FTSE 100: What Are The Levels Which May Induce Volatility?
by
DailyFX News
Talking Points The FTSE 100 has been trading sideways for three weeks. What are the levels which may induce ...
Talking Points
The FTSE 100 has been trading sideways for three weeks. What are the levels which may induce Volatility and a more distinctive trend?
No macro data on deck until this afternoon. A Bloomberg news poll projects U.S. New Homes Sales to rise by 3.2% MoM, from -9.2% in January.
The FTSE 100 has now spent more than three week’s trading around the same levels. While this is hardly encouraging for day trading, low volatility episodes tend to be followed by high ones. We also note that the longer a market trades sideways, the stronger a potential move could be, usually following a break to the range. The EURCHF debacle of January 2015 is an extreme example of this idea.
Which are the critical levels for the FTSE 100?
The highest price point over the last three weeks is the March 18 high, while the lowest level over the same period is last week’s low of 6006.
On a break to 6006, we may see volatility pick up as described above, as not only is it the lower end of the range over the last few weeks, but is also the trend defining level.
A break to last week’s low would place all long positions since March 2 at a loss, as all of them have been exercised above the low. This could stress traders to shift out their losing long positions and thereby trigger even lower prices.
A break to last week’s low of 6006 may therefore turn the trend bearish and generate a slide to the next support level, which is the February 24 low of 5839.
On price remaining above the low of last week, the FTSE 100 may drift higher. However, it is important to note that a break to the March 18 high might not ensure a strong resurgence in volatility. We saw on March 4, March 17, and March 18 that a higher high did not in these cases spur the trend to firm.
Instead, the FTSE 100 may continue to drift higher but without a strong pick up in volatility. The last resistance level, where price reversed, was the December 29 high of 6322, and could be where the FTSE 100 may now be headed.
U.S. New Homes Sales on Tap
With no macro data on tap this morning, trading in the FTSE 100 may be dominated by flows and technical trading. In the afternoon, U.S. New Homes Sales is projected to rise by 3.2% MoM according to a Bloomberg news poll.
The FTSE 100 has been trading sideways for three weeks. What are the levels which may induce Volatility and a more distinctive trend?
No macro data on deck until this afternoon. A Bloomberg news poll projects U.S. New Homes Sales to rise by 3.2% MoM, from -9.2% in January.
The FTSE 100 has now spent more than three week’s trading around the same levels. While this is hardly encouraging for day trading, low volatility episodes tend to be followed by high ones. We also note that the longer a market trades sideways, the stronger a potential move could be, usually following a break to the range. The EURCHF debacle of January 2015 is an extreme example of this idea.
Which are the critical levels for the FTSE 100?
The highest price point over the last three weeks is the March 18 high, while the lowest level over the same period is last week’s low of 6006.
On a break to 6006, we may see volatility pick up as described above, as not only is it the lower end of the range over the last few weeks, but is also the trend defining level.
A break to last week’s low would place all long positions since March 2 at a loss, as all of them have been exercised above the low. This could stress traders to shift out their losing long positions and thereby trigger even lower prices.
A break to last week’s low of 6006 may therefore turn the trend bearish and generate a slide to the next support level, which is the February 24 low of 5839.
On price remaining above the low of last week, the FTSE 100 may drift higher. However, it is important to note that a break to the March 18 high might not ensure a strong resurgence in volatility. We saw on March 4, March 17, and March 18 that a higher high did not in these cases spur the trend to firm.
Instead, the FTSE 100 may continue to drift higher but without a strong pick up in volatility. The last resistance level, where price reversed, was the December 29 high of 6322, and could be where the FTSE 100 may now be headed.
U.S. New Homes Sales on Tap
With no macro data on tap this morning, trading in the FTSE 100 may be dominated by flows and technical trading. In the afternoon, U.S. New Homes Sales is projected to rise by 3.2% MoM according to a Bloomberg news poll.
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Get ready to mark your calendars for FMAS:24, returning this May! Take a quick glimpse of what awaits at the Sandton Convention Centre in Sandton, South Africa from May 20-22, 2024.
Don't miss out on this 5-second invite packed with energy and urgency!
Secure your free ticket now 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/yQx0l?utm_source=youtube&utm_campaign=fmas-is-back&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMAS24+Video+Ad+%5B1%5D
#fmas24 #fmas #fmevents #financeinafrica #traders #investors #affiliates #forexTraders #investmentOpportunities #B2BNetworking #finTech #Innovations #TradingCommunity #BusinessOpportunities #AfricanBusiness #Johannesburg #southafrica
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Here's a sneak peek into the FMAS:24 vibrant atmosphere! Join us at Africa’s premium financial event for a transformative experience that combines the best of finance and technology.
From May 20-22, 2024, the Sandton Convention Centre in Sandton, South Africa, will be the hub for over 3,500 attendees to engage in unparalleled networking opportunities, learn from over 150 industry-leading speakers, and explore innovations from 120+ exhibitors.
Secure your free ticket now 🔗 https://events.financemagnates.com/yQx0l?utm_source=youtube&utm_campaign=fmas-is-back&utm_medium=video&RefId=FMAS24+Video+Ad+%5B1%5D
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Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
Where the Prop Trading Industry Goes from Here | Finance Magnates Podcast
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Explore the tumultuous world of prop trading in this Finance Magnates podcast episode, featuring insights from Head of Axi Select, Greg Rubin.
We're discussing the challenges and shifts caused by MetaQuotes' pivotal decisions affecting MT4 and MT5 users, and how Axi Select offers a unique, realistic path to professional trading, steering clear of traditional prop firm pitfalls.
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