How serious is the threat that quantum computing poses to blockchain technology, and what can be done about it?
Finance Magnates
The science of quantum physics is being used to build quantum computers — powerful machines that have the ability to solve incredibly complex mathematical equations much more quickly than even the most advanced computers available today.
As such, any data that’s encrypted using mathematical equations — including banking data, intelligence data protected by the government, and encrypted messages on cell phones — is vulnerable to being exposed by quantum computing. Most notably, in this case, encrypted cryptocurrency data — such as private wallet keys--are also vulnerable to quantum computing technology.
Therefore, the point in time at which quantum computers can solve problems that ordinary computers cannot — also known as the “quantum supremacy” — is considered to be a serious threat to the security of blockchain networks.
Qubits and the “quantum supremacy”
How far away are we from this “quantum supremacy”?
“Last week,” joked Kadan Stadelmann, CTO of Komodo, a multichain architecture project, to Finance Magnates.
Kadan Stadelmann, CTO of Komodo, a multichain architecture project.
In any case, “jokes apart, from a technical standpoint, we have to consider the ‘quantum supremacy’ era already here - now. The industry leaders in this area have already publicly presented functional two to three-figure qubit chips, which means with ‘unlimited’ resources and space, this could be scaled up quite fast.”
“Google, for example, just presented how their 54 Qubit chip performed a computation which would take the world's most powerful supercomputer 10,000 years in just 200 seconds. This doesn’t even cover the non-public segment of this industry.”
Google has achieved “quantum supremacy.” Just what the heck is that? https://t.co/yuJDq6SxiY
What are “qubits”? While a classical computer uses “bits,” which are represented either 0s or 1s. Qubits, on the other hand, can be 0s or 1s — or both at different times. Qubits are the thing that makes quantum computers so powerful: if a normal computer is operating with four bits, that computer could arrange those bits in any of 16 combinations, one after the other, in order to solve an equation.
With four qubits, however, a quantum computer could arrange four qubits into 16 combinations all at one time. According to Decrypt, “just 20 qubits can store more than a million values in parallel, which allows a quantum computer to be able to work through a problem by performing calculations in parallel rather than one at a time.”
”The threat posed by quantum computers is more likely to concern the vulnerability of personal cryptocurrency accounts or wallets.”
However, Vlad Miller, CEO of the Ethereum Express company, explained that blockchain network ledgers are not susceptible to hacking by quantum computers.
“Today, records of all cryptocurrency transactions are stored on blockchain. Since the copies of the data are distributed among all users, they are almost impossible to change,” he said. “No data block can be removed or modified without affecting all other blocks, which would require the consent of most network users. In this sense, blockchain is resistant to quantum computers, and the growth of computing power will not affect the security of the system.”
Indeed, “the threat posed by quantum computers is more likely to concern the vulnerability of personal cryptocurrency accounts or wallets. These powerful computers can hack user codes that are used to authorize transactions.”
“[...] Until recently, this was considered mathematically impossible,” Miller continued. “An ordinary binary computer is not able to crack a cryptocurrency key, but for quantum machines, this is not difficult because of the incredible computing power.”
Charles Phan, Charles Phan, CTO of Cryptocurrency Derivatives Exchange Interdax, also pointed out to Finance Magnates that "the SHA-256 function used in mining is another area where quantum computers could influence bitcoin [and] crypto. However, the risk is much lower here."
Charles Phan, CTO of cryptocurrency exchange Interdax.
"An adversary with a quantum computer could also direct it towards mining bitcoin - if they achieve 51% control of the hash power, then they can permit double-spending and do what it likes. They could also cause damage to the network if they control a significant proportion of less than 51%."
”Eventually, quantum computers will force changes in cryptocurrency systems.”
How immediate is the threat of quantum computing to blockchain networks, and what can these networks do to protect themselves?
“Over time, cryptocurrencies will need to evolve to use different encryption and hashing methods that are quantum-resistant. Crypto communities should be talking about how to do this, but it's not yet an emergency.”
Ed Felten, Co-Founder and Chief Scientist of Offchain Labs, a second-layer scaling solution for Ethereum.
At what point will it become an emergency? Vlad Miller said that although the United States National Security Agency predicted in 2016 that “decades” would pass before quantum computers pose a serious threat to encrypted information, “given the pace of development of this technology over the past year and a half, the conclusions of the NSA seem overly optimistic. In fact, many experts believe that the threat will arise in the next 15 or even ten years.”
Preparing for the “quantum supremacy”
Therefore, a number of blockchain projects are already preparing for this “quantum supremacy.”
Kadan Stadelmann explained that “while [quantum computers] certainly pose a long-term threat to most cryptocurrencies in their current form, the more legitimate projects are already deploying countermeasures in the form of quantum-proof cryptography.”
People ask me about Google's quantum computer. I am skeptical. There have been false alarms before. But if their results are reproducible and testable by other groups, then it might be a game changer. We have to wait and see before making final judgement.
“Even already existing cryptocurrency networks will be able to migrate to quantum-resistant algorithms and digital signature schemes,” he said.
Therefore, “by the time quantum computers are ‘available’ to the wider public, expect most remaining cryptocurrencies to have already made the leap into the quantum-resistance movement (so to speak.)”
The threat of quantum computing is a solvable problem for crypto--but only if consensus on a solution can be achieved
However, this may be easier said than done — ”metaphorically [speaking], pre-existing chains can already flip a switch and immediately deploy a quantum-resistance mechanism,” Stadelmann said to Finance Magnates. However, networks that have historically found it difficult to reach consensus on important software upgrades (for example, the Bitcoin network) could potentially run into trouble.
"If a quantum computer breaks this cryptography used by Bitcoin, anyone who has re-used a bitcoin address is vulnerable," Charles Phan explained. However, "the information a quantum computer needs isn’t available until the first transaction from a public key is seen, so individuals who use a different public key each time would be safe.
Still, though, “quantum processors threaten only the modern generation of cryptocurrencies like bitcoin,” Vlad Miller explained to Finance Magnates.
“To protect them, users will have to switch to new authentication methods for authorizing transactions in blockchain-based networks.”
Indeed, “the solution to this problem will be new methods of cryptography resistant to quantum computing. Today many crypto companies are developing a wide range of such solutions. Some of them are based on long-discovered mathematical methods, such as Lamport's signatures, Merkle structures, and the sharing of secrets.”
Therefore, it is quite likely that blockchain networks will be secure from the threat that quantum computing poses. “Platforms will ‘change their locks’ once quantum computers start to move out of the lab,” said Matthew Hine, Business Strategist at Radix., to Finance Magnates.
Matthew Hine, Business Strategist at Radix.
“But everyone should be very hesitant to publicly publish encrypted information with the expectation that it will be secret forever.”
The science of quantum physics is being used to build quantum computers — powerful machines that have the ability to solve incredibly complex mathematical equations much more quickly than even the most advanced computers available today.
As such, any data that’s encrypted using mathematical equations — including banking data, intelligence data protected by the government, and encrypted messages on cell phones — is vulnerable to being exposed by quantum computing. Most notably, in this case, encrypted cryptocurrency data — such as private wallet keys--are also vulnerable to quantum computing technology.
Therefore, the point in time at which quantum computers can solve problems that ordinary computers cannot — also known as the “quantum supremacy” — is considered to be a serious threat to the security of blockchain networks.
Qubits and the “quantum supremacy”
How far away are we from this “quantum supremacy”?
“Last week,” joked Kadan Stadelmann, CTO of Komodo, a multichain architecture project, to Finance Magnates.
Kadan Stadelmann, CTO of Komodo, a multichain architecture project.
In any case, “jokes apart, from a technical standpoint, we have to consider the ‘quantum supremacy’ era already here - now. The industry leaders in this area have already publicly presented functional two to three-figure qubit chips, which means with ‘unlimited’ resources and space, this could be scaled up quite fast.”
“Google, for example, just presented how their 54 Qubit chip performed a computation which would take the world's most powerful supercomputer 10,000 years in just 200 seconds. This doesn’t even cover the non-public segment of this industry.”
Google has achieved “quantum supremacy.” Just what the heck is that? https://t.co/yuJDq6SxiY
What are “qubits”? While a classical computer uses “bits,” which are represented either 0s or 1s. Qubits, on the other hand, can be 0s or 1s — or both at different times. Qubits are the thing that makes quantum computers so powerful: if a normal computer is operating with four bits, that computer could arrange those bits in any of 16 combinations, one after the other, in order to solve an equation.
With four qubits, however, a quantum computer could arrange four qubits into 16 combinations all at one time. According to Decrypt, “just 20 qubits can store more than a million values in parallel, which allows a quantum computer to be able to work through a problem by performing calculations in parallel rather than one at a time.”
”The threat posed by quantum computers is more likely to concern the vulnerability of personal cryptocurrency accounts or wallets.”
However, Vlad Miller, CEO of the Ethereum Express company, explained that blockchain network ledgers are not susceptible to hacking by quantum computers.
“Today, records of all cryptocurrency transactions are stored on blockchain. Since the copies of the data are distributed among all users, they are almost impossible to change,” he said. “No data block can be removed or modified without affecting all other blocks, which would require the consent of most network users. In this sense, blockchain is resistant to quantum computers, and the growth of computing power will not affect the security of the system.”
Indeed, “the threat posed by quantum computers is more likely to concern the vulnerability of personal cryptocurrency accounts or wallets. These powerful computers can hack user codes that are used to authorize transactions.”
“[...] Until recently, this was considered mathematically impossible,” Miller continued. “An ordinary binary computer is not able to crack a cryptocurrency key, but for quantum machines, this is not difficult because of the incredible computing power.”
Charles Phan, Charles Phan, CTO of Cryptocurrency Derivatives Exchange Interdax, also pointed out to Finance Magnates that "the SHA-256 function used in mining is another area where quantum computers could influence bitcoin [and] crypto. However, the risk is much lower here."
Charles Phan, CTO of cryptocurrency exchange Interdax.
"An adversary with a quantum computer could also direct it towards mining bitcoin - if they achieve 51% control of the hash power, then they can permit double-spending and do what it likes. They could also cause damage to the network if they control a significant proportion of less than 51%."
”Eventually, quantum computers will force changes in cryptocurrency systems.”
How immediate is the threat of quantum computing to blockchain networks, and what can these networks do to protect themselves?
“Over time, cryptocurrencies will need to evolve to use different encryption and hashing methods that are quantum-resistant. Crypto communities should be talking about how to do this, but it's not yet an emergency.”
Ed Felten, Co-Founder and Chief Scientist of Offchain Labs, a second-layer scaling solution for Ethereum.
At what point will it become an emergency? Vlad Miller said that although the United States National Security Agency predicted in 2016 that “decades” would pass before quantum computers pose a serious threat to encrypted information, “given the pace of development of this technology over the past year and a half, the conclusions of the NSA seem overly optimistic. In fact, many experts believe that the threat will arise in the next 15 or even ten years.”
Preparing for the “quantum supremacy”
Therefore, a number of blockchain projects are already preparing for this “quantum supremacy.”
Kadan Stadelmann explained that “while [quantum computers] certainly pose a long-term threat to most cryptocurrencies in their current form, the more legitimate projects are already deploying countermeasures in the form of quantum-proof cryptography.”
People ask me about Google's quantum computer. I am skeptical. There have been false alarms before. But if their results are reproducible and testable by other groups, then it might be a game changer. We have to wait and see before making final judgement.
“Even already existing cryptocurrency networks will be able to migrate to quantum-resistant algorithms and digital signature schemes,” he said.
Therefore, “by the time quantum computers are ‘available’ to the wider public, expect most remaining cryptocurrencies to have already made the leap into the quantum-resistance movement (so to speak.)”
The threat of quantum computing is a solvable problem for crypto--but only if consensus on a solution can be achieved
However, this may be easier said than done — ”metaphorically [speaking], pre-existing chains can already flip a switch and immediately deploy a quantum-resistance mechanism,” Stadelmann said to Finance Magnates. However, networks that have historically found it difficult to reach consensus on important software upgrades (for example, the Bitcoin network) could potentially run into trouble.
"If a quantum computer breaks this cryptography used by Bitcoin, anyone who has re-used a bitcoin address is vulnerable," Charles Phan explained. However, "the information a quantum computer needs isn’t available until the first transaction from a public key is seen, so individuals who use a different public key each time would be safe.
Still, though, “quantum processors threaten only the modern generation of cryptocurrencies like bitcoin,” Vlad Miller explained to Finance Magnates.
“To protect them, users will have to switch to new authentication methods for authorizing transactions in blockchain-based networks.”
Indeed, “the solution to this problem will be new methods of cryptography resistant to quantum computing. Today many crypto companies are developing a wide range of such solutions. Some of them are based on long-discovered mathematical methods, such as Lamport's signatures, Merkle structures, and the sharing of secrets.”
Therefore, it is quite likely that blockchain networks will be secure from the threat that quantum computing poses. “Platforms will ‘change their locks’ once quantum computers start to move out of the lab,” said Matthew Hine, Business Strategist at Radix., to Finance Magnates.
Matthew Hine, Business Strategist at Radix.
“But everyone should be very hesitant to publicly publish encrypted information with the expectation that it will be secret forever.”
Rachel is a self-taught crypto geek and a passionate writer. She believes in the power that the written word has to educate, connect and empower individuals to make positive and powerful financial choices. She is the Podcast Host and a Cryptocurrency Editor at Finance Magnates.
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In our discussion with Rhonda K. Müller, CEO of Muinmos, during iFX EXPO International, she covered regulatory changes impacting the trading industry, particularly focusing on new frameworks like MICA and Dora. She highlights the positive effects of regulation, such as increased order and transparency, and predicts that these changes will ignite more competition in the crypto market. Rhonda also touches on the rising trend of prop trading and anticipates future regulations in this area to ensure legitimacy. Finally, she shares Mooz's commitment to digitization and connectivity, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions from investor protection to risk profiling.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
#financemagnates #CryptoLiquidity #FXLiquidity #AIinTrading #BitcoinETF #TradingTechnology
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
#financemagnates #CryptoLiquidity #FXLiquidity #AIinTrading #BitcoinETF #TradingTechnology
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In this interview, Tom Higgins, CEO of Gold-i, discusses the convergence of crypto and FX liquidity. He explains the challenges of accessing crypto liquidity and how different execution methods, such as iceberg orders, help manage large transactions. Tom addresses the impact of AI in trading, emphasizing its use in sentiment analysis and trading pattern recognition. He also talks about the significance of Bitcoin ETFs in boosting institutional confidence in crypto markets. Lastly, Tom outlines the growth and future plans for Gold-i, focusing on enhancing their Matrix Net technology and expanding their role in crypto liquidity aggregation.
#financemagnates #CryptoLiquidity #FXLiquidity #AIinTrading #BitcoinETF #TradingTechnology
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Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
Throwback to FMLS:23 | FMvoices
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
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FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
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FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
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Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
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Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
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▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ At the same time, it's a throwback to our very successful FMLS:23 and we want to give out a special thank you to everyone who took the time to talk to us during the busy hours of the expo!
Ugnė B., payabl.
Joe Pelley, ActivTrades
William Thomas, BVNK
Got FOMO? Register now and secure your spot to the most premium financial event of London 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/EmKzD?utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=FMvoices-FMLS23&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMvoices+FMLS23
#fmls24 #fmls24 #fmls #fmevents #London #networking #financesummit
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates.
Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
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Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
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FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24
FMvoices are here to confirm all the great things you've heard about our events ✨ #fmevents #fmls24