The strength came as a surprise to bears who said the rally was on its last legs after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade in December. At the start of the year, strategists predicted benchmark 10-year Treasury yields would reach 2.45 percent this quarter. Instead, 10-year notes yielded 1.82 percent as of 10:10 a.m. in Tokyo, dropping from 2.27 percent on Dec. 31. Bond prices move in the opposite direction of their yields.
Government debt, the first destination for investors seeking safety, led the gains with a total return of 3.7 percent though March 29. Signs of slowing global economies and turbulence in stocks and currencies helped drive the demand. After their March policy-setting meeting, Fed officials said global economic developments posed a risk to growth, and cut their projected pace of 2016 rate increases to two, from the four they forecast in December.
The Citigroup Surprise Index for the Group of 10 economies, a gauge of how data measure up to economists’ forecasts, fell to its lowest since 2013 in February as oil prices plummeted and stocks entered a bear market. It was just the second time in seven years the MSCI All-Country World Index of shares experienced such a slide.
Other central banks stepped up efforts to stave off deflation. The European Central Bank cut rates further below zero in March, and the Bank of Japan announced negative rates in January. As a result, investors buying some debt in those economies are in essence paying to lend. Even so, demand for sovereign securities has been so great that more than $8 trillion of debt in the Bank of America global index trades with yields below zero.
“The ECB and BOJ are buying a boatload of debt,” said Jack McIntyre, a money manager in Philadelphia at Brandywine Global Investment Management LLC , which oversees $69 billion. “They’re crowding out the private sector, but that private sector is still out there and they have to put money to work.”
Benchmark Treasury yields touched their lowest since 2012 in February. Yields on bonds globally fell to 1.36 percent on Wednesday, from 1.75 percent at the end of December, Bank of America data show.
Of the five countries that performed best -- Germany, the U.K., Denmark, Belgium and Japan -- the two-year debt of all but the U.K. has negative yields. That could pose a problem, Brandywine’s McIntyre said.
“If yields are going to get more negative, then you can make sense of buying negative-yielding bonds,” he said. “But I’m not sure. You don’t want to be the last man standing in that,” especially if “we’re not going into a global recession.”
He’s trimmed Treasury holdings in recent weeks, since any signs that central banks have succeeded in spurring inflation may lead to losses in long-term U.S. debt. He’s adding corporate securities instead, for their higher yields.
The consensus on Wall Street is still for yields to rise. Ten-year Treasury yields will climb to 2.31 percent by the end of this year, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey. That’s down from a projection of 2.78 percent at the end of 2015.
Second Place
Investment-grade corporate bonds delivered the second-best performance across global debt markets, generating an average total return of 3.1 percent.
Bonds of Verizon Communications Inc. logged the highest gain among investment-grade companies, returning about 7.3 percent, Bank of America data show. The rally in global corporate bonds shrank the extra yield they offer over sovereign obligations to 1.47 percentage points on March 29, from 1.75 percentage points in mid-February.
With inflation in check and Fed Chair Janet Yellen saying this week the central bank will take a gradual approach to raising rates, bonds still have their proponents.
“The party continues,” said Michael Arone, the Boston-based chief investment strategist at State Street Global Advisors’ U.S. intermediary business. The company oversees $2.2 trillion. “The low interest-rate environment continues.”
--With assistance from Oliver Renick and Wes Goodman To contact the reporters on this story: Alexandra Scaggs in New York at ascaggs@bloomberg.net, Claire Boston in New York at cboston6@bloomberg.net, Liz Capo McCormick in New York at emccormick7@bloomberg.net. To contact the editors responsible for this story: Boris Korby at bkorby1@bloomberg.net, Nicholas Reynolds
By: Alexandra Scaggs, Claire Boston and Liz Capo McCormick
The strength came as a surprise to bears who said the rally was on its last legs after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade in December. At the start of the year, strategists predicted benchmark 10-year Treasury yields would reach 2.45 percent this quarter. Instead, 10-year notes yielded 1.82 percent as of 10:10 a.m. in Tokyo, dropping from 2.27 percent on Dec. 31. Bond prices move in the opposite direction of their yields.
Government debt, the first destination for investors seeking safety, led the gains with a total return of 3.7 percent though March 29. Signs of slowing global economies and turbulence in stocks and currencies helped drive the demand. After their March policy-setting meeting, Fed officials said global economic developments posed a risk to growth, and cut their projected pace of 2016 rate increases to two, from the four they forecast in December.
The Citigroup Surprise Index for the Group of 10 economies, a gauge of how data measure up to economists’ forecasts, fell to its lowest since 2013 in February as oil prices plummeted and stocks entered a bear market. It was just the second time in seven years the MSCI All-Country World Index of shares experienced such a slide.
Other central banks stepped up efforts to stave off deflation. The European Central Bank cut rates further below zero in March, and the Bank of Japan announced negative rates in January. As a result, investors buying some debt in those economies are in essence paying to lend. Even so, demand for sovereign securities has been so great that more than $8 trillion of debt in the Bank of America global index trades with yields below zero.
“The ECB and BOJ are buying a boatload of debt,” said Jack McIntyre, a money manager in Philadelphia at Brandywine Global Investment Management LLC , which oversees $69 billion. “They’re crowding out the private sector, but that private sector is still out there and they have to put money to work.”
Benchmark Treasury yields touched their lowest since 2012 in February. Yields on bonds globally fell to 1.36 percent on Wednesday, from 1.75 percent at the end of December, Bank of America data show.
Of the five countries that performed best -- Germany, the U.K., Denmark, Belgium and Japan -- the two-year debt of all but the U.K. has negative yields. That could pose a problem, Brandywine’s McIntyre said.
“If yields are going to get more negative, then you can make sense of buying negative-yielding bonds,” he said. “But I’m not sure. You don’t want to be the last man standing in that,” especially if “we’re not going into a global recession.”
He’s trimmed Treasury holdings in recent weeks, since any signs that central banks have succeeded in spurring inflation may lead to losses in long-term U.S. debt. He’s adding corporate securities instead, for their higher yields.
The consensus on Wall Street is still for yields to rise. Ten-year Treasury yields will climb to 2.31 percent by the end of this year, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey. That’s down from a projection of 2.78 percent at the end of 2015.
Second Place
Investment-grade corporate bonds delivered the second-best performance across global debt markets, generating an average total return of 3.1 percent.
Bonds of Verizon Communications Inc. logged the highest gain among investment-grade companies, returning about 7.3 percent, Bank of America data show. The rally in global corporate bonds shrank the extra yield they offer over sovereign obligations to 1.47 percentage points on March 29, from 1.75 percentage points in mid-February.
With inflation in check and Fed Chair Janet Yellen saying this week the central bank will take a gradual approach to raising rates, bonds still have their proponents.
“The party continues,” said Michael Arone, the Boston-based chief investment strategist at State Street Global Advisors’ U.S. intermediary business. The company oversees $2.2 trillion. “The low interest-rate environment continues.”
--With assistance from Oliver Renick and Wes Goodman To contact the reporters on this story: Alexandra Scaggs in New York at ascaggs@bloomberg.net, Claire Boston in New York at cboston6@bloomberg.net, Liz Capo McCormick in New York at emccormick7@bloomberg.net. To contact the editors responsible for this story: Boris Korby at bkorby1@bloomberg.net, Nicholas Reynolds
By: Alexandra Scaggs, Claire Boston and Liz Capo McCormick
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Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 | Africa's Premium Financial Event
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Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Join 3500+ Attendees at FMAS:24 - Africa's Premium Financial Event
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Looking to expand your network in #Africa?
Join 3500+ attendees at FMAS:24, where online trading, fintech, payments, and crypto meet! Connect with industry leaders and innovators for an unmatched networking experience.
20-22 MAY 2024
Sandton Convention Center, Sandton, South Africa
Register now to secure your spot: https://bit.ly/3JbUpCK
#fmas #fmas24 #fmevents #networking #finance #africa
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
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▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔
Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
Tune in for expert analysis on the future of trading and innovative funding models.
The Axi Select programme is only available to clients of AxiTrader Limited. CFDs carry a high risk of investment loss. In our dealings with you, we will act as a principal counterparty to all of your positions. This content is not available for AU, NZ, EU and UK residents. For more information, refer to our Terms of Service. Standard trading fees apply.
This content is provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be construed as financial product advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without considering your personal circumstances.
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow Finance Magnates for news, insights, and event updates across our social media platforms. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/financemagnates/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/financemagnates/
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates_official
🐦 X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/financemagnates/
📡 RSS Feed: https://www.financemagnates.com/feed/
▶️ Telegram: https://t.me/financemagnatesnews
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage.
🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!🔔