In abbreviated trading on Bitcoin Black Friday, the shares closed higher by 11.96% at $47.00, playing catchup to bitcoin’s huge gains from the day before.
Each share currently represents approximately 0.0959 BTC. Friday’s closing price implies an underlying bitcoin value of $490, which is a 36% premium to the actual bitcoin price of $359. Shares hit an intraday high of $51.50, their highest level since hitting $57.00 during bitcoin’s spike to $500 earlier in the month.
Premiums have been rising in the wake of that spike, possibly a result of renewed investor appetite for one of the only regulated bitcoin instruments available to the public.
When the shares became publicly available in May, investors initially paid premiums in excess of 100% to get their hands on them. The shares then quickly shed 80% of their premium, which has since typically hovered between 10% and 25%.
When the bitcoin rally started to gain momentum in late October, GBTC failed to keep pace. At various points, the shares actually traded at a discount to their implied bitcoin value for the first time in their publicly traded history (weekends, when bitcoin trading continues but equity markets are closed, are not included).
Thereafter, premiums reversed higher to well above typical levels, approaching 50% two weeks ago, and holding in the 35% to 40% range since.
‘Irrational Pricing’
Jeff Born, Professor of Finance at the D'Amore-McKim School of Business at Northeastern University in Boston, likened the shares’ behavior to that of closed-end mutual funds. He told Finance Magnates:
“There is considerable academic research that suggests that closed-end mutual funds are owned by small investors – who are generally thought to be less sophisticated than professional money managers. As a result, many argue that the prices of closed-end funds are not always rational. I suspect the same thing is at work with the Bitcoin Investment Trust.”
He also attributed bitcoin’s recent rise to concern over the US dollar’s use as a reserve currency.
“China has been vocal about wanting an alternative to the US dollar, and this has many gloom/doom investors believing that they will engineer a collapse in the value of the dollar (relative to other currencies). These Armageddon-type investors tend to gravitate toward other ‘hard’ investments like gold,” he said.
Other theories have been floated to explain the rally, including one blaming Chinese investors rushing to buy bitcoins for a Russian Ponzi scheme.
The seemingly irrational GBTC price premiums, according to Ryder Taff, Portfolio Manager at Ridgeland, MS-based New Perspectives, stem from factors relating to available supply and demand.
As to why the premium is maintained even when considering the equally relative ease with which the shares can be sold off, this too is a matter of supply and demand. “The supply of money ready to go into exchange traded investments, like the trust, is just much much greater than the supply of money ready to go into bitcoin, which, for all of the attention it gets, is still a very niche thing,“ he argued.
Also worth noting is that some of the notable movements in the GBTC premium value were in fact a result of delayed reactions by the shares to the bitcoin price. During the negative premiums one month ago, for example, the shares moved slightly lower even as bitcoin steadily climbed higher. The recent increases to premium levels may have therefore resulted from investor excitement in response to the big rally.
In general, the price premium may also result from a ‘higher bitcoin value’ investors bake into the shares than bitcoin itself. GBTC is a regulated instrument and investors need not fear losses arising from hacking-related theft, unlike raw bitcoin, whose inherent risks may be factored by investors into its relative value.
However, a number of other avenues exist that would seemingly also offer peace of mind. For example, shares of Bitcoin Tracker One are traded on the Stockholm Stock Exchange, and not for a hefty premium. There are also bitcoin wallet offerings that make hacking-related theft practically impossible, and some come with insurance.
In abbreviated trading on Bitcoin Black Friday, the shares closed higher by 11.96% at $47.00, playing catchup to bitcoin’s huge gains from the day before.
Each share currently represents approximately 0.0959 BTC. Friday’s closing price implies an underlying bitcoin value of $490, which is a 36% premium to the actual bitcoin price of $359. Shares hit an intraday high of $51.50, their highest level since hitting $57.00 during bitcoin’s spike to $500 earlier in the month.
Premiums have been rising in the wake of that spike, possibly a result of renewed investor appetite for one of the only regulated bitcoin instruments available to the public.
When the shares became publicly available in May, investors initially paid premiums in excess of 100% to get their hands on them. The shares then quickly shed 80% of their premium, which has since typically hovered between 10% and 25%.
When the bitcoin rally started to gain momentum in late October, GBTC failed to keep pace. At various points, the shares actually traded at a discount to their implied bitcoin value for the first time in their publicly traded history (weekends, when bitcoin trading continues but equity markets are closed, are not included).
Thereafter, premiums reversed higher to well above typical levels, approaching 50% two weeks ago, and holding in the 35% to 40% range since.
‘Irrational Pricing’
Jeff Born, Professor of Finance at the D'Amore-McKim School of Business at Northeastern University in Boston, likened the shares’ behavior to that of closed-end mutual funds. He told Finance Magnates:
“There is considerable academic research that suggests that closed-end mutual funds are owned by small investors – who are generally thought to be less sophisticated than professional money managers. As a result, many argue that the prices of closed-end funds are not always rational. I suspect the same thing is at work with the Bitcoin Investment Trust.”
He also attributed bitcoin’s recent rise to concern over the US dollar’s use as a reserve currency.
“China has been vocal about wanting an alternative to the US dollar, and this has many gloom/doom investors believing that they will engineer a collapse in the value of the dollar (relative to other currencies). These Armageddon-type investors tend to gravitate toward other ‘hard’ investments like gold,” he said.
Other theories have been floated to explain the rally, including one blaming Chinese investors rushing to buy bitcoins for a Russian Ponzi scheme.
The seemingly irrational GBTC price premiums, according to Ryder Taff, Portfolio Manager at Ridgeland, MS-based New Perspectives, stem from factors relating to available supply and demand.
As to why the premium is maintained even when considering the equally relative ease with which the shares can be sold off, this too is a matter of supply and demand. “The supply of money ready to go into exchange traded investments, like the trust, is just much much greater than the supply of money ready to go into bitcoin, which, for all of the attention it gets, is still a very niche thing,“ he argued.
Also worth noting is that some of the notable movements in the GBTC premium value were in fact a result of delayed reactions by the shares to the bitcoin price. During the negative premiums one month ago, for example, the shares moved slightly lower even as bitcoin steadily climbed higher. The recent increases to premium levels may have therefore resulted from investor excitement in response to the big rally.
In general, the price premium may also result from a ‘higher bitcoin value’ investors bake into the shares than bitcoin itself. GBTC is a regulated instrument and investors need not fear losses arising from hacking-related theft, unlike raw bitcoin, whose inherent risks may be factored by investors into its relative value.
However, a number of other avenues exist that would seemingly also offer peace of mind. For example, shares of Bitcoin Tracker One are traded on the Stockholm Stock Exchange, and not for a hefty premium. There are also bitcoin wallet offerings that make hacking-related theft practically impossible, and some come with insurance.
Why You Should Consider Investing in These Three Cryptocurrencies
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Sherwan Zeybo | FXGT | Executive Interviews
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In this video, Sherwan Zeybo, Head of Business Development at @fxgtofficial , discusses the growth and development of the CFD broker since its inception in 2019. Starting with a small team, FXGT has expanded to over 280 employees and obtained multiple licenses across various jurisdictions. Sher highlights the broker's commitment to providing security, transparency, and a comprehensive trading environment for clients. Sherwan also mentions upcoming developments, including a new trading app and a web trading platform, as well as a copy trading and social trading platform.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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Tom Higgins | Gold-i
Tom Higgins | Gold-i
Tom Higgins | Gold-i
Tom Higgins | Gold-i
Tom Higgins | Gold-i
Tom Higgins | Gold-i
In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
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Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
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📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
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FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24