World Cup
Independent Prediction Markets Converged on Nearly Identical World Cup Probabilities as Trading Hit Record Highs
- Polymarket and Kalshi independently priced Spain at almost identical probabilities ahead of the World Cup final.
- The World Cup proved that independent prediction markets can arrive at similar prices even without shared liquidity or participants.
Monday, 20/07/2026 | 20:21 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Inside the Prediction Markets: Kalshi Expands Perpetuals as World Cup Trading Hits New Highs
- Kalshi is exploring perpetual futures on metals, foreign exchange, and energy after processing $16.1 billion in volume since May.
- A single World Cup match generated about $460 million in prediction market trading, highlighting the growing role of live sports in platform activity.
Friday, 10/07/2026 | 19:05 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Plus500 Placed Its Sports Bet Just in Time as World Cup Shatters Prediction Market Records
- Polymarket's "World Cup Winner" market has attracted $4 billion, the largest single market in the platform's history.
- Plus500 added Kalshi's sports contracts to its US platform weeks before the tournament.
Monday, 06/07/2026 | 15:00 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova
Bulls, Bears and the Beautiful Game: Does the World Cup Actually Kill the Market?
- Data from the last three tournaments suggests that while the world’s attention shifts to the pitch, the expected market slumber is far from a certainty.
- Prediction markets, where contracts on the World Cup winner have climbed to $2 billion so far, might grow retail engagement more so than ever before.
Thursday, 11/06/2026 | 13:00 GMT by
Adonis Adoni
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