performance, while October and November tend to be stronger. Ramos suggested the $2.70 level could represent a potential buying opportunity based on technical indicators.

A recent analysis by Discover Crypto noted that larger XRP allocations may yield limited returns unless prices reach extreme levels, which would require a market capitalization beyond the current total for the entire crypto market. Technically, the XRP/BTC pair shows tightening Bollinger Bands, indicating potential for a significant price movement.

Several analysts have provided specific projections. CoinsKid identifies short-term support at $2.66 and a minimum upside target of $4.13. Cilinix Crypto sees near-term targets between $3.07 and $3.13, with $3.30 as a longer-term resistance level. DeepSeek AI expects a range of $3.50 to $5.00 by late 2025, with a longer-term potential of $8 to $15 by 2030.

Other forecasts from James Crypto Space and Zack Rector suggest ranges up to $9 and $5–$15, respectively. All analysts note that these outcomes are dependent on broader market conditions, regulatory developments, and adoption trends.