What AI Actually Took From Bitcoin

Monday, 12/10/2026 | 12:09 GMT by Petr Sergeev
Disclaimer
  • Bitcoin recovered while the AI trade was still booming. That makes the old story about investors choosing one technological future over another much harder to argue.
What AI Actually Took From Bitcoin

Bitcoin needs to stop competing with AI for attention. If the case for owning it still depends on being the most exciting bet on the future, then years of institutionalisation have done less than crypto likes to admit.

For years, that asset had a very convenient advantage. It gave investors tech, finance, rebellion and the thrill of being early, all in a single liquid investment. AI now offers much of that excitement in a form traditional investors already know how to read through earnings, capital spending and companies with businesses they can actually model.

Crypto seems strangely worried by that. I am not. Bitcoin losing its monopoly on speculative excitement is only a problem if excitement was doing more of the work than the industry wants to acknowledge.

Back in June, there was an almost suspiciously convenient explanation for Bitcoin’s bad year - investors had simply found something more exciting. It was trading around $63,000, down almost a third in 2026, while semiconductor stocks were among the market’s biggest winners. Major semiconductor ETFs had taken in more than $21 billion that year, while Bitcoin ETFs had recorded roughly $3.1 billion in net outflows. Reuters described it as investors cooling on Bitcoin while chasing AI and a new wave of major tech listings. It was an easy story to believe. Maybe too easy.

By August, that explanation looked much less convincing. Bitcoin had climbed back above $80,000 and at one point was up 28% for the month, its strongest monthly gain since November 2024. AI enthusiasm had barely cooled. Nvidia jumped 8.7% after another strong forecast, while estimates for 2026 capital spending by Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Oracle had risen from about $485 billion in January to roughly $730 billion by July.

Bitcoin was recovering while investors were still extremely enthusiastic about AI. I think crypto has been far too quick to confuse losing the spotlight with losing the investment case.

Bitcoin used to combine several ideas into one trade

If what you want is a clean play on technological acceleration, AI is hard to beat right now. The money is there, in corporate spending, in the race to build data centers and in the prices investors are willing to pay for the companies supplying the computing power.

This is where I think the June interpretation lost its way. The money leaving Bitcoin ETFs for semiconductor funds was real, but the conclusion was much harder to support. The asset had supposedly lost the “future trade,” and therefore part of its reason to exist. I do not buy that. That argument only works if it still needs technological novelty to attract capital, and I think that stopped being true years ago.

What AI seems to have taken from Bitcoin is not its ability to attract capital, but a role it once had almost to itself: the liquid bet that let investors feel they had spotted the future before everyone else. But its ownership base looks very different now. Regulated products have opened it to funds that once would not have touched it, while investors with no interest in crypto culture are perfectly comfortable discussing Bitcoin as a monetary asset.

It can still be speculative, volatile and deeply irrational at times. But plenty of people buying it today are not trying to discover the next technology before everyone else. AI did not take those reasons away. It took over one job Bitcoin used to perform exceptionally well: making investors feel that they had spotted the future early.

I think crypto gives up far too much by treating the loss of that job as a loss for Bitcoin itself. But that is only half of the argument. In the second part, I want to look at why crypto is so uncomfortable with losing that role, and whether Bitcoin actually needs it back.

Bitcoin needs to stop competing with AI for attention. If the case for owning it still depends on being the most exciting bet on the future, then years of institutionalisation have done less than crypto likes to admit.

For years, that asset had a very convenient advantage. It gave investors tech, finance, rebellion and the thrill of being early, all in a single liquid investment. AI now offers much of that excitement in a form traditional investors already know how to read through earnings, capital spending and companies with businesses they can actually model.

Crypto seems strangely worried by that. I am not. Bitcoin losing its monopoly on speculative excitement is only a problem if excitement was doing more of the work than the industry wants to acknowledge.

Back in June, there was an almost suspiciously convenient explanation for Bitcoin’s bad year - investors had simply found something more exciting. It was trading around $63,000, down almost a third in 2026, while semiconductor stocks were among the market’s biggest winners. Major semiconductor ETFs had taken in more than $21 billion that year, while Bitcoin ETFs had recorded roughly $3.1 billion in net outflows. Reuters described it as investors cooling on Bitcoin while chasing AI and a new wave of major tech listings. It was an easy story to believe. Maybe too easy.

By August, that explanation looked much less convincing. Bitcoin had climbed back above $80,000 and at one point was up 28% for the month, its strongest monthly gain since November 2024. AI enthusiasm had barely cooled. Nvidia jumped 8.7% after another strong forecast, while estimates for 2026 capital spending by Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Oracle had risen from about $485 billion in January to roughly $730 billion by July.

Bitcoin was recovering while investors were still extremely enthusiastic about AI. I think crypto has been far too quick to confuse losing the spotlight with losing the investment case.

Bitcoin used to combine several ideas into one trade

If what you want is a clean play on technological acceleration, AI is hard to beat right now. The money is there, in corporate spending, in the race to build data centers and in the prices investors are willing to pay for the companies supplying the computing power.

This is where I think the June interpretation lost its way. The money leaving Bitcoin ETFs for semiconductor funds was real, but the conclusion was much harder to support. The asset had supposedly lost the “future trade,” and therefore part of its reason to exist. I do not buy that. That argument only works if it still needs technological novelty to attract capital, and I think that stopped being true years ago.

What AI seems to have taken from Bitcoin is not its ability to attract capital, but a role it once had almost to itself: the liquid bet that let investors feel they had spotted the future before everyone else. But its ownership base looks very different now. Regulated products have opened it to funds that once would not have touched it, while investors with no interest in crypto culture are perfectly comfortable discussing Bitcoin as a monetary asset.

It can still be speculative, volatile and deeply irrational at times. But plenty of people buying it today are not trying to discover the next technology before everyone else. AI did not take those reasons away. It took over one job Bitcoin used to perform exceptionally well: making investors feel that they had spotted the future early.

I think crypto gives up far too much by treating the loss of that job as a loss for Bitcoin itself. But that is only half of the argument. In the second part, I want to look at why crypto is so uncomfortable with losing that role, and whether Bitcoin actually needs it back.

Disclaimer

Thought Leadership

!"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|} !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}