Financial and Business News

Oracle Stock Soars on AI Forecast, Ellison Closes in on Elon Musk

Wednesday, 10/09/2025 | 08:36 GMT by Louis Parks
  • Oracle’s AI-fueled cloud pitch left analysts “in shock,” and the stock ripped.
  • Management spoke of as much as $144B in cloud revenue, with 77% growth to $18B this year.
  • Ellison’s fortune jumped about $70B, putting him within striking distance of Musk.
Oracle Larry Ellison
Oracle CEO Larry Ellison is closing in on Elon Musk (Oracle PR, Creative Commons 2.0).

Wall Street went slackjawed at Oracle’s supersized cloud revenue vision, the stock popped, and Larry Ellison’s net worth sprinted toward Elon Musk territory.

Shock Therapy for Wall Street

When a company famous for databases drops a revenue outlook that sounds like a startup pitch deck delivered after three espressos, you get either get raised eyebrows, or true amazement when the dust settles.

What’s all the fuss about? Oracle (ORCL) surged more than 25% in Tuesday after-hours trading after saying its AI-driven cloud revenue could reach $144 billion by fiscal 2030, up from under $20 billion this year. Yep. You read that right.

Analysts were certainly jolted, John DiFucci from Guggenheim Securities was “blown away.” Derrick Wood of TD Cowen lauded a “momentous quarter.” But Brad Zelnick of Deutsche Bank summed it best, and most simply when he saud, “We’re all kind of in shock, in a very good way.”

The $144 Billion Line

The headline grabber was Oracle’s cloud ambition, fueled by artificial intelligence (AI). Management told investors to expect Oracle Cloud Infrastructure revenue to jump 77% to about $18 billion this fiscal year, then keep climbing with a long-range path that stretches to as much as $144 billion. Whether you call it a moonshot or a plan with receipts, that figure is the one everyone will be quoting in decks for the next quarter.

The Power of a Narrative

The math here is simple. A huge AI backlog plus a steeper growth ramp equals a stock chart that looks like it discovered caffeine. Shares were up over 25% in afterhours trading, and the market rewarded the audacity with a rally that said investors are willing to pay up for capacity, contracts and a credible lane in AI infrastructure. You do not need to believe every number to see the narrative working on contact.

Ellison vs Musk: A Photo Finish?

Elon Musk
Elon Musk faces competition for the title of "World's Richest Man".

And then there is the scoreboard that really drives conversation at tech dinners. Bloomberg reports Larry Ellison tacked roughly $70 billion onto his fortune as Oracle’s surge reset expectations, leaving him closing in on Elon Musk for the title of world’s richest person. If the stock keeps cooperating, the richest-human leader board might soon feature a new name in the top slot. For a man who once bought a Hawaiian island for fun, this is a different kind of trophy.

Just for the record, the stock surge brought Ellison’s fortune to $364 billion, while Musk sits on a reported $384 billion. Let that sink in.

Musk remains the benchmark for mega-wealth and for being upstream of several industrial narratives at once. What makes Ellison’s push interesting is the engine behind it. This is not a meme-driven spike or a crypto sugar high. It is a big, old-line software house convincing the market that it can leverage its positioning to reap the full reward of the AI goldrush.

Rain on the Parade (Perhaps)

Oracle still has to turn rhetoric into recurring revenue, quarter after quarter, while customers sort out AI budgets and regulators figure out how to spell “computational intensity.” Even if the $144 billion figure is a long-range waypoint, it now lives rent-free in every analyst model and in every competitor’s anxiety dream. If execution lags, the same investors who cheered will start measuring the distance between promise and delivery. For now, the benefit of the doubt is Ellison’s to lose.

For more stories around the edge of finance and tech, visit our Trending section.

Wall Street went slackjawed at Oracle’s supersized cloud revenue vision, the stock popped, and Larry Ellison’s net worth sprinted toward Elon Musk territory.

Shock Therapy for Wall Street

When a company famous for databases drops a revenue outlook that sounds like a startup pitch deck delivered after three espressos, you get either get raised eyebrows, or true amazement when the dust settles.

What’s all the fuss about? Oracle (ORCL) surged more than 25% in Tuesday after-hours trading after saying its AI-driven cloud revenue could reach $144 billion by fiscal 2030, up from under $20 billion this year. Yep. You read that right.

Analysts were certainly jolted, John DiFucci from Guggenheim Securities was “blown away.” Derrick Wood of TD Cowen lauded a “momentous quarter.” But Brad Zelnick of Deutsche Bank summed it best, and most simply when he saud, “We’re all kind of in shock, in a very good way.”

The $144 Billion Line

The headline grabber was Oracle’s cloud ambition, fueled by artificial intelligence (AI). Management told investors to expect Oracle Cloud Infrastructure revenue to jump 77% to about $18 billion this fiscal year, then keep climbing with a long-range path that stretches to as much as $144 billion. Whether you call it a moonshot or a plan with receipts, that figure is the one everyone will be quoting in decks for the next quarter.

The Power of a Narrative

The math here is simple. A huge AI backlog plus a steeper growth ramp equals a stock chart that looks like it discovered caffeine. Shares were up over 25% in afterhours trading, and the market rewarded the audacity with a rally that said investors are willing to pay up for capacity, contracts and a credible lane in AI infrastructure. You do not need to believe every number to see the narrative working on contact.

Ellison vs Musk: A Photo Finish?

Elon Musk
Elon Musk faces competition for the title of "World's Richest Man".

And then there is the scoreboard that really drives conversation at tech dinners. Bloomberg reports Larry Ellison tacked roughly $70 billion onto his fortune as Oracle’s surge reset expectations, leaving him closing in on Elon Musk for the title of world’s richest person. If the stock keeps cooperating, the richest-human leader board might soon feature a new name in the top slot. For a man who once bought a Hawaiian island for fun, this is a different kind of trophy.

Just for the record, the stock surge brought Ellison’s fortune to $364 billion, while Musk sits on a reported $384 billion. Let that sink in.

Musk remains the benchmark for mega-wealth and for being upstream of several industrial narratives at once. What makes Ellison’s push interesting is the engine behind it. This is not a meme-driven spike or a crypto sugar high. It is a big, old-line software house convincing the market that it can leverage its positioning to reap the full reward of the AI goldrush.

Rain on the Parade (Perhaps)

Oracle still has to turn rhetoric into recurring revenue, quarter after quarter, while customers sort out AI budgets and regulators figure out how to spell “computational intensity.” Even if the $144 billion figure is a long-range waypoint, it now lives rent-free in every analyst model and in every competitor’s anxiety dream. If execution lags, the same investors who cheered will start measuring the distance between promise and delivery. For now, the benefit of the doubt is Ellison’s to lose.

For more stories around the edge of finance and tech, visit our Trending section.

About the Author: Louis Parks
Louis Parks
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Louis Parks has lived and worked in and around the Middle East for much of his professional career. He writes about the meeting of the tech and finance worlds.

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