Crypto mining may play a vital role in BTC recovery.
Bitcoin suffered from hefty losses, which were enhanced by Russia's central bank proposal to ban cryptocurrencies and mining. While Bitcoin was able to post some recovery off its lows, are we in front of a moderate recovery?
According to Kaiko, Binance's volumes in BTC have dropped dramatically since 2018. At its peak bitcoin held 90% of the volumes and is currently orbiting at around 10%.
Additionally, data revealed investors realized their long positions, which accelerated the sell-off in BTC. It is worth noting that USDT remained very stable in terms of trading volumes.
It has been reported that $2.5 billion of crypto-related transactions were made via Visa in the first fiscal quarter of 2022. Despite the recent volatility, the demand for cryptocurrencies is still present.
Crypto Regulations
Despite the recent recovery, one of the main concerns are regulatory measures. The Russian government is currently heading for regulating the crypto markets instead of a complete ban (as proposed by the central bank). Putin stated that he backs crypto mining as it provides Russia with a competitive edge in the field.
Fitch credit rating agency warned that banning cryptocurrencies may curb innovation and negatively affect Russian banks' technological development.
It has been speculated that the Biden administration will issue an executive order on cryptocurrencies as early as next month. The speculations suggest cryptocurrencies are viewed as a national security threat by the US administration.
Biden's approach to cryptocurrencies may hold the key to whether Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies will be able to recoup losses. It is important to note that aside from cryptocurrencies, NFTs are expected to be regulated as well.
Bitcoin Forecast, Will It Bounce?
From a technical angle, it is a struggle to see the gold at the end of the rainbow. Despite recent gains in BTCUSD, the price must firmly break above $42,000. Based on the BTCUSD daily chart, the price is painting lower highs and lower lows, which may be a distinct sign of an established downtrend.
Before the regulations kick in, we may witness more partnerships and decentralized exchanges (DEX) in the market. While the technical outlook is based only on the daily chart (short-term), such news may have a positive effect on bitcoin.
At the time of writing, BTC Long / Short ratio is almost identical with a slight inch towards long positions:
As opposed to crude oil (nymex) where the price lifts when rigs are shutdown due a hurricane, a resumption of crypto mining may contribute to BTC recovery. Though, it may take a couple of weeks for the impact to seen.
Moreover, Armenia is making an old thermal plant available for the purpose of crypto mining. The old plant is to be rented to industrial firms that wish to use the plant for mining cryptocurrencies.
With time, crypto mining outages and resumption of mining may play a role in strategic fundamental analysis of cryptocurrencies.
Summary
To summarize, while the short-term trend for Bitcoin may be bearish, the broader fundamental outlook is suggesting some recovery. Partnerships may be fundamental drive for short-term volatility, which may increase until regulations are implemented. BTCUSD is trading at $37,830 at the time of writing.
Bitcoin suffered from hefty losses, which were enhanced by Russia's central bank proposal to ban cryptocurrencies and mining. While Bitcoin was able to post some recovery off its lows, are we in front of a moderate recovery?
According to Kaiko, Binance's volumes in BTC have dropped dramatically since 2018. At its peak bitcoin held 90% of the volumes and is currently orbiting at around 10%.
Additionally, data revealed investors realized their long positions, which accelerated the sell-off in BTC. It is worth noting that USDT remained very stable in terms of trading volumes.
It has been reported that $2.5 billion of crypto-related transactions were made via Visa in the first fiscal quarter of 2022. Despite the recent volatility, the demand for cryptocurrencies is still present.
Crypto Regulations
Despite the recent recovery, one of the main concerns are regulatory measures. The Russian government is currently heading for regulating the crypto markets instead of a complete ban (as proposed by the central bank). Putin stated that he backs crypto mining as it provides Russia with a competitive edge in the field.
Fitch credit rating agency warned that banning cryptocurrencies may curb innovation and negatively affect Russian banks' technological development.
It has been speculated that the Biden administration will issue an executive order on cryptocurrencies as early as next month. The speculations suggest cryptocurrencies are viewed as a national security threat by the US administration.
Biden's approach to cryptocurrencies may hold the key to whether Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies will be able to recoup losses. It is important to note that aside from cryptocurrencies, NFTs are expected to be regulated as well.
Bitcoin Forecast, Will It Bounce?
From a technical angle, it is a struggle to see the gold at the end of the rainbow. Despite recent gains in BTCUSD, the price must firmly break above $42,000. Based on the BTCUSD daily chart, the price is painting lower highs and lower lows, which may be a distinct sign of an established downtrend.
Before the regulations kick in, we may witness more partnerships and decentralized exchanges (DEX) in the market. While the technical outlook is based only on the daily chart (short-term), such news may have a positive effect on bitcoin.
At the time of writing, BTC Long / Short ratio is almost identical with a slight inch towards long positions:
As opposed to crude oil (nymex) where the price lifts when rigs are shutdown due a hurricane, a resumption of crypto mining may contribute to BTC recovery. Though, it may take a couple of weeks for the impact to seen.
Moreover, Armenia is making an old thermal plant available for the purpose of crypto mining. The old plant is to be rented to industrial firms that wish to use the plant for mining cryptocurrencies.
With time, crypto mining outages and resumption of mining may play a role in strategic fundamental analysis of cryptocurrencies.
Summary
To summarize, while the short-term trend for Bitcoin may be bearish, the broader fundamental outlook is suggesting some recovery. Partnerships may be fundamental drive for short-term volatility, which may increase until regulations are implemented. BTCUSD is trading at $37,830 at the time of writing.
Retail Traders Get Tokenized US IPO Allocations at Offer Price as Payward Expands xStocks
Featured Videos
Trading Tales: Stories from The Floor
Trading Tales: Stories from The Floor
Trading Tales: Stories from The Floor
Trading Tales: Stories from The Floor
Join seasoned financial markets professionals as they reflect on life spent in front of tickets, phones, and later screens, and the stories they’ve accumulated on sales and trading floors.
You can count on an unorthodox blend of candid perspectives and off-the-record tales that novices won’t get, and compliance won’t approve.
Attend at your own risk.
What to expect:
A deeper grasp of the evolution that Singapore's FX market has gone through
Practical wisdom on regional market peculiarities and FX careers
Unforgettable anecdotes that bring the Lion City's trading culture to life
Join seasoned financial markets professionals as they reflect on life spent in front of tickets, phones, and later screens, and the stories they’ve accumulated on sales and trading floors.
You can count on an unorthodox blend of candid perspectives and off-the-record tales that novices won’t get, and compliance won’t approve.
Attend at your own risk.
What to expect:
A deeper grasp of the evolution that Singapore's FX market has gone through
Practical wisdom on regional market peculiarities and FX careers
Unforgettable anecdotes that bring the Lion City's trading culture to life
Join seasoned financial markets professionals as they reflect on life spent in front of tickets, phones, and later screens, and the stories they’ve accumulated on sales and trading floors.
You can count on an unorthodox blend of candid perspectives and off-the-record tales that novices won’t get, and compliance won’t approve.
Attend at your own risk.
What to expect:
A deeper grasp of the evolution that Singapore's FX market has gone through
Practical wisdom on regional market peculiarities and FX careers
Unforgettable anecdotes that bring the Lion City's trading culture to life
Join seasoned financial markets professionals as they reflect on life spent in front of tickets, phones, and later screens, and the stories they’ve accumulated on sales and trading floors.
You can count on an unorthodox blend of candid perspectives and off-the-record tales that novices won’t get, and compliance won’t approve.
Attend at your own risk.
What to expect:
A deeper grasp of the evolution that Singapore's FX market has gone through
Practical wisdom on regional market peculiarities and FX careers
Unforgettable anecdotes that bring the Lion City's trading culture to life
Tokenized assets are all the rage across retail and institutional trading, but adoption might hit unique roadblocks for each.
This session gathers builders and architects practitioners to break down questions of infrastructure, ownership, and settlement that will define the next wave of asset tokenization.
Attendees will walk away with:
Institutional perspective on tokenized assets and what they unlock from bonds to debt
Understanding which paths are available for retail brokers and their compliance and product implications
Insight into where APAC regulators stand on tokenized securities
Tokenized assets are all the rage across retail and institutional trading, but adoption might hit unique roadblocks for each.
This session gathers builders and architects practitioners to break down questions of infrastructure, ownership, and settlement that will define the next wave of asset tokenization.
Attendees will walk away with:
Institutional perspective on tokenized assets and what they unlock from bonds to debt
Understanding which paths are available for retail brokers and their compliance and product implications
Insight into where APAC regulators stand on tokenized securities
Tokenized assets are all the rage across retail and institutional trading, but adoption might hit unique roadblocks for each.
This session gathers builders and architects practitioners to break down questions of infrastructure, ownership, and settlement that will define the next wave of asset tokenization.
Attendees will walk away with:
Institutional perspective on tokenized assets and what they unlock from bonds to debt
Understanding which paths are available for retail brokers and their compliance and product implications
Insight into where APAC regulators stand on tokenized securities
Tokenized assets are all the rage across retail and institutional trading, but adoption might hit unique roadblocks for each.
This session gathers builders and architects practitioners to break down questions of infrastructure, ownership, and settlement that will define the next wave of asset tokenization.
Attendees will walk away with:
Institutional perspective on tokenized assets and what they unlock from bonds to debt
Understanding which paths are available for retail brokers and their compliance and product implications
Insight into where APAC regulators stand on tokenized securities
Tokenized assets are all the rage across retail and institutional trading, but adoption might hit unique roadblocks for each.
This session gathers builders and architects practitioners to break down questions of infrastructure, ownership, and settlement that will define the next wave of asset tokenization.
Attendees will walk away with:
Institutional perspective on tokenized assets and what they unlock from bonds to debt
Understanding which paths are available for retail brokers and their compliance and product implications
Insight into where APAC regulators stand on tokenized securities
Tokenized assets are all the rage across retail and institutional trading, but adoption might hit unique roadblocks for each.
This session gathers builders and architects practitioners to break down questions of infrastructure, ownership, and settlement that will define the next wave of asset tokenization.
Attendees will walk away with:
Institutional perspective on tokenized assets and what they unlock from bonds to debt
Understanding which paths are available for retail brokers and their compliance and product implications
Insight into where APAC regulators stand on tokenized securities
As event contracts are set for ‘super-cycle’ growth in volumes and recognition, retail brokers simply can’t stay behind. But can regulated entities integrate a product that is awfully similar to betting?
Join builders across the ecosystemto gain insight into the industry's current and future stance on prediction markets.
Attendees will walk away with:
Better understanding of how the CME, Plus500, and prediction platforms collaborate
Assessment of 2026’s expected volumes and new ‘event’ areas ripe for contracts
Cross-industry understanding of different strategies by brokers (co-opt, partner, buy)
As event contracts are set for ‘super-cycle’ growth in volumes and recognition, retail brokers simply can’t stay behind. But can regulated entities integrate a product that is awfully similar to betting?
Join builders across the ecosystemto gain insight into the industry's current and future stance on prediction markets.
Attendees will walk away with:
Better understanding of how the CME, Plus500, and prediction platforms collaborate
Assessment of 2026’s expected volumes and new ‘event’ areas ripe for contracts
Cross-industry understanding of different strategies by brokers (co-opt, partner, buy)
As event contracts are set for ‘super-cycle’ growth in volumes and recognition, retail brokers simply can’t stay behind. But can regulated entities integrate a product that is awfully similar to betting?
Join builders across the ecosystemto gain insight into the industry's current and future stance on prediction markets.
Attendees will walk away with:
Better understanding of how the CME, Plus500, and prediction platforms collaborate
Assessment of 2026’s expected volumes and new ‘event’ areas ripe for contracts
Cross-industry understanding of different strategies by brokers (co-opt, partner, buy)
As event contracts are set for ‘super-cycle’ growth in volumes and recognition, retail brokers simply can’t stay behind. But can regulated entities integrate a product that is awfully similar to betting?
Join builders across the ecosystemto gain insight into the industry's current and future stance on prediction markets.
Attendees will walk away with:
Better understanding of how the CME, Plus500, and prediction platforms collaborate
Assessment of 2026’s expected volumes and new ‘event’ areas ripe for contracts
Cross-industry understanding of different strategies by brokers (co-opt, partner, buy)
As event contracts are set for ‘super-cycle’ growth in volumes and recognition, retail brokers simply can’t stay behind. But can regulated entities integrate a product that is awfully similar to betting?
Join builders across the ecosystemto gain insight into the industry's current and future stance on prediction markets.
Attendees will walk away with:
Better understanding of how the CME, Plus500, and prediction platforms collaborate
Assessment of 2026’s expected volumes and new ‘event’ areas ripe for contracts
Cross-industry understanding of different strategies by brokers (co-opt, partner, buy)
As event contracts are set for ‘super-cycle’ growth in volumes and recognition, retail brokers simply can’t stay behind. But can regulated entities integrate a product that is awfully similar to betting?
Join builders across the ecosystemto gain insight into the industry's current and future stance on prediction markets.
Attendees will walk away with:
Better understanding of how the CME, Plus500, and prediction platforms collaborate
Assessment of 2026’s expected volumes and new ‘event’ areas ripe for contracts
Cross-industry understanding of different strategies by brokers (co-opt, partner, buy)
Precious Insights: APAC's Bullion Market amid Record Volatility
Precious Insights: APAC's Bullion Market amid Record Volatility
Precious Insights: APAC's Bullion Market amid Record Volatility
Precious Insights: APAC's Bullion Market amid Record Volatility
Precious Insights: APAC's Bullion Market amid Record Volatility
Precious Insights: APAC's Bullion Market amid Record Volatility
The precious metals rally has challenged how brokers and LPs think about hedging, pricing, and physical delivery. But with regional banks eyeing physical gold retail and bullion brokers across Southeast Asia harnessing new tech, volatility is not only in 'safe havens'.
This session gathers practitioners from across the bullion ecosystem to unpack what the rally means on the ground in APAC.
Attendees will walk away with:
Insight into the physical market dynamics driving retail demand across Southeast Asia, from central bank buying to store-of-value purchases
Understanding of Singapore's distinct role as APAC's bullion gateway, and competition near and far
Perspective on operational challenges unique to APAC: kilogram pricing, local delivery, and bridging CFD and physical bullion infrastructure
The precious metals rally has challenged how brokers and LPs think about hedging, pricing, and physical delivery. But with regional banks eyeing physical gold retail and bullion brokers across Southeast Asia harnessing new tech, volatility is not only in 'safe havens'.
This session gathers practitioners from across the bullion ecosystem to unpack what the rally means on the ground in APAC.
Attendees will walk away with:
Insight into the physical market dynamics driving retail demand across Southeast Asia, from central bank buying to store-of-value purchases
Understanding of Singapore's distinct role as APAC's bullion gateway, and competition near and far
Perspective on operational challenges unique to APAC: kilogram pricing, local delivery, and bridging CFD and physical bullion infrastructure
The precious metals rally has challenged how brokers and LPs think about hedging, pricing, and physical delivery. But with regional banks eyeing physical gold retail and bullion brokers across Southeast Asia harnessing new tech, volatility is not only in 'safe havens'.
This session gathers practitioners from across the bullion ecosystem to unpack what the rally means on the ground in APAC.
Attendees will walk away with:
Insight into the physical market dynamics driving retail demand across Southeast Asia, from central bank buying to store-of-value purchases
Understanding of Singapore's distinct role as APAC's bullion gateway, and competition near and far
Perspective on operational challenges unique to APAC: kilogram pricing, local delivery, and bridging CFD and physical bullion infrastructure
The precious metals rally has challenged how brokers and LPs think about hedging, pricing, and physical delivery. But with regional banks eyeing physical gold retail and bullion brokers across Southeast Asia harnessing new tech, volatility is not only in 'safe havens'.
This session gathers practitioners from across the bullion ecosystem to unpack what the rally means on the ground in APAC.
Attendees will walk away with:
Insight into the physical market dynamics driving retail demand across Southeast Asia, from central bank buying to store-of-value purchases
Understanding of Singapore's distinct role as APAC's bullion gateway, and competition near and far
Perspective on operational challenges unique to APAC: kilogram pricing, local delivery, and bridging CFD and physical bullion infrastructure
The precious metals rally has challenged how brokers and LPs think about hedging, pricing, and physical delivery. But with regional banks eyeing physical gold retail and bullion brokers across Southeast Asia harnessing new tech, volatility is not only in 'safe havens'.
This session gathers practitioners from across the bullion ecosystem to unpack what the rally means on the ground in APAC.
Attendees will walk away with:
Insight into the physical market dynamics driving retail demand across Southeast Asia, from central bank buying to store-of-value purchases
Understanding of Singapore's distinct role as APAC's bullion gateway, and competition near and far
Perspective on operational challenges unique to APAC: kilogram pricing, local delivery, and bridging CFD and physical bullion infrastructure
The precious metals rally has challenged how brokers and LPs think about hedging, pricing, and physical delivery. But with regional banks eyeing physical gold retail and bullion brokers across Southeast Asia harnessing new tech, volatility is not only in 'safe havens'.
This session gathers practitioners from across the bullion ecosystem to unpack what the rally means on the ground in APAC.
Attendees will walk away with:
Insight into the physical market dynamics driving retail demand across Southeast Asia, from central bank buying to store-of-value purchases
Understanding of Singapore's distinct role as APAC's bullion gateway, and competition near and far
Perspective on operational challenges unique to APAC: kilogram pricing, local delivery, and bridging CFD and physical bullion infrastructure
License to Fill: Market Liquidity amid Global Turmoil
License to Fill: Market Liquidity amid Global Turmoil
License to Fill: Market Liquidity amid Global Turmoil
License to Fill: Market Liquidity amid Global Turmoil
License to Fill: Market Liquidity amid Global Turmoil
License to Fill: Market Liquidity amid Global Turmoil
Asian markets bear unique characteristics, from connectivity to asset preference. The Singapore Summit will connect global executives and local experts across the liquidity chain to discuss volatility fluctuations, diversification vs over-reliance on single assets, and the role of trust and liquidity relationships in an increasingly automated sphere.
Asian markets bear unique characteristics, from connectivity to asset preference. The Singapore Summit will connect global executives and local experts across the liquidity chain to discuss volatility fluctuations, diversification vs over-reliance on single assets, and the role of trust and liquidity relationships in an increasingly automated sphere.
Asian markets bear unique characteristics, from connectivity to asset preference. The Singapore Summit will connect global executives and local experts across the liquidity chain to discuss volatility fluctuations, diversification vs over-reliance on single assets, and the role of trust and liquidity relationships in an increasingly automated sphere.
Asian markets bear unique characteristics, from connectivity to asset preference. The Singapore Summit will connect global executives and local experts across the liquidity chain to discuss volatility fluctuations, diversification vs over-reliance on single assets, and the role of trust and liquidity relationships in an increasingly automated sphere.
Asian markets bear unique characteristics, from connectivity to asset preference. The Singapore Summit will connect global executives and local experts across the liquidity chain to discuss volatility fluctuations, diversification vs over-reliance on single assets, and the role of trust and liquidity relationships in an increasingly automated sphere.
Asian markets bear unique characteristics, from connectivity to asset preference. The Singapore Summit will connect global executives and local experts across the liquidity chain to discuss volatility fluctuations, diversification vs over-reliance on single assets, and the role of trust and liquidity relationships in an increasingly automated sphere.
