Elaborating on client activity's correlation with financial markets volatility
As I have discussed in my Ph.D. thesis titled “Heterogeneity and skill in the retail EUR/USD FX market – Investigating the impact of uncertainty and behavioural biases of trader skills,” there exists extensive evidence showing a positive relationship between market volatility and trader participation.
The underlying reason would seem to be that heightened market volatility produces large price swings, which traders interpret as potentially highly profitable. However, high volatility can also be detrimental to performance, especially for highly-leveraged trading positions. As a result, the higher the market volatility, the less the trader can gauge the direction of the market, and therefore, the less likely the individual becomes in being able to demonstrate their skill.
In other words, heightened levels of volatility will negatively impact a trader’s skill and performance over time.
To determine where the current volatility is with respect to financial brokers, one could gauge the FX EURO VIX Volatility indicator. Since the majority of order flow amongst FX brokers occurs within the EUR/USD currency pair, market volatility directly reflects bottom-line profitability. By extension, one could assume that the higher the market volatility, the higher the profitability of the broker.
How can we gauge ‘quality’ amongst brokers?
Quality investing is a new investment strategy which can teach us whether an investment is worth pursuing over time.
Here are five key attributes:
Market Positioning: Does the industry have growth potential?
Business Model: Is the company healthy (growing turnover, low debt, and competitive products)?
Corporate Governance: Does the company have the appropriate top-level management personnel and size?
Financial Strength: Does the company have financial momentum (revenue, cash flow and earnings)?
Attractive Valuation shown as:
High Discounted Cash Flow (DCF);
Low Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E ratio);
Low Price to Book Value Ratio (P/B ratio).
If we were to apply the ‘quality strategy’ to the largest UK brokers, we could obtain the following results.
Bank of International Settlements – A Growing Market
Is the retail FX market growing?
To answer this question, we can refer to the most recent BIS report to discover that from 2013 to 2016 the FX market experienced a negative rate of growth in terms of spot FX transactions.
If this is true, we would expect to see further market consolidation (regulation, higher CPAs, etc.) – and this is precisely what we have seen in the past three years.
Alexa – Percentage of Visitors
Google Trends – FOREX Trading Interest by Region
Business Model
A snapshot of the current state of the companies as of 08.03.2019 including turnover growth, debt, and competitive products.
When it comes to leading a company, holistic thinking is very important, especially in a leadership role. Some companies may exhibit this in the beginning (accelerated growth) but need to continue doing it over time.
In some respects, the exception to this rule is Plus500. The company has struggled to introduce new products that have appealed to retail traders. This could potentially indicate that a change in Management is required, and product innovation needs to be promoted. Its current predicament could mean that the company is forced to unveil a slew of new products in the near future.
CMC markets could potentially be in a position to demonstrate its tenacity by hiring or promoting one of its own into a marketing leadership role. This move would be in sharp contrast to the modus operandi implemented by lower-tier high growth companies such as Forextime and XM and would seek to seize the current market opportunity to extend its growth in emerging markets. CMC Management may decide to include marketing and product innovation rather than just a cost-cutting model.
Finally, IG Group should maintain its dominance by keeping a close eye on the current competition and not becoming distracted by the proverbial ‘American Dream.’ New market entrants such as IQ Option, Olymp Trade, and XM have been grabbing market share, but IG is well-positioned to respond. The bad news for the UK broker is that it has become preoccupied with internal politics instead of staying focused on innovation and maintaining its strategic objectives.
In many respects, IG has become a marketing factory with a monolithic bureaucracy that resembles the Hollywood series House of Cards. Just like in the series, it could be time for an old elite to be supplanted by a leaner and more ambitious leadership team that is modern and progressive. This was the developmental path taken by Plus500 and could be a move that IG’s board considers.
When brokers encounter low market volatility, a variety of mitigative measures can be implemented to reduce the knock-on effect on performance:
Restructuring, including cost reduction and competition analysis;
Simplifying and promoting innovative products;
Investing in digital marketing and obtaining exposure in new markets;
Greater focus on client retention and reducing cost-heavy client acquisition initiatives.
Demetrios Zamboglou is the COO of ICON Capital Reserve
As I have discussed in my Ph.D. thesis titled “Heterogeneity and skill in the retail EUR/USD FX market – Investigating the impact of uncertainty and behavioural biases of trader skills,” there exists extensive evidence showing a positive relationship between market volatility and trader participation.
The underlying reason would seem to be that heightened market volatility produces large price swings, which traders interpret as potentially highly profitable. However, high volatility can also be detrimental to performance, especially for highly-leveraged trading positions. As a result, the higher the market volatility, the less the trader can gauge the direction of the market, and therefore, the less likely the individual becomes in being able to demonstrate their skill.
In other words, heightened levels of volatility will negatively impact a trader’s skill and performance over time.
To determine where the current volatility is with respect to financial brokers, one could gauge the FX EURO VIX Volatility indicator. Since the majority of order flow amongst FX brokers occurs within the EUR/USD currency pair, market volatility directly reflects bottom-line profitability. By extension, one could assume that the higher the market volatility, the higher the profitability of the broker.
How can we gauge ‘quality’ amongst brokers?
Quality investing is a new investment strategy which can teach us whether an investment is worth pursuing over time.
Here are five key attributes:
Market Positioning: Does the industry have growth potential?
Business Model: Is the company healthy (growing turnover, low debt, and competitive products)?
Corporate Governance: Does the company have the appropriate top-level management personnel and size?
Financial Strength: Does the company have financial momentum (revenue, cash flow and earnings)?
Attractive Valuation shown as:
High Discounted Cash Flow (DCF);
Low Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E ratio);
Low Price to Book Value Ratio (P/B ratio).
If we were to apply the ‘quality strategy’ to the largest UK brokers, we could obtain the following results.
Bank of International Settlements – A Growing Market
Is the retail FX market growing?
To answer this question, we can refer to the most recent BIS report to discover that from 2013 to 2016 the FX market experienced a negative rate of growth in terms of spot FX transactions.
If this is true, we would expect to see further market consolidation (regulation, higher CPAs, etc.) – and this is precisely what we have seen in the past three years.
Alexa – Percentage of Visitors
Google Trends – FOREX Trading Interest by Region
Business Model
A snapshot of the current state of the companies as of 08.03.2019 including turnover growth, debt, and competitive products.
When it comes to leading a company, holistic thinking is very important, especially in a leadership role. Some companies may exhibit this in the beginning (accelerated growth) but need to continue doing it over time.
In some respects, the exception to this rule is Plus500. The company has struggled to introduce new products that have appealed to retail traders. This could potentially indicate that a change in Management is required, and product innovation needs to be promoted. Its current predicament could mean that the company is forced to unveil a slew of new products in the near future.
CMC markets could potentially be in a position to demonstrate its tenacity by hiring or promoting one of its own into a marketing leadership role. This move would be in sharp contrast to the modus operandi implemented by lower-tier high growth companies such as Forextime and XM and would seek to seize the current market opportunity to extend its growth in emerging markets. CMC Management may decide to include marketing and product innovation rather than just a cost-cutting model.
Finally, IG Group should maintain its dominance by keeping a close eye on the current competition and not becoming distracted by the proverbial ‘American Dream.’ New market entrants such as IQ Option, Olymp Trade, and XM have been grabbing market share, but IG is well-positioned to respond. The bad news for the UK broker is that it has become preoccupied with internal politics instead of staying focused on innovation and maintaining its strategic objectives.
In many respects, IG has become a marketing factory with a monolithic bureaucracy that resembles the Hollywood series House of Cards. Just like in the series, it could be time for an old elite to be supplanted by a leaner and more ambitious leadership team that is modern and progressive. This was the developmental path taken by Plus500 and could be a move that IG’s board considers.
When brokers encounter low market volatility, a variety of mitigative measures can be implemented to reduce the knock-on effect on performance:
Restructuring, including cost reduction and competition analysis;
Simplifying and promoting innovative products;
Investing in digital marketing and obtaining exposure in new markets;
Greater focus on client retention and reducing cost-heavy client acquisition initiatives.
Demetrios Zamboglou is the COO of ICON Capital Reserve
Demetrios Zamboglou is an online retail trading veteran with almost two decades of experience in financial markets, including as a C-level executive and via his academic research at King’s College London University.
CMC Markets Reaffirms £360 Million Guidance as Revolut Deal Gains Traction
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In this video, Sherwan Zeybo, Head of Business Development at @fxgtofficial , discusses the growth and development of the CFD broker since its inception in 2019. Starting with a small team, FXGT has expanded to over 280 employees and obtained multiple licenses across various jurisdictions. Sher highlights the broker's commitment to providing security, transparency, and a comprehensive trading environment for clients. Sherwan also mentions upcoming developments, including a new trading app and a web trading platform, as well as a copy trading and social trading platform.
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In this video, Sherwan Zeybo, Head of Business Development at @fxgtofficial , discusses the growth and development of the CFD broker since its inception in 2019. Starting with a small team, FXGT has expanded to over 280 employees and obtained multiple licenses across various jurisdictions. Sher highlights the broker's commitment to providing security, transparency, and a comprehensive trading environment for clients. Sherwan also mentions upcoming developments, including a new trading app and a web trading platform, as well as a copy trading and social trading platform.
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In this video, Sherwan Zeybo, Head of Business Development at @fxgtofficial , discusses the growth and development of the CFD broker since its inception in 2019. Starting with a small team, FXGT has expanded to over 280 employees and obtained multiple licenses across various jurisdictions. Sher highlights the broker's commitment to providing security, transparency, and a comprehensive trading environment for clients. Sherwan also mentions upcoming developments, including a new trading app and a web trading platform, as well as a copy trading and social trading platform.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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Tom Higgins | Gold-i
Tom Higgins | Gold-i
Tom Higgins | Gold-i
Tom Higgins | Gold-i
Tom Higgins | Gold-i
Tom Higgins | Gold-i
In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
#financemagnates #CryptoLiquidity #FXLiquidity #AIinTrading #BitcoinETF #TradingTechnology
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Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
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🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
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Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24