The Canadian Dollar is having a banner run as price continues to push away from the Mid-January peak in USD/CAD. At the same time that CAD has gained nearly 5% on the Japanese Yen & 4.25% on the EUR in the last 5-trading days, the price of WTI Crude Oil continues to push against significant price resistance around 34.50/bbl. The historical correlation of Oil & USD/CAD has diverged somewhat recently from its prior lock-step relationship, but they could pick back up if Oil’s rise could be seen benefitting the Canadian Economy and altering the Bank of Canada’s Monetary Policy. For our long-term Oil Outlook, check it out here.
Weekly USD/CAD Chart May Favor A Deeper Retracement Than Originally Expected
One development that continues to get little attention but appears to be very important to the direction of USD/CAD is the 2-yr yield spread between the United States & Canada. Today, the Canadian government printed a strong GDP YoY at 0.5% vs. exp of 0.0%, and the CAD strengthened further. At the same time, investors are wondering if the Federal Reserve will have to convince the markets that they do not intend to hike in 2016, which would further narrow the important 2-yr spread that has guided USD/CAD lower since mid-January. The 2-yr yield spread has narrowed from -60bp to -26.4 currently, which is a 3-month low in recent trading.
USD/CAD Has Broken Below 1.3400, And Price Now Faces The Q3 2015 Corrective Zone
Key Levels after the Plunge
We have cleared the prior key level support of the 100-dma at 1.3618. Now, the focus has turned to the 50% retracement of the May-January range. A break below ~1.3303 would align with what we see on Ichimoku, which is price breaking below the cloud that could spell more downside ahead. Below 1.3305, traders will start focusing on 1.3000. Hard to imagine we were pressing ever closer to 1.5000 less than 2 months ago.
As mentioned above, the further narrowing of the 2-yr yield curve could be a catalyst for the test of the 50% retracement of the May-January range at 1.3303, and the 61.8% of 1.2977 that would likely need a strong drop in the US Dollar to accomplish.
Canadian Dollar Rally is Set to Last per Sentiment
When looking at sentiment, crowd sentiment has moved positive providing favor for more downside. We use our Speculative Sentiment Index as a contrarian indicator to price action, and the fact that the majority of traders are net-long at a bull: bear 1.339 means a bearish USD/CAD signal is currently at play. How price reacted around the 100-dma has communicated a behavior shift is at work. A break below this key support metric and a move into positive territory on the SSI would favor further downside towards downside targets mentioned above.
Combining the technical picture above, with the sentiment picture, and the break below support of the long-term channel/ 100-DMA alongside a move higher in retail sentiment to net long against a potential new trend would further warn of more CAD gains ahead.
USD/CAD Speculative Sentiment Index as of 3/1/2016
Interested In Learning the Traits of FXCM’s Successful Traders? If So, Click Here
The Canadian Dollar is having a banner run as price continues to push away from the Mid-January peak in USD/CAD. At the same time that CAD has gained nearly 5% on the Japanese Yen & 4.25% on the EUR in the last 5-trading days, the price of WTI Crude Oil continues to push against significant price resistance around 34.50/bbl. The historical correlation of Oil & USD/CAD has diverged somewhat recently from its prior lock-step relationship, but they could pick back up if Oil’s rise could be seen benefitting the Canadian Economy and altering the Bank of Canada’s Monetary Policy. For our long-term Oil Outlook, check it out here.
Weekly USD/CAD Chart May Favor A Deeper Retracement Than Originally Expected
One development that continues to get little attention but appears to be very important to the direction of USD/CAD is the 2-yr yield spread between the United States & Canada. Today, the Canadian government printed a strong GDP YoY at 0.5% vs. exp of 0.0%, and the CAD strengthened further. At the same time, investors are wondering if the Federal Reserve will have to convince the markets that they do not intend to hike in 2016, which would further narrow the important 2-yr spread that has guided USD/CAD lower since mid-January. The 2-yr yield spread has narrowed from -60bp to -26.4 currently, which is a 3-month low in recent trading.
USD/CAD Has Broken Below 1.3400, And Price Now Faces The Q3 2015 Corrective Zone
Key Levels after the Plunge
We have cleared the prior key level support of the 100-dma at 1.3618. Now, the focus has turned to the 50% retracement of the May-January range. A break below ~1.3303 would align with what we see on Ichimoku, which is price breaking below the cloud that could spell more downside ahead. Below 1.3305, traders will start focusing on 1.3000. Hard to imagine we were pressing ever closer to 1.5000 less than 2 months ago.
As mentioned above, the further narrowing of the 2-yr yield curve could be a catalyst for the test of the 50% retracement of the May-January range at 1.3303, and the 61.8% of 1.2977 that would likely need a strong drop in the US Dollar to accomplish.
Canadian Dollar Rally is Set to Last per Sentiment
When looking at sentiment, crowd sentiment has moved positive providing favor for more downside. We use our Speculative Sentiment Index as a contrarian indicator to price action, and the fact that the majority of traders are net-long at a bull: bear 1.339 means a bearish USD/CAD signal is currently at play. How price reacted around the 100-dma has communicated a behavior shift is at work. A break below this key support metric and a move into positive territory on the SSI would favor further downside towards downside targets mentioned above.
Combining the technical picture above, with the sentiment picture, and the break below support of the long-term channel/ 100-DMA alongside a move higher in retail sentiment to net long against a potential new trend would further warn of more CAD gains ahead.
USD/CAD Speculative Sentiment Index as of 3/1/2016
Interested In Learning the Traits of FXCM’s Successful Traders? If So, Click Here
In this video, we take an in-depth look at @Exness , a global multi-asset broker operating since 2008, known for fast withdrawals, flexible account types, and strong regulatory coverage across multiple regions.
We break down Exness’s regulatory framework, supported trading platforms including MetaTrader 4, MetaTrader 5, Exness Terminal, and the Exness Trade App, as well as available account types such as Standard, Pro, Zero, and Raw Spread.
You’ll also learn about Exness’s leverage options, fees and commissions, swap-free trading, available instruments across forex, commodities, indices, stocks, and cryptocurrencies, and what traders can expect in terms of execution, funding speed, and customer support.
Watch the full review to see whether Exness aligns with your trading goals and strategy.
👉 Explore Exness’s full broker listing on the Finance Magnates Directory:
https://directory.financemagnates.com/multi-asset-brokers/exness/
📣 Stay up to date with the latest in finance and trading. Follow Finance Magnates for industry news, insights, and global event coverage.
Connect with us:
🔗 LinkedIn: /financemagnates
👍 Facebook: /financemagnates
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates
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🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/tag/financemagnates
▶️ YouTube: /@financemagnates_official
#Exness #ExnessReview #Forex #FinanceMagnates #ForexBroker #BrokerReview #CFDTrading #OnlineTrading #MarketInsights
In this video, we take an in-depth look at @Exness , a global multi-asset broker operating since 2008, known for fast withdrawals, flexible account types, and strong regulatory coverage across multiple regions.
We break down Exness’s regulatory framework, supported trading platforms including MetaTrader 4, MetaTrader 5, Exness Terminal, and the Exness Trade App, as well as available account types such as Standard, Pro, Zero, and Raw Spread.
You’ll also learn about Exness’s leverage options, fees and commissions, swap-free trading, available instruments across forex, commodities, indices, stocks, and cryptocurrencies, and what traders can expect in terms of execution, funding speed, and customer support.
Watch the full review to see whether Exness aligns with your trading goals and strategy.
👉 Explore Exness’s full broker listing on the Finance Magnates Directory:
https://directory.financemagnates.com/multi-asset-brokers/exness/
📣 Stay up to date with the latest in finance and trading. Follow Finance Magnates for industry news, insights, and global event coverage.
Connect with us:
🔗 LinkedIn: /financemagnates
👍 Facebook: /financemagnates
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/financemagnates
🐦 X: https://x.com/financemagnates
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/tag/financemagnates
▶️ YouTube: /@financemagnates_official
#Exness #ExnessReview #Forex #FinanceMagnates #ForexBroker #BrokerReview #CFDTrading #OnlineTrading #MarketInsights
The FMLS:25 highlights video is now live - a look back at the conversations, the energy on the floor, and the moments that shaped this year’s summit.
While that’s still fresh, the next launches across the FM Events portfolio are already taking shape.
FM Singapore takes place on the 12-14 of May, connecting the APAC market with its own distinct audience and priorities. FMAS:26 heads to Cape Town on 26–27 May shortly after, bringing the focus to Africa’s trading and fintech ecosystem.
Different regions. Different audiences. Same commitment to building the right rooms for meaningful conversations.
More details coming very soon. The launches are imminent. - here you go
The FMLS:25 highlights video is now live - a look back at the conversations, the energy on the floor, and the moments that shaped this year’s summit.
While that’s still fresh, the next launches across the FM Events portfolio are already taking shape.
FM Singapore takes place on the 12-14 of May, connecting the APAC market with its own distinct audience and priorities. FMAS:26 heads to Cape Town on 26–27 May shortly after, bringing the focus to Africa’s trading and fintech ecosystem.
Different regions. Different audiences. Same commitment to building the right rooms for meaningful conversations.
More details coming very soon. The launches are imminent. - here you go
What sources does the Finance Magnates newsroom rely on before publishing a story? #FinanceNews
What sources does the Finance Magnates newsroom rely on before publishing a story? #FinanceNews
Yam Yehoshua, Editor-in-Chief at Finance Magnates, explains the editorial process: direct industry sources, reports, regulators, social media signals, and thorough cross-checking before anything goes live.
📰 Industry sources
📊 Reports & regulators
🔎 Verification before publication
Yam Yehoshua, Editor-in-Chief at Finance Magnates, explains the editorial process: direct industry sources, reports, regulators, social media signals, and thorough cross-checking before anything goes live.
📰 Industry sources
📊 Reports & regulators
🔎 Verification before publication
OnePrime’s Jerry Khargi on Infrastructure, Liquidity & Trust | Executive Interview
OnePrime’s Jerry Khargi on Infrastructure, Liquidity & Trust | Executive Interview
Recorded live at FMLS:25 London, this exclusive executive interview features Jerry Khargi, Executive Director at OnePrime, in conversation with Andrea Badiola Mateos from Finance Magnates.
In this in-depth discussion, Jerry shares:
- OnePrime’s journey from a retail-focused business to a global institutional liquidity provider
- What truly sets award-winning trading infrastructure apart
- Key trends shaping institutional trading, including technology and AI
- The importance of transparency, ethics, and reputation in long-term success
- OnePrime’s vision for growth over the next 12–24 months
Fresh from winning Finance Magnates’ Best Trading Infrastructure Broker, Jerry explains how experience, mentorship, and real-world problem solving form the “special sauce” behind OnePrime’s institutional offering.
🏆 Award Highlight: Best Trading Infrastructure Broker
👉 Subscribe to Finance Magnates for more executive interviews, market insights, and exclusive coverage from the world’s leading financial events.
#FMLS25 #FinanceMagnates #OnePrime #InstitutionalTrading #Liquidity #TradingInfrastructure #ExecutiveInterview
Recorded live at FMLS:25 London, this exclusive executive interview features Jerry Khargi, Executive Director at OnePrime, in conversation with Andrea Badiola Mateos from Finance Magnates.
In this in-depth discussion, Jerry shares:
- OnePrime’s journey from a retail-focused business to a global institutional liquidity provider
- What truly sets award-winning trading infrastructure apart
- Key trends shaping institutional trading, including technology and AI
- The importance of transparency, ethics, and reputation in long-term success
- OnePrime’s vision for growth over the next 12–24 months
Fresh from winning Finance Magnates’ Best Trading Infrastructure Broker, Jerry explains how experience, mentorship, and real-world problem solving form the “special sauce” behind OnePrime’s institutional offering.
🏆 Award Highlight: Best Trading Infrastructure Broker
👉 Subscribe to Finance Magnates for more executive interviews, market insights, and exclusive coverage from the world’s leading financial events.
#FMLS25 #FinanceMagnates #OnePrime #InstitutionalTrading #Liquidity #TradingInfrastructure #ExecutiveInterview
How does the Finance Magnates newsroom decide which updates are worth covering? #financenews
How does the Finance Magnates newsroom decide which updates are worth covering? #financenews
What makes an update worth covering in financial media?
According to Yam Yehoshua, Editor-in-Chief at Finance Magnates, editorial focus starts with relevance: stories that serve the industry, support brokers and technology providers, and help decision-makers navigate their businesses.
A reminder that strong financial journalism is built on value, not volume.
What makes an update worth covering in financial media?
According to Yam Yehoshua, Editor-in-Chief at Finance Magnates, editorial focus starts with relevance: stories that serve the industry, support brokers and technology providers, and help decision-makers navigate their businesses.
A reminder that strong financial journalism is built on value, not volume.
