XRPUSD is trading within a defined intraday range. Last week, the cryptocurrency made a higher high but met resistance, triggering a bearish correction. It found support near $3.16, a level tested several times. At the time of writing, the price is again approaching this support level, which could influence its short-term intraday movement.

Meanwhile, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission granted Ripple Labs a waiver from a Regulation D disqualification provision tied to a prior injunction in the Ripple v. SEC lawsuit.

Court Upholds Injunction, SEC Waives

The lawsuit, initiated in December 2020, alleged that Ripple’s sales of XRP violated securities laws. After years of litigation, the parties settled in May 2025. This settlement led to the formal dismissal of appeals and the conclusion of the case.

The court denied Ripple’s request to lift the injunction against further violations. However, the SEC issued a waiver permitting Ripple to use the Regulation D exemption for private offerings despite the injunction.

Ripple Settlement Includes Fine, Restrictions

Under the settlement, Ripple agreed to pay a $125 million fine. The company remains under an injunction concerning unregistered securities sales. The 2023 court ruling that differentiates XRP sales on public exchanges from those to institutional investors remains active.

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Analysts Forecast XRP Price Between $3.50 and $15 by 2030

Technical indicators, such as a TD Sequential sell signal on the three-day chart, indicate the possibility of short-term consolidation or mild downward movement for XRP.

The cryptocurrency remains above the $3.00 support level, with trading volumes elevated and $3.09 serving as a notable resistance point. Medium-term price forecasts range between $4.50 and $9.00 by 2026–2027, while long-term estimates suggest $8.00 to $15.00 by 2030, influenced by regulatory developments and adoption trends.

DeepSeek AI projects XRP could trade between $3.50 and $5.00 by the end of 2025, assuming a 70% chance of a favorable legal outcome for Ripple, which may support investor confidence and institutional interest. This outlook also factors in broader market conditions, including Bitcoin’s performance.

Market analyst Zack Rector expects XRP to reach $5 in the near term and possibly $15 by September, representing a significant increase from current levels, though he highlights the potential impact of market volatility.

James Crypto Space notes that if XRP follows a pattern similar to the 2017 fractal, it could reach $9 by early September, based on historical trends of rapid price increases after breaking key resistance levels.