TS Imagine Adds Prediction Market Probabilities to Institutional Risk Platform

TS Imagine has added prediction-market probabilities to its institutional risk platform, the company announced Wednesday. Clients can connect defined event outcomes with portfolio exposures and use changing probabilities in stress testing, scenario analysis, value at risk and sensitivity workflows.

TS Imagine provides trading, portfolio management, prime brokerage and risk software to financial institutions. Its latest update is aimed at political, economic, regulatory and geopolitical events that may affect several asset classes at once.

The company has previously expanded its risk technology through AI-based monitoring and margin tools. The prediction-market feature adds an event probability signal to those existing portfolio workflows.

From Event Probability to Portfolio Exposure

Prediction-market contracts settle according to defined future outcomes. Their prices can therefore be read as market estimates of the probability that an event will occur, subject to the liquidity Liquidity The term liquidity refers to the process, speed, and ease of which a given asset or security can be converted into cash. Notably, liquidity surmises a retention in market price, with the most liquid assets representing cash.The most liquid asset of all is cash itself.· In economics, liquidity is defined by how efficiently and quickly an asset can be converted into usable cash without materially affecting its market price. · Nothing is more liquid than cash, while other assets represent The term liquidity refers to the process, speed, and ease of which a given asset or security can be converted into cash. Notably, liquidity surmises a retention in market price, with the most liquid assets representing cash.The most liquid asset of all is cash itself.· In economics, liquidity is defined by how efficiently and quickly an asset can be converted into usable cash without materially affecting its market price. · Nothing is more liquid than cash, while other assets represent Read this Term and structure of the underlying contract.

TS Imagine said clients can map those outcomes to positions and sensitivities across asset classes. The related analysis will update automatically when the market-implied probability changes, allowing risk teams to rerun portfolio scenarios without manually replacing the probability input.

The use cases listed by the company include central bank decisions, elections, economic data releases and regulatory changes. TS Imagine did not provide an example portfolio or disclose how a probability change would be translated into shocks for individual instruments.

• Global Demand Catapults TS Imagine’s Bookings 72% Higher in 2022

Prediction markets add a forward looking, event-specific view, TS Imagine Founder and Chief Executive Officer Rob Flatley said. He added that connecting the signal to positions could give clients portfolio-level information as expectations change.

Risk Tooling Moves Beyond Data Feeds

Institutional market providers have spent much of 2026 building connections to prediction markets. In February, Intercontinental Exchange launched its Polymarket Signals and Sentiment tool, which normalizes Polymarket data for professional investors.

Trading technology vendors are also adding execution. In June, Trading Technologies announced Kalshi connectivity for its TT platform, with trading expected to begin in the third quarter. The vendor said clients would receive execution and algorithmic tools similar to those available for other asset classes.

Interactive Brokers took another route in May by combining contracts from Kalshi, CME Group and ForecastEx in a single prediction-markets interface. That system lets clients compare and execute event contracts while tracking the positions alongside conventional investments.

TS Imagine’s announcement centers on portfolio analytics rather than contract execution Execution Execution is the process during which a client submits an order to the brokerage, which consequently executes it resulting in an open position in a given asset. The execution of the order occurs only when it is filled. There is typically a time delay between the placement of the order and the execution which is called latency.In the retail FX space, reliable brokers always strive to deliver best execution to their clients in order to maintain a solid business relationship with them. This is a co Execution is the process during which a client submits an order to the brokerage, which consequently executes it resulting in an open position in a given asset. The execution of the order occurs only when it is filled. There is typically a time delay between the placement of the order and the execution which is called latency.In the retail FX space, reliable brokers always strive to deliver best execution to their clients in order to maintain a solid business relationship with them. This is a co Read this Term. The company is using the probabilities as inputs for existing risk calculations, without saying that clients will be able to trade the underlying event contracts through its platform.

Data Sources and Coverage Remain Unspecified

TS Imagine did not identify which prediction markets supply the data. The announcement also did not explain how contracts from different venues are normalized, how thinly traded markets are handled or whether clients can select the events included in their models.

Those details may affect how institutions assess the signal. An Acuiti survey cited in Finance Magnates’ recent coverage found that 57% of respondents viewed regulatory uncertainty as the main obstacle to wider institutional participation in prediction markets.

The announcement contained no pricing information or separate rollout schedule. It also did not say whether the capability is included across TS Imagine’s platform or supplied as an optional data and analytics module.