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Eurex Weighs Entry into Prediction Markets as CME, Cboe Gain Ground: Report

Tuesday, 03/03/2026 | 21:05 GMT by Jared Kirui
  • The exchange already offers CFTC-regulated dividend derivatives classified as event contracts.
  • U.S. rival Nasdaq is exploring binary contracts linked to the performance of its Nasdaq‑100 index.
Eurex
Eurex

Eurex is considering a move into prediction markets as major US exchanges develop contracts allowing traders to bet on economic events. According to Risk.net, Zubin Ramdarshan, the global co-head of derivatives products and markets at Eurex, said the exchange has researched the concept for several years and frequently raised it in budget discussions.

U.S. Rivals Accelerate Event-Based Products

Eurex already lists dividend derivatives regulated by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission as event contracts. Ramdarshan said this could form the basis for any future move into prediction markets.

Meanwhile, US exchanges including CME, Cboe, and Nasdaq are preparing binary contracts tied to asset prices and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation, unemployment, and interest rate decisions.

CME is exploring ways to combine retail and institutional access, a model Eurex may study for its own framework. Non-bank market-maker Susquehanna International Group launched a prediction desk in 2023 targeting retail clients.

Read more: Nasdaq Wants Investors to Make Yes or No Bets on Its Index amid Event-Trading Boom

Eurex continues to deepen liquidity in short-term contracts, adding same-day options on the Euro Stoxx 50 and DAX in 2023. Eurex has not confirmed whether prediction markets would target retail, institutional, or both categories of investors.

Major Exchanges Race into Event Trading

Elsewhere, CME, the world's largest derivatives marketplace, launched event contracts in late 2022 for retail traders on benchmarks like S&P 500, oil, gold, and currencies.

By February 2026, these hit 100 million contracts traded in just eight weeks, covering financial indicators, cultural events, and sports—showing strong retail and expanding institutional uptake.

Cboe Global Markets actively develops regulated binary options for event-style trading, targeting S&P 500 outcomes by mid-2026 under SEC oversight. At the same time, Nasdaq is exploring binary contracts for asset prices and economic data but has not confirmed launches as of early 2026.

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), Eurex's parent group via Deutsche Börse ties, invests up to $2 billion in Polymarket (2025) to distribute event data institutionally and eyes listing weather or inflation binaries on ICE Futures U.S.

Eurex is considering a move into prediction markets as major US exchanges develop contracts allowing traders to bet on economic events. According to Risk.net, Zubin Ramdarshan, the global co-head of derivatives products and markets at Eurex, said the exchange has researched the concept for several years and frequently raised it in budget discussions.

U.S. Rivals Accelerate Event-Based Products

Eurex already lists dividend derivatives regulated by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission as event contracts. Ramdarshan said this could form the basis for any future move into prediction markets.

Meanwhile, US exchanges including CME, Cboe, and Nasdaq are preparing binary contracts tied to asset prices and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation, unemployment, and interest rate decisions.

CME is exploring ways to combine retail and institutional access, a model Eurex may study for its own framework. Non-bank market-maker Susquehanna International Group launched a prediction desk in 2023 targeting retail clients.

Read more: Nasdaq Wants Investors to Make Yes or No Bets on Its Index amid Event-Trading Boom

Eurex continues to deepen liquidity in short-term contracts, adding same-day options on the Euro Stoxx 50 and DAX in 2023. Eurex has not confirmed whether prediction markets would target retail, institutional, or both categories of investors.

Major Exchanges Race into Event Trading

Elsewhere, CME, the world's largest derivatives marketplace, launched event contracts in late 2022 for retail traders on benchmarks like S&P 500, oil, gold, and currencies.

By February 2026, these hit 100 million contracts traded in just eight weeks, covering financial indicators, cultural events, and sports—showing strong retail and expanding institutional uptake.

Cboe Global Markets actively develops regulated binary options for event-style trading, targeting S&P 500 outcomes by mid-2026 under SEC oversight. At the same time, Nasdaq is exploring binary contracts for asset prices and economic data but has not confirmed launches as of early 2026.

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), Eurex's parent group via Deutsche Börse ties, invests up to $2 billion in Polymarket (2025) to distribute event data institutionally and eyes listing weather or inflation binaries on ICE Futures U.S.

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Eurex
About the Author: Jared Kirui
Jared Kirui
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